Result
1:1
15/02/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 22
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 57', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+2', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Unión Molinense 55.3% | Draw 26.2% | Caravaca 18.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Unión Molinense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Unión Molinense's form might have worsened.Caravaca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Caravaca's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Molinense than the current prediction. (+9.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Unión Molinense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caravaca than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Caravaca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Unión Molinense - Caravaca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.67 ↑ (1.46) |
3.53 ↓ (3.8) |
5.02 ↓ (6.82) |
8% (9.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Unión Molinense - Caravaca?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Caravaca (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 13 (Play Offs: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Molinense won 3.
- Molinense has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Caravaca has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Molinense is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Molinense won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.3:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Molinense won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Unión Molinense won against Caravaca?
Unión Molinense has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Caravaca won against Unión Molinense?
Caravaca has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Unión Molinense - Caravaca were as follows:
05.10.2025
Caravaca
-
Unión Molinense
1:2
09.02.2025
Unión Molinense
-
Caravaca
1:0
28.09.2024
Caravaca
-
Unión Molinense
0:1
17.03.2024
Unión Molinense
-
Caravaca
0:0
29.10.2023
Caravaca
-
Unión Molinense
1:0
Latest results of Unión Molinense
Latest results of Caravaca
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ciudad Cieza | 27 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 51:15 | 36 | 60 |
| 2 | Real Murcia B | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 52:31 | 21 | 54 |
| 3 | Molinense | 27 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 37:25 | 12 | 51 |
| 4 | Olimpico de Totana | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 33:19 | 14 | 46 |
| 5 | Mazarron CF | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 38:25 | 13 | 44 |
| 6 | UCAM Murcia B | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 37:27 | 10 | 44 |
| 7 | Santa Cruz | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 30:26 | 4 | 39 |
| 8 | Pulpileno | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 24:27 | -3 | 36 |
| 9 | Aguilas FC B | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 33:33 | 0 | 36 |
| 10 | Minerva | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 21:28 | -7 | 34 |
| 11 | FC Cartagena SAD B | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 34:31 | 3 | 33 |
| 12 | Bala Azul | 27 | 5 | 15 | 7 | 25:23 | 2 | 30 |
| 13 | Deportivo Maritimo | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 29:40 | -11 | 28 |
| 14 | EG El Palmar CF | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 22:35 | -13 | 27 |
| 15 | Santomera | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 29:52 | -23 | 23 |
| 16 | Caravaca | 27 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 24:36 | -12 | 23 |
| 17 | Muleno | 27 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 24:46 | -22 | 21 |
| 18 | Yeclano B | 27 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 17:41 | -24 | 21 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 13 (Play Offs: )
Relegation