Luverdense vs Capital CF Ltda – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie D Luverdense - Capital CF Ltda
28/06/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
145
Shots on target
83
Corner Kicks
85
Total shots
145
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
62
Corner Kicks
85
Goalkeeper Saves
26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Lucas Vieira ,
  • 45+1', 1 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 79', 2 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Luverdense
42.4%
Draw
32.1%
Capital CF Ltda
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40% 31.5% 28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9% 33.8% 26.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luverdense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • Capital CF Ltda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luverdense than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Capital CF Ltda than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • Luverdense - Capital CF Ltda Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.13
    (2.27)
    2.81
    (2.88)
    3.54
    (3.18)
    10.9%
    (10.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 5)
    • Luverdense has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Capital is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Luverdense could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Luverdense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Luverdense - Capital CF Ltda were as follows:
    18.05.2025 Capital CF Ltda - Luverdense 2:0
    Latest results of Luverdense
    14.06.2025 Porto Velho - Luverdense 0:0
    07.06.2025 Luverdense - Aparecidense 3:1
    31.05.2025 Aparecidense - Luverdense 4:1
    24.05.2025 Luverdense - Porto Velho 1:0
    Latest results of Capital CF Ltda
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LagartoCentral SC2 : 2, 0 : 1
    2Tuna LusoMaranhao2 : 0, 1 : 4
    3ASAFerroviario2 : 0, 1 : 0
    4ManauaraSampaio Correa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    5AE AltosIndependencia3 : 1, 5 : 1
    6Santa CruzSergipe3 : 1, 1 : 2
    7America RNJuazeirense2 : 0, 1 : 1
    8ImperatrizManaus1 : 2, 2 : 0
    9PortuguesaMixto1 : 1, 0 : 1
    10CianorteJoinville4 : 0, 1 : 1
    11Barra FCCascavel3 : 0, 1 : 0
    12CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    13AparecidenseMarica2 : 2, 2 : 1
    14EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 2, 1 : 1
    15Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias2 : 1, 0 : 0
    16Rio Branco ESLuverdense3 : 0, 0 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Central SCMaranhao0 : 0, 1 : 2
    2ASAManauara0 : 0, 1 : 0
    3AE AltosSanta Cruz0 : 1, 1 : 1
    4America RNImperatriz0 : 0, 1 : 0
    5MixtoCianorte0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6Barra FCCeilandia1 : 0, 1 : 1
    7AparecidenseGoiatuba0 : 2, 3 : 2
    8Inter de LimeiraRio Branco ES0 : 0, 1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1MaranhaoASA3 : 0, 1 : 0
    2Santa CruzAmerica RN1 : 1, 1 : 0
    3CianorteBarra FC0 : 1, 0 : 0
    4GoiatubaInter de Limeira0 : 1, 0 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1MaranhaoSanta Cruz0 : 1
    2Barra FCInter de Limeira2 : 0

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2