Paranoá vs Capital CF Ltda – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense Paranoá - Capital CF Ltda
Result
1:2
15/02/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Brasiliense - Round 7

Match Stats

Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Victor Lucas ,
  • 40', 1 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 67', 🟥,
  • 76', 1 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Paranoá
18.8%
Draw
26.2%
Capital CF Ltda
54.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.4% 27.1% 40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1% 27.4% 41%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Paranoá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paranoá's form might have worsened.
  • Capital CF Ltda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Capital CF Ltda's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paranoá than the current prediction. (+13.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paranoá, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Capital CF Ltda than the current prediction. (-13.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Capital CF Ltda, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Paranoá - Capital CF Ltda Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.83
    (2.81)
    3.47
    (3.37)
    1.66
    (2.25)
    9.9%
    (9.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasiliense (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 5).
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • Capital could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Capital will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Paranoá won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:6 (average 1:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Paranoá won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:5 (average 1:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Paranoá - Capital CF Ltda were as follows:
    14.01.2024 Paranoá - Capital CF Ltda 0:0
    17.02.2023 Capital CF Ltda - Paranoá 1:1
    Latest results of Paranoá
    12.02.2025 Ceilandense - Paranoá 3:4
    08.02.2025 Paranoá - Ceilândia 1:2
    01.02.2025 Gama - Paranoá 1:0
    29.01.2025 Paranoá - Samambaia 2:0
    26.01.2025 Sobradinho - Paranoá 0:1
    Latest results of Capital CF Ltda
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Brasiliense (1)Gama (4)0 : 0, 0 : 3
    2Capital (2)Ceilandia (3)2 : 1, 1 : 1

    Final
    1Gama (4)Capital (2)2 : 1