Capital CF Ltda vs Brasiliense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
21/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Brasiliense - Round 8
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilTV Record

Match Stats

Ball possession
56%44%
Total shots
139
Shots on target
74
Corner kicks
54
Total shots
139
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
65
Corner kicks
54

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 19', 0 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 63', 1 - 1, ,
  • 90+2', 1 - 2, ,
  • 90+7', 2 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Capital CF Ltda
35.9%
Draw
33.2%
Brasiliense
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.7% 29.7% 39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7% 28.8% 40.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Capital CF Ltda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Capital CF Ltda's performance.
  • Brasiliense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brasiliense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Capital CF Ltda than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Capital CF Ltda that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brasiliense than the current prediction. (+10%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brasiliense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Capital CF Ltda - Brasiliense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.54
    (2.98)
    2.74
    (3.08)
    2.95
    (2.31)
    9.8%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 5 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasiliense (Play Offs: Semi~finals))
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Capital won 3.
    • In recent matches, Capital has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Brasiliense is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Capital won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 14:20. (average 0.9:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Capital won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.3:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Capital CF Ltda - Brasiliense were as follows:
    27.02.2025 Capital CF Ltda - Brasiliense 3:0
    06.02.2025 Brasiliense - Capital CF Ltda 1:0
    24.03.2024 Capital CF Ltda - Brasiliense 3:2
    21.03.2024 Brasiliense - Capital CF Ltda 1:3
    03.03.2024 Brasiliense - Capital CF Ltda 1:0
    Latest results of Capital CF Ltda
    Latest results of Brasiliense
    11.02.2026 Paranoá - Brasiliense 0:1
    08.02.2026 Brasiliense - ARUC 2:0
    31.01.2026 Samambaia - Brasiliense 0:1
    25.01.2026 Brasiliense - Gama 1:2
    21.01.2026 Brasiliense - Sobradinho 0:0
    Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gama ✔ 972015:41123
    2Samambaia962121:51620
    3Sobradinho952211:8317
    4Ceilandia951317:12516
    5Capital943219:10915
    6Brasiliense943213:7615
    7Real Brasilia931511:13-210
    8Paranoa92078:24-166
    9Brasilia91084:19-153
    10ARUC91083:20-173

          Promotion ~ Brasiliense (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Brasiliense 2

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Gama is Qualified for Brasiliense (Play Offs Semi~finals)