Result
1:0
10/08/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga FUTVE - Clausura - Round 6
- Referee: Soto R. (Ven)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 0.69 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (248/329) | 86% (397/464) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 0.69 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (248/329) | 86% (397/464) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (21/67) | 52% (24/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (67/103) | 65% (89/136) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (2/7) | 38% (8/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.76 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (15/22) | 75% (12/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 5 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.13 | 0.62 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.13 | -0.38 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 14', Moreno J. 🟨,
- 17', Reinoso L. 🟨,
- 27', Yendis J. 🟨,
- 30', Doldan J. 🟨,
- 36', Doldan J. 🟥,
- 38', Pena A. 🟨,
- 44', Moreno J. ↓, Marquez J. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 56', Reinoso L. ↓, Covea M. ↑,
- 56', Heraldez L. ↓, Aguilar D. ↑,
- 57', 1 - 0, Pena A. ⚽, Hernandez J. (A),
- 68', Murillo J. ↓, De Santis J. ↑,
- 68', Rito E. ↓, Jimenez N. ↑,
- 68', Pena A. ↓, Browne O. ↑,
- 68', Ramirez Holguin W. S. 🟨,
- 69', Hernandez J. 🟨,
- 72', De Santis J. 🟨,
- 79', Jimenez N. 🟨,
- 79', Quintero J. ↓, Hernandez J. ↑,
- 81', Fernandez M. ↓, Alderete E. ↑,
- 81', Hernandez J. ↓, Ortiz K. ↑,
- 90+6', Rivas C. 🟨,
- 90+7', Jimenez N. 🟨,
- 90+8', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Estudiantes de Mérida
42.3% | Draw
29.6% | Caracas
28.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estudiantes de Mérida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Caracas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes de Mérida than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caracas than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Estudiantes de Mérida - Caracas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.17 ↑
(2.05) |
3.11 ↓
(3.23) |
3.26 ↓
(3.39) |
8.9%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Est de Mérida won 1.
- Recent form of Est de Mérida has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Caracas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Est de Mérida will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Est de Mérida won 3 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:32. (average 1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Est de Mérida won 0 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.8:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Estudiantes de Mérida won against Caracas?
Estudiantes de Mérida has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Caracas won against Estudiantes de Mérida?
Caracas has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Estudiantes de Mérida - Caracas were as follows:
01.03.2025
Caracas
-
Estudiantes de Mérida
0:0
15.08.2024
Caracas
-
Estudiantes de Mérida
2:3
24.02.2024
Estudiantes de Mérida
-
Caracas
1:1
05.08.2023
Estudiantes de Mérida
-
Caracas
0:2
09.04.2023
Caracas
-
Estudiantes de Mérida
2:2
Latest results of Estudiantes de Mérida
Latest results of Caracas
Venezuelan Primera Division Table
Clausura - QuadrangularGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Puerto Cabello | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Zamora | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | La Guaira | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Monagas | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Caracas | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | Carabobo | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Dep. Tachira | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
| 4 | Metropolitanos | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Final: )
