Result
2:2
18/02/2023 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - ROUND 19
Chances of winning
Montalegre
57.3% | Draw
23.8% | Canelas
18.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montalegre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Montalegre's performance.Canelas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Canelas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montalegre than the current prediction. (-15.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Montalegre that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Canelas than the current prediction. (+9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Canelas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Montalegre - Canelas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.61 ↓
(2.22) |
3.87 ↑
(3) |
4.87 ↑
(3.17) |
8.5%
(9.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Montalegre - Canelas?
Users Predictions:
Montalegre will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is .
Preview Facts
- Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 9 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group) and 7 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group)).
- Montalegre is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Canelas is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Montalegre will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Montalegre won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.
- Including matches at home between the teams Montalegre won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.
How many head-to-head matches has Montalegre won against Canelas?
Montalegre has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Canelas won against Montalegre?
Canelas has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Montalegre - Canelas were as follows:
06.11.2022
Canelas
-
Montalegre
1:1
Latest results of Montalegre
Latest results of Canelas
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
2025/26Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Braga B | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | Varzim | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:1 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Trofense | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 5 |
| 4 | Sanjoanense | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 5 |
| 5 | Amarante | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | AD Marco 09 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Paredes | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 |
| 9 | AD Fafe | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 2 |
| 10 | Sao Joao Ver | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:6 | -6 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | 1u00ba Dezembro | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | Os Belenenses | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Caldas | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Santarem | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 5 | Amora | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 | Mafra | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
| 7 | Lusitano GC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:3 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Atletico CP | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Academica | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 10 | Covilha | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )
Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )
