Brasília vs Capital CF Ltda – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
12/02/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Brasiliense - Round 7

Match Stats

Ball possession
46%54%
Total shots
616
Shots on target
210
Corner kicks
77
Total shots
616
Shots on target
210
Shots off target
46
Corner kicks
77

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 12', 0 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 47', 0 - 2, ,
  • 61', 1 - 2, ,
  • 90', 1 - 3, ,

Chances of winning


Brasília
5.6%
Draw
16.2%
Capital CF Ltda
78.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
12.3% 21% 66.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.9% 20.3% 69.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Brasília has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brasília's form might have worsened.
  • Capital CF Ltda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Capital CF Ltda's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brasília than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brasília, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Capital CF Ltda than the current prediction. (-9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Capital CF Ltda, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Brasília - Capital CF Ltda Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    16.02
    (7.35)
    5.56
    (4.3)
    1.16
    (1.36)
    10.8%
    (10.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Brasília - Capital CF Ltda?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Brasília (3.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Brasília (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Brasiliense 2 and 5).
    • Brasília is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Capital's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Capital is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Brasília won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 1:3.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Brasília - Capital CF Ltda were as follows:
    05.03.2023 Capital CF Ltda - Brasília 3:1
    Latest results of Brasília
    07.02.2026 Samambaia - Brasília 4:1
    31.01.2026 ARUC - Brasília 0:1
    25.01.2026 Brasília - Ceilândia 1:2
    21.01.2026 Paranoá - Brasília 1:0
    17.01.2026 Brasília - Gama 0:2
    Latest results of Capital CF Ltda
    Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gama ✔ 972015:41123
    2Samambaia962121:51620
    3Sobradinho952211:8317
    4Ceilandia951317:12516
    5Capital943219:10915
    6Brasiliense943213:7615
    7Real Brasilia931511:13-210
    8Paranoa92078:24-166
    9Brasilia91084:19-153
    10ARUC91083:20-173

          Promotion ~ Brasiliense (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Brasiliense 2

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Gama is Qualified for Brasiliense (Play Offs Semi~finals)