Caravaggio vs Barra Santa Catarina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense Caravaggio - Barra Santa Catarina
Result
0:1
22/02/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Catarinense - Round 11
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Ball Possession
57%43%
Goal Attempts
610
Shots on Goal
24
Shots off Goal
46
Corner Kicks
65
Goalkeeper Saves
32
Yellow Cards
32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 13', Jesse Costa 🟨,
  • 27', Perin 🟨,
  • 38', Henik , Ruan ,
  • 40', Wilian Carvalho 🟨,
  • 45+5', Joao Miguel 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Padilha , Arthur Augusto ,
  • 46', Wilian Carvalho , Vinicius Barcellos ,
  • 55', Genesis , Elyson ,
  • 64', Vinicius Barcellos 🟨,
  • 65', Vava , Guilherme Teixeira ,
  • 66', Renan Bernabe , Saymon ,
  • 90+6', 0 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Caravaggio
31.2%
Draw
29.8%
Barra Santa Catarina
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.9% 29.8% 31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5% 30.3% 30.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Caravaggio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Caravaggio's form might have worsened.
  • Barra Santa Catarina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Barra Santa Catarina's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caravaggio than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Caravaggio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barra Santa Catarina than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Barra Santa Catarina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Caravaggio - Barra Santa Catarina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.93
    (2.3)
    3.07
    (3)
    2.34
    (2.85)
    9.3%
    (11.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Catarinense (Play Offs: )).
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Caravaggio
    16.02.2025 Figueirense - Caravaggio 5:1
    12.02.2025 Criciúma - Caravaggio 1:2
    09.02.2025 Caravaggio - Joinville 0:1
    06.02.2025 Concórdia - Caravaggio 2:0
    02.02.2025 Caravaggio - Hercílio Luz 1:0
    Latest results of Barra Santa Catarina
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Brusque (4)Chapecoense-SC (5)0 : 1
    2Criciuma (1)Joinville (8)0 : 1
    3Santa Catarina (2)Marcilio Dias (7)2 : 0
    4Avai (3)Figueirense (6)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Chapecoense-SC (5)Joinville (8)2 : 1
    2Santa Catarina (2)Avai (3)1 : 2

    Final
    1Chapecoense-SC (5)Avai (3)1 : 1, 2 : 2