Caravaggio vs Virtus CiseranoBergamo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie D - Group C Caravaggio - Virtus CiseranoBergamo
Result
2:3
17/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group C - Play Out - Final

Match Stats

Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Liberati F. ,
  • 19', 1 - 1, Ibe C. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 73', Bernacchi D. 🟥,
  • 74', 1 - 2, Ibe C. (Pen),
  • 80', 1 - 3, Ibe C. ,
  • 86', 2 - 3, Scuderi D. ,

Chances of winning


Caravaggio
40%
Draw
26.3%
Virtus CiseranoBergamo
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.3% 27.4% 26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5% 27.5% 26.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Caravaggio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Caravaggio's form might have worsened.
  • Virtus CiseranoBergamo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Virtus CiseranoBergamo's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caravaggio than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Caravaggio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus CiseranoBergamo than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Virtus CiseranoBergamo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Caravaggio - Virtus CiseranoBergamo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.23
    (1.97)
    3.4
    (3.33)
    2.65
    (3.47)
    12%
    (9.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caravaggio won 0.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Caravaggio is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Caravaggio won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Caravaggio won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Caravaggio - Virtus CiseranoBergamo were as follows:
    09.02.2025 Caravaggio - Virtus CiseranoBergamo 1:1
    13.10.2024 Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Caravaggio 2:0
    20.03.2024 Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Caravaggio 1:0
    01.11.2023 Caravaggio - Virtus CiseranoBergamo 1:1
    Latest results of Caravaggio
    04.05.2025 Caravaggio - Luparense 0:3
    27.04.2025 Real Calepina - Caravaggio 0:1
    17.04.2025 Caravaggio - Brusaporto 0:0
    13.04.2025 Brian Lignano - Caravaggio 2:2
    06.04.2025 Caravaggio - Calvi Noale 0:2
    Latest results of Virtus CiseranoBergamo
    Draw
    Winners Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1LivornoBra4 : 1, 2 : 1
    2SiracusaOspitaletto2 : 0, 3 : 2

    Final
    1LivornoSiracusa2 : 1