Result
2:1 penalties
10/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 16', 0 - 1, Roscrow A. ⚽,
- 32', Rees L. 🟥,
- 33', 1 - 1, Eason L. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- Penalties (3 - 2)
- 1, (Pen),
- 1, (Pen),
- 2, (Pen),
- 2, (Pen),
- 3, (Pen),
Chances of winning
Cambrian United
21.1% | Draw
24.7% | Cardiff Metropolitan
54.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cambrian United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cambrian United's form might have worsened.Cardiff Metropolitan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cardiff Metropolitan's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cambrian United than the current prediction. (+9.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cambrian United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff Metropolitan than the current prediction. (-11.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cardiff Metropolitan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Cambrian United - Cardiff Metropolitan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.5 ↑
(3.22) |
3.85 ↑
(3.6) |
1.76 ↓
(2.01) |
5.1%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Cambrian United - Cardiff Metropolitan?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cardiff Metropolitan (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Cardiff Metropolitan will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Cambrian United is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Cardiff Metropolitan has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Cambrian United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Cardiff Metropolitan is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cambrian United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Cambrian United won against Cardiff Metropolitan?
Cambrian United has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cardiff Metropolitan won against Cambrian United?
Cardiff Metropolitan has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cambrian United - Cardiff Metropolitan were as follows:
04.07.2024
Cardiff Metropolitan
-
Cambrian United
3:0
Latest results of Cambrian United
Latest results of Cardiff Metropolitan
Draw
2025/261/32-finals| 1 | Holyhead | Buckley | 0 : 4 |
| 2 | Bye | Newtown | |
| 3 | Guilsfield | Mold Alexandra | 3 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Bala | |
| 5 | Llandudno | Bye | |
| 6 | Gresford | Brickfield | 3 : 0 |
| 7 | Rhyl | Caersws FC | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Denbigh | Flint Mountain | 3 : 1 |
| 9 | Ruthin | Penrhyncoch | 1 : 0 |
| 10 | Bye | Connahs Q. | |
| 11 | TNS | Bye | |
| 12 | Bye | Airbus | |
| 13 | Caernarfon | Bye | |
| 14 | Bye | Colwyn Bay | |
| 15 | Flint | Bye | |
| 16 | Bye | Holywell | |
| 17 | Treowen | Cambrian United | 2 : 3 |
| 18 | Cardiff U21 | Ammanford | 1 : 0 |
| 19 | Cardiff Metropolitan | Bye | |
| 20 | Pontypridd | Cwmbran Celtic | 1 : 0 |
| 21 | Caerau Ely | Trefelin | 3 : 4 |
| 22 | Bye | Penybont | |
| 23 | Briton Ferry | Bye | |
| 24 | Bye | Trethomas Bluebirds | |
| 25 | Haverfordwest | Bye | |
| 26 | Newport City | Baglan Dragons | 2 : 0 |
| 27 | Llantwit Major | Afan Lido | 1 : 2 |
| 28 | Swansea U21 | Carmarthen Town | 4 : 1 |
| 29 | Barry | Bye | |
| 30 | Bye | Aberystwyth | |
| 31 | Ynyshir Albions | Cardiff Draconians | 4 : 1 |
| 32 | Bye | Llanelli | |
1/16-finals| 1 | Buckley | Newtown | 2 : 3 |
| 2 | Guilsfield | Bala | 2 : 3 |
| 3 | Llandudno | Gresford | 7 : 0 |
| 4 | Rhyl | Denbigh | 2 : 3 |
| 5 | Ruthin | Connahs Q. | 0 : 9 |
| 6 | TNS | Airbus | 7 : 1 |
| 7 | Caernarfon | Colwyn Bay | 3 : 0 |
| 8 | Flint | Holywell | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Cambrian United | Cardiff U21 | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Cardiff Metropolitan | Pontypridd | 4 : 0 |
| 11 | Trefelin | Penybont | 1 : 6 |
| 12 | Briton Ferry | Trethomas Bluebirds | 3 : 0 |
| 13 | Haverfordwest | Newport City | 5 : 0 |
| 14 | Afan Lido | Swansea U21 | 0 : 5 |
| 15 | Barry | Aberystwyth | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Ynyshir Albions | Llanelli | 1 : 4 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Newtown | Bala | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Llandudno | Denbigh | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Connahs Q. | TNS | 1 : 3 |
| 4 | Caernarfon | Holywell | 3 : 2 |
| 5 | Cambrian United | Cardiff Metropolitan | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Penybont | Briton Ferry | 2 : 3 |
| 7 | Haverfordwest | Swansea U21 | 4 : 1 |
| 8 | Barry | Llanelli | 1 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Newtown | Llandudno | |
| 2 | TNS | Caernarfon | |
| 3 | Cambrian United | Briton Ferry | |
| 4 | Haverfordwest | Barry | |
