Luverdense vs Capital CF Ltda – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie D Luverdense - Capital CF Ltda
28/06/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
145
Shots on target
83
Corner Kicks
85
Total shots
145
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
62
Corner Kicks
85
Goalkeeper Saves
26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Lucas Vieira ,
  • 45+1', 1 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 79', 2 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Luverdense
42.4%
Draw
32.1%
Capital CF Ltda
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40% 31.5% 28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9% 33.8% 26.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luverdense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • Capital CF Ltda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luverdense than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Capital CF Ltda than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • Luverdense - Capital CF Ltda Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.13
    (2.27)
    2.81
    (2.88)
    3.54
    (3.18)
    10.9%
    (10.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 5)
    • Luverdense has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Capital is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Luverdense could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Luverdense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Luverdense - Capital CF Ltda were as follows:
    18.05.2025 Capital CF Ltda - Luverdense 2:0
    Latest results of Luverdense
    14.06.2025 Porto Velho - Luverdense 0:0
    07.06.2025 Luverdense - Aparecidense 3:1
    31.05.2025 Aparecidense - Luverdense 4:1
    24.05.2025 Luverdense - Porto Velho 1:0
    Latest results of Capital CF Ltda
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LagartoCentral SC2 : 2, 0 : 1
    2Tuna LusoMaranhao2 : 0, 1 : 4
    3America RNJuazeirense2 : 0, 1 : 1
    4ImperatrizManaus1 : 2, 2 : 0
    5AE AltosIndependencia3 : 1, 5 : 1
    6Santa CruzSergipe3 : 1, 1 : 2
    7ASAFerroviario2 : 0, 1 : 0
    8ManauaraSampaio Correa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    9AparecidenseMarica2 : 2, 2 : 1
    10EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 2, 1 : 1
    11Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias2 : 1, 0 : 0
    12Rio Branco ESLuverdense3 : 0, 0 : 0
    13PortuguesaMixto1 : 1, 0 : 1
    14CianorteJoinville4 : 0, 1 : 1
    15Barra FCCascavel3 : 0, 1 : 0
    16CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 0, 1 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Central SCMaranhao1 : 2
    2America RNImperatriz1 : 0
    3AE AltosSanta Cruz1 : 1
    4ASAManauara0 : 0, 1 : 0
    5AparecidenseGoiatuba0 : 2, 3 : 2
    6Inter de LimeiraRio Branco ES0 : 0, 1 : 0
    7MixtoCianorte0 : 2, 1 : 1
    8Barra FCCeilandia1 : 0, 1 : 1