Gap Connahs Quay vs Cardiff Metropolitan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Welsh Cymru Premier Gap Connahs Quay - Cardiff Metropolitan
Result
1:1
13/09/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Cymru Premier - Round 7
  • Referee: Livesey A. D. (Eng)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
84
Shots on target
43
Corner Kicks
26
Yellow Cards
71
Red Cards
10
Total shots
84
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
41
Corner Kicks
26
Goalkeeper Saves
23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Kenny J. ,
  • 37', Hughes R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 51', Ismail Z. 🟨,
  • 58', Jones S. 🟨,
  • 60', Roscrow A. , Payne J. ,
  • 64', Cowan D. 🟨,
  • 66', Evans E. , Rees L. ,
  • 68', 1 - 1, Rees L. ,
  • 70', Edwards N. 🟨,
  • 71', Hughes R. , Buah A. ,
  • 71', Ismail Z. , West C. ,
  • 81', Sharif A. , Roberts D. ,
  • 81', Fregapane M. , Franklin H. ,
  • 83', Roberts D. 🟨,
  • 90+3', 🟨,
  • 90+4', Roberts D. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Gap Connahs Quay
57.3%
Draw
24%
Cardiff Metropolitan
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.1% 24.9% 25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7% 24.1% 24.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gap Connahs Quay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gap Connahs Quay's performance.
  • Cardiff Metropolitan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cardiff Metropolitan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gap Connahs Quay than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gap Connahs Quay that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff Metropolitan than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cardiff Metropolitan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Gap Connahs Quay - Cardiff Metropolitan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.62
    (1.83)
    3.86
    (3.68)
    4.94
    (3.67)
    7.9%
    (9.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Connahs Quay won 3.
    • Connahs Quay has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Cardiff Metropolitan is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Connahs Quay may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Connahs Quay is the team to beat.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Connahs Quay won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:15. (average 1.5:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Connahs Quay won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:6. (average 1.8:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gap Connahs Quay - Cardiff Metropolitan were as follows:
    02.11.2024 Gap Connahs Quay - Cardiff Metropolitan 1:0
    21.09.2024 Cardiff Metropolitan - Gap Connahs Quay 2:1
    06.04.2024 Cardiff Metropolitan - Gap Connahs Quay 0:3
    24.02.2024 Gap Connahs Quay - Cardiff Metropolitan 2:1
    04.11.2023 Cardiff Metropolitan - Gap Connahs Quay 3:1
    Latest results of Gap Connahs Quay
    Welsh Cymru Premier Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1TNS1182130:72326
    2Penybont1172218:61223
    3Caernarfon1162327:161120
    4Connahs Q1043314:13115
    5Bala114349:14-515
    6Colwyn Bay1135313:9414
    7Barry1135314:14014
    8Flint1032519:24-511
    9Cardiff Metropolitan1125416:22-611
    10Briton Ferry1024416:17-110
    11Haverfordwest1022610:20-108
    12Llanelli112186:30-247

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