Carabobo vs Rayo Zuliano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:0
15/03/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga FUTVE - Apertura - Round 7

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
3.310.19
Ball possession
59%41%
Total shots
203
Shots on target
80
Big chances
30
Corner kicks
61
Passes
82% (316/384)73% (192/263)
Yellow cards
24
Red cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
3.310.19
xG on target (xGOT)
3.610.00
Total shots
203
Shots on target
80
Shots off target
93
Blocked shots
30
Shots inside the box
132
Shots outside the box
71
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
30
Corner kicks
61
Touches in opposition box
259
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free kicks
910
Passes
82% (316/384)73% (192/263)
Long passes
65% (34/52)31% (16/52)
Passes in final third
70% (96/138)59% (42/71)
Crosses
22% (4/18)25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.080.20
Throw ins
1911
Fouls
109
Tackles
89% (17/19)83% (10/12)
Duels won
4231
Clearances
1417
Interceptions
910
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
13
xGOT faced
0.003.61
Goals prevented
0.00-1.39

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 10', Orejuela S. , Conde Chourio O. I. ,
  • 23', Chacon P. 🟨,
  • 26', Ochoa J. 🟨,
  • 26', Arias J. 🟨,
  • 27', 1 - 0, Tortolero E. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 38', Mendoza S. 🟨,
  • 39', 2 - 0, Martinez L. , Orozco Y. (A),
  • 40', Tortolero E. , Berios J. ,
  • 42', Martinez L. 🟨,
  • 45+9', Chacon P. 🟥,
  • 45+10', 3 - 0, Berios J. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Mendoza S. , Cova M. ,
  • 46', Arias J. , Diaz F. ,
  • 46', Kinsler A. , Julio J. ,
  • 47', 4 - 0, Meza D. , Berios J. (A),
  • 56', Martinez L. , Calabrese S. ,
  • 58', 5 - 0, Berios J. , Guaramato M. (A),
  • 60', Vasquez Ferrer D. A. , Colina Bracho J. A. ,
  • 65', Fuentes J. , Duran J. ,
  • 65', Orozco Y. , Diaz F. ,
  • 84', Gomez J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Carabobo
71%
Draw
19.7%
Rayo Zuliano
9.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.6% 23.3% 14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64% 23.8% 13.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Carabobo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Carabobo's performance.
  • Rayo Zuliano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carabobo than the current prediction. (-7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carabobo that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Zuliano than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • Carabobo - Rayo Zuliano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.31
    (1.49)
    4.71
    (4)
    9.97
    (6.62)
    7.8%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carabobo won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Rayo Zuliano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Carabobo is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Carabobo won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Carabobo won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Carabobo - Rayo Zuliano were as follows:
    30.08.2025 Rayo Zuliano - Carabobo 0:2
    28.03.2025 Carabobo - Rayo Zuliano 1:0
    05.10.2024 Rayo Zuliano - Carabobo 2:1
    06.04.2024 Carabobo - Rayo Zuliano 2:2
    29.07.2023 Rayo Zuliano - Carabobo 0:0
    Latest results of Carabobo
    07.03.2026 Zamora - Carabobo 0:0
    28.02.2026 Carabobo - Caracas 0:0
    24.02.2026 Huachipato - Carabobo 1:2
    Venezuelan Primera Division Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1La Guaira ✔ 1165014:6823
    2Universidad Central ✔ 1171323:16722
    3Dep. Tachira1162314:10420
    4Metropolitanos1154214:10419
    5Estudiantes Merida1152418:14417
    6Carabobo1137116:9716
    7Portuguesa1144317:12516
    8Zamora1143412:12015
    9Rayo Zuliano1142512:20-814
    10Puerto Cabello1134412:12013
    11Caracas1125412:15-311
    12Monagas1131711:18-710
    13Anzoategui FC1122711:18-78
    14Trujillanos110478:22-144

          Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    La Guaira is Qualified for Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
    Universidad Central is Qualified for Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )