Result
2:2
23/04/2023 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - RELEGATION GROUP - ROUND 4
Chances of winning
Paredes
45.3% | Draw
30.7% | Canelas
24% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paredes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)Canelas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paredes than the current prediction. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Canelas than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Paredes - Canelas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.04 ↓
(2.27) |
3 ↑
(2.92) |
3.86 ↑
(3.41) |
8.3%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Recent matches Paredes is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Canelas in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Canelas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Paredes will have a mini benefit in this match.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Paredes won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-4.
- Including matches at home between the teams Paredes won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.
How many head-to-head matches has Paredes won against Canelas?
Paredes has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Canelas won against Paredes?
Canelas has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paredes - Canelas were as follows:
01.04.2023
Canelas
-
Paredes
2:1
08.01.2023
Paredes
-
Canelas
2:0
28.08.2022
Canelas
-
Paredes
1:0
Latest results of Paredes
Latest results of Canelas
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
2025/26Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Braga B | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 12 |
| 2 | Sanjoanense | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
| 3 | Trofense | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 | 11 |
| 4 | Varzim | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | Paredes | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 8 |
| 6 | AD Marco 09 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 8 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 7 |
| 8 | AD Fafe | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 6 |
| 9 | Amarante | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
| 10 | Sao Joao Ver | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4:12 | -8 | 4 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Caldas | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 14 |
| 2 | Os Belenenses | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 10 |
| 3 | Mafra | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 9 |
| 4 | 1u00ba Dezembro | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 9 |
| 5 | Academica | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:5 | 3 | 9 |
| 6 | Santarem | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 8 |
| 7 | Lusitano GC | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:6 | 2 | 7 |
| 8 | Amora | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 7 |
| 9 | Covilha | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 6 |
| 10 | Atletico CP | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4:6 | -2 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )
Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )
