Result
5:0
15/03/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga FUTVE - Apertura - Round 7
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.31 | 0.19 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (316/384) | 73% (192/263) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.31 | 0.19 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.61 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (316/384) | 73% (192/263) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 65% (34/52) | 31% (16/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (96/138) | 59% (42/71) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (4/18) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.20 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 89% (17/19) | 83% (10/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 31 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 3.61 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -1.39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 10', Orejuela S. ↓, Conde Chourio O. I. ↑,
- 23', Chacon P. 🟨,
- 26', Ochoa J. 🟨,
- 26', Arias J. 🟨,
- 27', 1 - 0, Tortolero E. (Penalty Awarded),
- 38', Mendoza S. 🟨,
- 39', 2 - 0, Martinez L. ⚽, Orozco Y. (A),
- 40', Tortolero E. ↓, Berios J. ↑,
- 42', Martinez L. 🟨,
- 45+9', Chacon P. 🟥,
- 45+10', 3 - 0, Berios J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Mendoza S. ↓, Cova M. ↑,
- 46', Arias J. ↓, Diaz F. ↑,
- 46', Kinsler A. ↓, Julio J. ↑,
- 47', 4 - 0, Meza D. ⚽, Berios J. (A),
- 56', Martinez L. ↓, Calabrese S. ↑,
- 58', 5 - 0, Berios J. ⚽, Guaramato M. (A),
- 60', Vasquez Ferrer D. A. ↓, Colina Bracho J. A. ↑,
- 65', Fuentes J. ↓, Duran J. ↑,
- 65', Orozco Y. ↓, Diaz F. ↑,
- 84', Gomez J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Carabobo 71% | Draw 19.7% | Rayo Zuliano 9.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carabobo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Carabobo's performance.Rayo Zuliano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carabobo than the current prediction. (-7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carabobo that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Zuliano than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Carabobo - Rayo Zuliano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.31 ↓ (1.49) |
4.71 ↑ (4) |
9.97 ↑ (6.62) |
7.8% (7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carabobo won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Rayo Zuliano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Carabobo is the clear favorite.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Carabobo won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Carabobo won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Carabobo won against Rayo Zuliano?
Carabobo has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rayo Zuliano won against Carabobo?
Rayo Zuliano has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Carabobo - Rayo Zuliano were as follows:
30.08.2025
Rayo Zuliano
-
Carabobo
0:2
28.03.2025
Carabobo
-
Rayo Zuliano
1:0
05.10.2024
Rayo Zuliano
-
Carabobo
2:1
06.04.2024
Carabobo
-
Rayo Zuliano
2:2
29.07.2023
Rayo Zuliano
-
Carabobo
0:0
Latest results of Carabobo
Latest results of Rayo Zuliano
Venezuelan Primera Division Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Universidad Central | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 19 |
| 2 | La Guaira | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 | 19 |
| 3 | Metropolitanos | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14:9 | 5 | 18 |
| 4 | Dep. Tachira | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 17 |
| 5 | Puerto Cabello | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 13 |
| 6 | Portuguesa | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13:10 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | Carabobo | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 11:6 | 5 | 12 |
| 8 | Estudiantes Merida | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14:13 | 1 | 11 |
| 9 | Zamora | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Rayo Zuliano | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:16 | -7 | 11 |
| 11 | Caracas | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 8 |
| 12 | Monagas | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7:16 | -9 | 7 |
| 13 | Anzoategui FC | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6:14 | -8 | 5 |
| 14 | Trujillanos | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 7:17 | -10 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )