Nação vs Caravaggio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense 2 Nação - Caravaggio
Result
1:0
05/08/2023 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO CATARINENSE 2 - PLAY OFFS - QUARTER-FINALS

Chances of winning


Nação
48.8%
Draw
27.2%
Caravaggio
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.3% 28.3% 33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39% 27.8% 32.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nação has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nação's performance.
  • Caravaggio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Caravaggio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nação than the current prediction. (-9.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nação that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caravaggio than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Caravaggio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Nação - Caravaggio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.82
    (2.35)
    3.26
    (3.18)
    3.7
    (2.69)
    12.6%
    (11.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-1.
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Catarinense 2 (Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Catarinense 2 (Play Offs: )).
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Nação will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Nação won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-7.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Nação won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nação - Caravaggio were as follows:
    30.07.2023 Caravaggio - Nação 1:0
    16.07.2023 Caravaggio - Nação 3:3
    Latest results of Nação
    30.07.2023 Caravaggio - Nação 1:0
    23.07.2023 Nação - Metropolitano 3:2
    16.07.2023 Caravaggio - Nação 3:3
    08.07.2023 Caçador - Nação 1:2
    Latest results of Caravaggio
    30.07.2023 Caravaggio - Nação 1:0
    23.07.2023 Carlos Renaux - Caravaggio 0:1
    16.07.2023 Caravaggio - Nação 3:3
    02.07.2023 Metropolitano - Caravaggio 1:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Blumenau (1)Bye
    2Gremio Juventus (3)Camboriu (6)1 : 2, 1 : 1
    3Carlos Renaux (2)Bye
    4Metropolitano (4)Tubarao (5)2 : 0, 0 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Blumenau (1)Camboriu (6)
    2Carlos Renaux (2)Metropolitano (4)