Carapebus Campos vs Barra Mansa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Carioca B2 Carapebus Campos - Barra Mansa
Result
1:1
03/11/2024 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Carioca B2 - Round 8

Match Stats

Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 7', 1 - 0, ,
  • 41', 1 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 90+2', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Carapebus Campos
33%
Draw
30.2%
Barra Mansa
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.5% 28.3% 29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1% 28.7% 28.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Carapebus Campos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carapebus Campos's form might have worsened.
  • Barra Mansa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Barra Mansa's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carapebus Campos than the current prediction. (+10.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carapebus Campos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barra Mansa than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Barra Mansa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Carapebus Campos - Barra Mansa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.72
    (2.15)
    2.98
    (3.24)
    2.43
    (3.14)
    11.5%
    (9.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 5 and 9).
    • Carapebus is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Barra Mansa is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Carapebus could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Carapebus will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Carapebus Campos
    Latest results of Barra Mansa
    31.10.2024 Barra Mansa - Mageense 2:1
    27.10.2024 Barra Mansa - Campo Grande FRO
    20.10.2024 Bonsucesso - Barra Mansa 0:0
    17.10.2024 Barra Mansa - Uni Souza 0:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Campo GrandeAA Carapebus1 : 0, 3 : 1
    2BonsucessoNiteroiense3 : 4, 2 : 0

    Final
    1Campo GrandeBonsucesso2 : 1, 2 : 0