Result
1:0
08/02/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Paulista - Round 7
- Referee: dos Santos F. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | HBO Max |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.71 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 28% | 72% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (182/253) | 90% (565/629) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.71 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.11 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 8 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (182/253) | 90% (565/629) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (20/56) | 72% (44/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (33/62) | 81% (167/207) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/4) | 24% (8/34) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 1.11 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 100% (5/5) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 32 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 43 | 8 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.11 | 1.06 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.11 | 0.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 17', Yuri Lara 🟨,
- 31', 1 - 0, Vinicius Popo ⚽,
- 41', Ravanelli 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Shaylon ↓, Carlos Eduardo ↑,
- 46', Yuri Lara ↓, Denilson ↑,
- 46', Everton Galdino ↓, Nathan Fogaca ↑,
- 46', Ravanelli ↓, Felipe Azevedo ↑,
- 54', Luiz Otavio 🟨,
- 58', Luiz Otavio ↓, Rodrigo Rodrigues ↑,
- 68', Bruno Silva ↓, Vinicius Guedes ↑,
- 70', Denilson 🟨,
- 72', Lucas Mugni 🟨,
- 74', Lucas Mugni ↓, Renato Marques ↑,
- 76', Baianinho ↓, Mike ↑,
- 76', Leonan Santos ↓, Tarcisio ↑,
- 82', Igor Carius 🟨,
- 83', Carlos Eduardo ↓, Lucas Dias ↑,
Chances of winning
Capivariano
23.1% | Draw
27.9% | Mirassol
49% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Capivariano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)Mirassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Capivariano than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Capivariano that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Capivariano - Mirassol Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.01 ↓
(4.97) |
3.33 ↑
(2.94) |
1.89 ↑
(1.83) |
8%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 9).
- Capivariano has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Mirassol is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Mirassol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Mirassol is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Mirassol: Andre Luis
(Inactive)
Daniel Borges
(Inactive)
Edson Carioca
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Capivariano: Bastos R.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Mirassol: Renato Marques
(Injury)
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Capivariano won against Mirassol?
Capivariano has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mirassol won against Capivariano?
Mirassol has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Capivariano - Mirassol were as follows:
Latest results of Capivariano
Latest results of Mirassol
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Novorizontino (1) | Santos (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Portuguesa (4) | Corinthians (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Palmeiras (2) | Capivariano (7) | 4 : 0 |
| 4 | Bragantino (3) | Sao Paulo (6) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Novorizontino (1) | Corinthians (5) | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Palmeiras (2) | Sao Paulo (6) | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Novorizontino (1) | Palmeiras (2) | |
