Cambrian United vs Cardiff Metropolitan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Welsh League Cup Cambrian United - Cardiff Metropolitan
Result
2:1 penalties
10/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Cup - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 16', 0 - 1, Roscrow A. ,
  • 32', Rees L. 🟥,
  • 33', 1 - 1, Eason L. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • Penalties (3 - 2)
  • 1, (Pen),
  • 1, (Pen),
  • 2, (Pen),
  • 2, (Pen),
  • 3, (Pen),

Chances of winning


Cambrian United
21.1%
Draw
24.7%
Cardiff Metropolitan
54.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.6% 25.6% 45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31% 23.6% 42.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cambrian United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cambrian United's form might have worsened.
  • Cardiff Metropolitan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cardiff Metropolitan's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cambrian United than the current prediction. (+9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cambrian United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff Metropolitan than the current prediction. (-11.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cardiff Metropolitan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Cambrian United - Cardiff Metropolitan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.5
    (3.22)
    3.85
    (3.6)
    1.76
    (2.01)
    5.1%
    (8.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Cambrian United - Cardiff Metropolitan?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cardiff Metropolitan (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Cardiff Metropolitan will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Cambrian United is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Cardiff Metropolitan has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Cambrian United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Cardiff Metropolitan is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cambrian United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cambrian United - Cardiff Metropolitan were as follows:
    04.07.2024 Cardiff Metropolitan - Cambrian United 3:0
    Latest results of Cambrian United
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/32-finals
    1HolyheadBuckley0 : 4
    2ByeNewtown
    3GuilsfieldMold Alexandra3 : 0
    4ByeBala
    5LlandudnoBye
    6GresfordBrickfield3 : 0
    7RhylCaersws FC2 : 1
    8DenbighFlint Mountain3 : 1
    9RuthinPenrhyncoch1 : 0
    10ByeConnahs Q.
    11TNSBye
    12ByeAirbus
    13CaernarfonBye
    14ByeColwyn Bay
    15FlintBye
    16ByeHolywell
    17TreowenCambrian United2 : 3
    18Cardiff U21Ammanford1 : 0
    19Cardiff MetropolitanBye
    20PontypriddCwmbran Celtic1 : 0
    21Caerau ElyTrefelin3 : 4
    22ByePenybont
    23Briton FerryBye
    24ByeTrethomas Bluebirds
    25HaverfordwestBye
    26Newport CityBaglan Dragons2 : 0
    27Llantwit MajorAfan Lido1 : 2
    28Swansea U21Carmarthen Town4 : 1
    29BarryBye
    30ByeAberystwyth
    31Ynyshir AlbionsCardiff Draconians4 : 1
    32ByeLlanelli

    1/16-finals
    1BuckleyNewtown2 : 3
    2GuilsfieldBala2 : 3
    3LlandudnoGresford7 : 0
    4RhylDenbigh2 : 3
    5RuthinConnahs Q.0 : 9
    6TNSAirbus7 : 1
    7CaernarfonColwyn Bay3 : 0
    8FlintHolywell1 : 2
    9Cambrian UnitedCardiff U212 : 0
    10Cardiff MetropolitanPontypridd4 : 0
    11TrefelinPenybont1 : 6
    12Briton FerryTrethomas Bluebirds3 : 0
    13HaverfordwestNewport City5 : 0
    14Afan LidoSwansea U210 : 5
    15BarryAberystwyth2 : 1
    16Ynyshir AlbionsLlanelli1 : 4

    1/8-finals
    1NewtownBala2 : 1
    2LlandudnoDenbigh3 : 1
    3Connahs Q.TNS1 : 3
    4CaernarfonHolywell3 : 2
    5Cambrian UnitedCardiff Metropolitan2 : 1
    6PenybontBriton Ferry2 : 3
    7HaverfordwestSwansea U214 : 1
    8BarryLlanelli1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1NewtownLlandudno
    2TNSCaernarfon
    3Cambrian UnitedBriton Ferry
    4HaverfordwestBarry