Estudiantes de Mérida vs Caracas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Venezuelan Primera Division Estudiantes de Mérida - Caracas
Result
1:0
10/08/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga FUTVE - Clausura - Round 6
  • Referee: Soto R. (Ven)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.490.69
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
1516
Shots on target
95
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
23
Passes
75% (248/329)86% (397/464)
Yellow Cards
75
Red Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.490.69
xG on target (xGOT)
0.620.13
Total shots
1516
Shots on target
95
Shots off target
37
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
77
Shots outside the Box
89
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
23
Touches in opposition box
1315
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1912
Passes
75% (248/329)86% (397/464)
Long passes
31% (21/67)52% (24/46)
Passes in final third
65% (67/103)65% (89/136)
Crosses
29% (2/7)38% (8/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.460.76
Throw-ins
1718
Fouls
1221
Tackles
68% (15/22)75% (12/16)
Duels won
4540
Clearances
215
Interceptions
139
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
58
xGOT faced
0.130.62
Goals prevented
0.13-0.38

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 14', Moreno J. 🟨,
  • 17', Reinoso L. 🟨,
  • 27', Yendis J. 🟨,
  • 30', Doldan J. 🟨,
  • 36', Doldan J. 🟥,
  • 38', Pena A. 🟨,
  • 44', Moreno J. , Marquez J. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 56', Reinoso L. , Covea M. ,
  • 56', Heraldez L. , Aguilar D. ,
  • 57', 1 - 0, Pena A. , Hernandez J. (A),
  • 68', Murillo J. , De Santis J. ,
  • 68', Rito E. , Jimenez N. ,
  • 68', Pena A. , Browne O. ,
  • 68', Ramirez Holguin W. S. 🟨,
  • 69', Hernandez J. 🟨,
  • 72', De Santis J. 🟨,
  • 79', Jimenez N. 🟨,
  • 79', Quintero J. , Hernandez J. ,
  • 81', Fernandez M. , Alderete E. ,
  • 81', Hernandez J. , Ortiz K. ,
  • 90+6', Rivas C. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Jimenez N. 🟨,
  • 90+8', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Estudiantes de Mérida
42.3%
Draw
29.6%
Caracas
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.7% 28.3% 27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5% 28.2% 27.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Estudiantes de Mérida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Caracas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes de Mérida than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caracas than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • Estudiantes de Mérida - Caracas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.17
    (2.05)
    3.11
    (3.23)
    3.26
    (3.39)
    8.9%
    (9.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Est de Mérida won 1.
    • Recent form of Est de Mérida has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Caracas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Est de Mérida will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Est de Mérida won 3 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:32. (average 1:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Est de Mérida won 0 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.8:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Estudiantes de Mérida - Caracas were as follows:
    01.03.2025 Caracas - Estudiantes de Mérida 0:0
    15.08.2024 Caracas - Estudiantes de Mérida 2:3
    24.02.2024 Estudiantes de Mérida - Caracas 1:1
    05.08.2023 Estudiantes de Mérida - Caracas 0:2
    09.04.2023 Caracas - Estudiantes de Mérida 2:2
    Latest results of Caracas
    Venezuelan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1La Guaira ✔ 13101229:82131
    2Dep. Tachira ✔ 1383223:121127
    3Carabobo ✔ 1374214:8625
    4Monagas ✔ 1263317:13421
    5Caracas ✔ 1263316:12421
    6Zamora ✔ 1361611:15-419
    7Estudiantes Merida1251611:14-316
    8Puerto Cabello1236311:10115
    9Metropolitanos1242620:19114
    10Universidad Central1242614:17-314
    11Rayo Zuliano1241710:18-813
    12Anzoategui FC123188:16-810
    13Portuguesa1231810:20-107
    14Yaracuyanos122199:21-127

          Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    La Guaira is Qualified for Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
    Dep. Tachira is Qualified for Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
    Carabobo is Qualified for Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
    Monagas is Qualified for Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
    Caracas is Qualified for Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
    Zamora is Qualified for Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )