Result
2:2
10/08/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Queensland Premier League - Round 20
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', 1 - 0, Debortoli J. ⚽,
- 50', 1 - 1, Fukuda R. (Pen),
- 58', 1 - 2, Fukuda R. ⚽,
- 71', Pennells B. 🟥,
- 90+7', 2 - 2, (Pen),
Chances of winning
South West Queensland Thunder
44.3% | Draw
23.1% | Capalaba
32.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
South West Queensland Thunder has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in South West Queensland Thunder's performance.Capalaba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Capalaba might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for South West Queensland Thunder than the current prediction. (-7.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with South West Queensland Thunder that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Capalaba than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Capalaba could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
South West Queensland Thunder - Capalaba Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.08 ↓
(2.5) |
3.99 ↑
(3.75) |
2.83 ↑
(2.25) |
8.3%
(11.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 10 and 11 in the zone Relegation).
- SWQ Thunder has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Capalaba has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Capalaba may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- SWQ Thunder will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, SWQ Thunder won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, SWQ Thunder won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has South West Queensland Thunder won against Capalaba?
South West Queensland Thunder has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Capalaba won against South West Queensland Thunder?
Capalaba has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between South West Queensland Thunder - Capalaba were as follows:
03.05.2025
Capalaba
-
South West Queensland Thunder
1:2
10.08.2024
South West Queensland Thunder
-
Capalaba
2:1
12.05.2024
Capalaba
-
South West Queensland Thunder
2:0
Latest results of South West Queensland Thunder
Latest results of Capalaba
Australian Queensland Premier League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Magic United ✔ | 22 | 15 | 1 | 6 | 66:29 | 37 | 43 |
| 2 | Rochedale ✔ | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 54:24 | 30 | 43 |
| 3 | Broadbeach Utd. ✔ | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 55:29 | 26 | 43 |
| 4 | Brisbane Strikers ✔ | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 52:27 | 25 | 42 |
| 5 | Redlands | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 42:47 | -5 | 33 |
| 6 | Caboolture | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 47:40 | 7 | 30 |
| 7 | Logan Lightning | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 40:41 | -1 | 28 |
| 8 | Holland Park Hawks | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 47:46 | 1 | 27 |
| 9 | Ipswich | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 24:26 | -2 | 23 |
| 10 | Capalaba | 22 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 31:59 | -28 | 18 |
| 11 | SWQ Thunder | 22 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 26:63 | -37 | 18 |
| 12 | Southside Eagles | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 21:74 | -53 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Queensland Premier League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Magic United is Qualified for Queensland Premier League (Play Offs Semi~finals)
Rochedale is Qualified for Queensland Premier League (Play Offs Semi~finals)
Broadbeach Utd. is Qualified for Queensland Premier League (Play Offs Semi~finals)
Brisbane Strikers is Qualified for Queensland Premier League (Play Offs Semi~finals)
