Result
4:2
17/03/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga FUTVE - Apertura - Round 8
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 1.79 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (377/443) | 76% (216/286) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 1.79 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 1.60 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (377/443) | 76% (216/286) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (27/50) | 51% (24/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (113/153) | 55% (32/58) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (6/21) | 14% (2/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.43 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (15/23) | 57% (13/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.60 | 1.34 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.40 | -2.66 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', 0 - 1, Bareiro Munoz F. V. ⚽,
- 17', Mago L. 🟨,
- 18', 1 - 1, Yendis J. ⚽, Larotonda C. (A),
- 20', Covea M. 🟨,
- 23', Ortiz J. 🟨,
- 34', Ortiz J. ↓, Polo A. ↑,
- 35', Abreu E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 56', Figueroa A. ↓, Uribe J. ↑,
- 56', Robert Hernandez ↓, Vegas C. ↑,
- 59', Gonzalez M. 🟨,
- 60', Carmona J. ↓, Morillo R. ↑,
- 60', Fernandez M. ↓, Femia N. ↑,
- 61', 1 - 2, Polo A. ⚽, Femia N. (A),
- 62', Larotonda C. ↓, Martinez Aponte C. A. ↑,
- 78', Covea M. ↓, Reinoso L. ↑,
- 78', Herrera A. ↓, Rondon J. ↑,
- 78', Chaverra F. 🟨,
- 83', 2 - 2, La Mantia F. (Penalty Awarded),
- 87', Abreu E. ↓, Mendez J. ↑,
- 87', Gonzalez M. ↓, Trompetera G. ↑,
- 88', 3 - 2, Reinoso L. ⚽, Uribe J. (A),
- 90', 4 - 2, Vegas C. ⚽, Reinoso L. (A),
- 90+2', Fernandez A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Caracas
59.5% | Draw
25.6% | Trujillanos
14.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caracas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Caracas's performance.Trujillanos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Trujillanos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caracas than the current prediction. (-13.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Caracas that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trujillanos than the current prediction. (+10.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Trujillanos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Caracas - Trujillanos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.56 ↓
(1.82) |
3.62 ↑
(3.43) |
6.26 ↑
(4.05) |
7.7%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 12 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caracas won 2.
- Caracas has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Trujillanos is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Caracas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Caracas is a strong favorite.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Caracas won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:11. (average 1.5:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Caracas won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:2. (average 2:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Caracas won against Trujillanos?
Caracas has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Trujillanos won against Caracas?
Trujillanos has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Caracas - Trujillanos were as follows:
Latest results of Caracas
Latest results of Trujillanos
Venezuelan Primera Division Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Universidad Central | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 19 |
| 2 | La Guaira | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 | 19 |
| 3 | Metropolitanos | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14:9 | 5 | 18 |
| 4 | Dep. Tachira | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 17 |
| 5 | Puerto Cabello | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 13 |
| 6 | Portuguesa | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13:10 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | Carabobo | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 11:6 | 5 | 12 |
| 8 | Estudiantes Merida | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14:13 | 1 | 11 |
| 9 | Zamora | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Rayo Zuliano | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:16 | -7 | 11 |
| 11 | Caracas | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 8 |
| 12 | Monagas | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7:16 | -9 | 7 |
| 13 | Anzoategui FC | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6:14 | -8 | 5 |
| 14 | Trujillanos | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 7:17 | -10 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )
