Result
1:1
23/03/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga FUTVE - Apertura - Round 9
- Referee: Uzcategui J. (Ven)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 1.11 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (321/397) | 72% (213/295) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 1.11 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 1.24 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (321/397) | 72% (213/295) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (30/61) | 32% (19/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (72/125) | 63% (47/75) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (4/22) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 0.44 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 63% (10/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.24 | 1.08 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.24 | 0.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 5', Fuentes J. 🟨,
- 17', Saggiomo D. ↓, Hernandez J. ↑,
- 23', Castillo E. ↓, Bahachille A. ↑,
- 44', Bamba G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 47', 0 - 1, Vargas J. ⚽,
- 52', Cova M. 🟨,
- 63', Velasquez J. 🟨,
- 66', Velasquez J. ↓, Melendez G. ↑,
- 69', Tortolero E. ↓, Ramirez E. ↑,
- 71', Obradovic S. 🟨,
- 74', 1 - 1, Fuentes J. ⚽, Orozco Y. (A),
- 77', Ponce A. ↓, Pernia E. ↑,
- 77', Castillo J. ↓, Moreno J. ↑,
- 82', Vargas J. 🟨,
- 90', Cova M. ↓, Lopez F. ↑,
- 90', Fuentes J. ↓, Mendoza S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Carabobo
40.5% | Draw
31% | Academia Puerto Cabello
28.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carabobo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Academia Puerto Cabello has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carabobo than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Academia Puerto Cabello than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Carabobo - Academia Puerto Cabello Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.27 ↓
(2.28) |
2.96 ↓
(2.98) |
3.23 ↓
(3.38) |
8.9%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Carabobo - Academia Puerto Cabello?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Carabobo (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Carabobo will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carabobo won 4.
- Carabobo has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Puerto Cabello is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Puerto Cabello may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Carabobo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Carabobo won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:20. (average 1.1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Carabobo won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 0.9:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Carabobo won against Academia Puerto Cabello?
Carabobo has won 7 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Academia Puerto Cabello won against Carabobo?
Academia Puerto Cabello has won 2 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Carabobo - Academia Puerto Cabello were as follows:
23.11.2025
Carabobo
-
Academia Puerto Cabello
1:0
19.07.2025
Carabobo
-
Academia Puerto Cabello
2:0
01.06.2025
Academia Puerto Cabello
-
Carabobo
1:3
10.05.2025
Carabobo
-
Academia Puerto Cabello
0:0
08.02.2025
Academia Puerto Cabello
-
Carabobo
1:3
Latest results of Carabobo
Latest results of Academia Puerto Cabello
Venezuelan Primera Division Table
Apertura - QuadrangularGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Portuguesa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | La Guaira | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Universidad Central | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Puerto Cabello | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Estudiantes Merida | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Carabobo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Metropolitanos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Dep. Tachira | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Final: )
