Result
2:0
17/01/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Paulista - Round 3
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | HBO Max |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 0.27 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (360/443) | 72% (240/334) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 0.27 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.80 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (360/443) | 72% (240/334) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (34/60) | 27% (14/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (110/148) | 50% (53/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 8% (1/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.26 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 29 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 72% (13/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 20', 1 - 0, Rodolfo ⚽,
- 30', Machado R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Rodolfo ↓, Vinicius Popo ↑,
- 46', Machado R. ↓, Gustavo Almeida ↑,
- 46', Matheus ↓, Kaio Ganga ↑,
- 46', Nikolas Francisco ↓, Lucas Emanuel ↑,
- 49', Gustavo Almeida 🟨,
- 54', Ravanelli ↓, Thiago Moraes ↑,
- 57', Mike ↓, Matheus Guilherme ↑,
- 57', Felipe Azevedo ↓, Baianinho ↑,
- 59', Diego Tavares ↓, Julio ↑,
- 74', Vinicius Guedes ↓, Lucas Dias ↑,
- 79', Diogo Mateus 🟨,
- 79', Bruno Lopes ↓, Joao Damiao ↑,
- 90+1', Baianinho 🟨,
- 90+4', Vinicius Popo 🟨,
- 90+5', 2 - 0, Baianinho ⚽,
Chances of winning
Capivariano
52.8% | Draw
28.8% | Ponte Preta
18.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Capivariano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Capivariano's performance.Ponte Preta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ponte Preta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
Capivariano - Ponte Preta Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.77 ↓
(2.21) |
3.25 ↑
(2.92) |
5 ↑
(3.39) |
7.3%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Capivariano - Ponte Preta?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Capivariano will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Capivariano (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Ponte Preta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Capivariano is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Capivariano: Ricardo Cerqueira
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Ponte Preta: Danilo Barcelos
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Capivariano: Bastos R.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Ponte Preta: Joao Gabriel
(Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Capivariano won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).
- Including home matches between the teams, Capivariano won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Capivariano won against Ponte Preta?
Capivariano has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ponte Preta won against Capivariano?
Ponte Preta has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Capivariano - Ponte Preta were as follows:
Latest results of Capivariano
Latest results of Ponte Preta
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Novorizontino (1) | Santos (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Portuguesa (4) | Corinthians (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Palmeiras (2) | Capivariano (7) | 4 : 0 |
| 4 | Bragantino (3) | Sao Paulo (6) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Novorizontino (1) | Corinthians (5) | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Palmeiras (2) | Sao Paulo (6) | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Novorizontino (1) | Palmeiras (2) | |
