Result
1:1
15/02/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 22
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 57', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+2', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Unión Molinense 55.3% | Draw 26.2% | Caravaca 18.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Unión Molinense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Unión Molinense's form might have worsened.Caravaca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Caravaca's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Molinense than the current prediction. (+9.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Unión Molinense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caravaca than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Caravaca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Unión Molinense - Caravaca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.67 ↑ (1.46) |
3.53 ↓ (3.8) |
5.02 ↓ (6.82) |
8% (9.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Unión Molinense - Caravaca?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Caravaca (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 13 (Play Offs: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Molinense won 3.
- Molinense has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Caravaca has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Molinense is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Molinense won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.3:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Molinense won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Unión Molinense won against Caravaca?
Unión Molinense has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Caravaca won against Unión Molinense?
Caravaca has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Unión Molinense - Caravaca were as follows:
05.10.2025
Caravaca
-
Unión Molinense
1:2
09.02.2025
Unión Molinense
-
Caravaca
1:0
28.09.2024
Caravaca
-
Unión Molinense
0:1
17.03.2024
Unión Molinense
-
Caravaca
0:0
29.10.2023
Caravaca
-
Unión Molinense
1:0
Latest results of Unión Molinense
Latest results of Caravaca
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ciudad Cieza | 30 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 53:16 | 37 | 65 |
| 2 | Real Murcia B | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 54:37 | 17 | 55 |
| 3 | Molinense | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 41:31 | 10 | 52 |
| 4 | Mazarron CF | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 43:26 | 17 | 51 |
| 5 | Olimpico de Totana | 30 | 13 | 11 | 6 | 38:24 | 14 | 50 |
| 6 | UCAM Murcia B | 30 | 12 | 13 | 5 | 45:31 | 14 | 49 |
| 7 | Pulpileno | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 28:27 | 1 | 45 |
| 8 | Santa Cruz | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 32:32 | 0 | 42 |
| 9 | Aguilas FC B | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 38:36 | 2 | 42 |
| 10 | Bala Azul | 30 | 8 | 15 | 7 | 33:25 | 8 | 39 |
| 11 | Minerva | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 23:32 | -9 | 38 |
| 12 | FC Cartagena SAD B | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 38:35 | 3 | 36 |
| 13 | EG El Palmar CF | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 24:39 | -15 | 31 |
| 14 | Deportivo Maritimo | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 30:42 | -12 | 30 |
| 15 | Caravaca | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 28:40 | -12 | 26 |
| 16 | Muleno | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 26:47 | -21 | 26 |
| 17 | Yeclano B | 30 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 20:46 | -26 | 24 |
| 18 | Santomera | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 29:57 | -28 | 23 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 13 (Play Offs: )
Relegation