Result
1:0
13/09/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 7
- Referee: Cruz Garatachea F. (Mex)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', Galvan P. 🟨,
- 45+5', 1 - 0, Diaz J. ⚽, Hernandez J. (A),
- 45+6', Amador K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 53', Zabala L. 🟨,
- 59', Navarrete D. ↓, Madrid W. ↑,
- 59', Galvan P. ↓, Lopez C. ↑,
- 59', Guzman W. ↓, Acosta C. ↑,
- 61', Diaz J. 🟨,
- 68', Ochoa I. ↓, Chavez A. ↑,
- 68', Trejo Castro M. A. ↓, Grijalva A. ↑,
- 71', Unjanque J. 🟨,
- 74', Catalan A. 🟨,
- 79', Rodriguez J. ↓, Campos K. ↑,
- 88', Catalan A. ↓, Vidrio N. ↑,
- 88', Unjanque J. ↓, Reyes R. ↑,
- 90+2', Dominguez A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cancún
53.4% | Draw
26.5% | Venados
20.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cancún has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Venados has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cancún than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cancún, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Venados than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Cancún - Venados Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.74 ↑
(1.64) |
3.51 ↓
(3.7) |
4.6 ↓
(4.91) |
7.8%
(8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Cancún - Venados?
Users Predictions:
Cancún will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cancún won 1.
- Cancún is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Venados has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Cancún may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Cancún is considered a favorite.
- We predict that Cancún will win today's game, with odds of 1.68.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Cancún won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 9:20. (average 0.8:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cancún won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.2:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Cancún won against Venados?
Cancún has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Venados won against Cancún?
Venados has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cancún - Venados were as follows:
15.02.2025
Cancún
-
Venados
1:2
31.08.2024
Venados
-
Cancún
4:0
03.04.2024
Venados
-
Cancún
2:0
19.11.2023
Cancún
-
Venados
2:1
16.11.2023
Venados
-
Cancún
1:0
Latest results of Venados
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cancun | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11:0 | 11 | 16 |
| 2 | Tampico Madero | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | 4 | 14 |
| 3 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12:4 | 8 | 13 |
| 4 | Atl. Morelia | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:10 | 1 | 11 |
| 5 | Irapuato | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 11 |
| 6 | Atlante | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15:8 | 7 | 10 |
| 7 | Tapatio | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 10 |
| 8 | Leones Negros | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12:11 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 | Zacatecas Mineros | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 9 |
| 10 | Atletico La Paz | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11:11 | 0 | 8 |
| 11 | Tlaxcala | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:12 | -6 | 8 |
| 12 | Venados | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 12:18 | -6 | 5 |
| 13 | Correcaminos | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 5 |
| 14 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3:13 | -10 | 3 |
| 15 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8:16 | -8 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
