Capixaba SC vs Vilavelhense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
29/01/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Capixaba - Round 5

Match Stats

Ball possession
44%56%
Total shots
712
Shots on target
53
Corner kicks
56
Yellow cards
32
Total shots
712
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
29
Corner kicks
56

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 4', Carlos 🟨,
  • 32', Gabriel Dembele 🟨,
  • 45+2', 1 - 0, Palacios Cantillo J. D. (Own goal),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Daniel Rodrigues , Shaider ,
  • 46', Juninho , Kelvin ,
  • 46', Alberto , Campos Almeida E. d. S. ,
  • 61', Lucas Bonete , Joao Rozario ,
  • 67', Gian Carlos , Feijao ,
  • 72', 2 - 0, Fernandes G. ,
  • 76', Gilliard 🟨,
  • 77', Gilliard , Tavares G. ,
  • 79', 2 - 1, Guilherme ,
  • 86', Pepe , Matheus Cazares ,
  • 87', Marquinhos , Dembele ,
  • 88', Matheus Cazares 🟨,
  • 89', Makelele 🟨,
  • 90+6', Shaider , Salah ,

Chances of winning


Capixaba SC
29.4%
Draw
27.3%
Vilavelhense
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.2% 27.3% 29.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Capixaba SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Capixaba SC's form might have worsened.
  • Vilavelhense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vilavelhense's recent form is better than expected.
  • Capixaba SC - Vilavelhense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.09
    (2.12)
    3.32
    (3.35)
    2.09
    (3.1)
    10.3%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Capixaba SC - Vilavelhense?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Vilavelhense (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • EH +1 - Capixaba (1.95) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Vilavelhense (1.52) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • DC - Vilavelhense (1.27) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
  • Users Predictions: Vilavelhense will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Capixaba (votes: 2 - 25%). Vilavelhense (votes: 6 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 9 in the zone Relegation ~ Capixaba 2 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))
    • Capixaba may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Vilavelhense is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Capixaba won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.2:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Capixaba won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Capixaba SC - Vilavelhense were as follows:
    23.02.2025 Vilavelhense - Capixaba SC 1:2
    24.11.2024 Capixaba SC - Vilavelhense 1:0
    28.07.2024 Vilavelhense - Capixaba SC 1:0
    20.07.2024 Capixaba SC - Vilavelhense 2:1
    02.06.2024 Capixaba SC - Vilavelhense 1:0
    Latest results of Capixaba SC
    Latest results of Vilavelhense
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Rio Branco ES (4)Porto Vitoria (5)0 : 1, 1 : 1
    2Vitoria ES (1)Forte (8)4 : 1, 1 : 1
    3Vilavelhense (3)Desportiva Ferroviaria (6)1 : 1, 1 : 1
    4Serra (2)Real Noroeste (7)1 : 0, 1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Porto VitoriaVitoria ES
    2VilavelhenseSerra

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2