Cardiff Metropolitan vs The New Saints – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Welsh Cymru Premier Cardiff Metropolitan - The New Saints
Result
1:3
19/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Cymru Premier - Round 8
  • Referee: Kenny R. (Wal)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
78
Shots on target
23
Corner Kicks
29
Yellow Cards
11
Total shots
78
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
55
Corner Kicks
29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 3)
  • 11', Walsh L. , Soady B. ,
  • 15', 0 - 1, Williams D. ,
  • 17', 1 - 1, Roscrow A. ,
  • 20', Redmond D. 🟨,
  • 30', 1 - 2, Wilson B. ,
  • 45+5', 1 - 3, Holden R. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 60', Redmond D. , Clark B. ,
  • 66', Reynolds R. , John H. ,
  • 66', Roscrow A. , Payne J. ,
  • 66', Evans E. , Rees L. ,
  • 70', Brobbel R. , Nadin J. ,
  • 70', Williams J. , Wilson A. ,
  • 72', Morris J. , Lonergan R. ,
  • 88', Wilson B. , Charles K. ,
  • 90+3', Rees L. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Cardiff Metropolitan
7.1%
Draw
13.1%
The New Saints
79.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
12.2% 19.9% 68%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.8% 19.3% 70.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cardiff Metropolitan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cardiff Metropolitan's form might have worsened.
  • The New Saints has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting The New Saints's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff Metropolitan than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for The New Saints than the current prediction. (-9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for The New Saints, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Cardiff Metropolitan - The New Saints Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    13.4
    (7.6)
    7.32
    (4.65)
    1.2
    (1.36)
    4.5%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Cardiff Metropolitan - The New Saints?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Cardiff Metropolitan will win (votes: 1 - 25%). TNS will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cardiff Metropolitan won 0.
    • Cardiff Metropolitan has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • TNS is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, TNS is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cardiff Metropolitan won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 16 matches, and goals 13:75. (average 0.7:3.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cardiff Metropolitan won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 9:38. (average 0.8:3.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cardiff Metropolitan - The New Saints were as follows:
    22.03.2025 Cardiff Metropolitan - The New Saints 0:6
    01.02.2025 The New Saints - Cardiff Metropolitan 3:1
    14.01.2025 Cardiff Metropolitan - The New Saints 0:2
    16.11.2024 Cardiff Metropolitan - The New Saints 1:3
    12.10.2024 The New Saints - Cardiff Metropolitan 3:0
    Latest results of The New Saints
    Welsh Cymru Premier Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1TNS1072126:71923
    2Penybont1071218:61222
    3Caernarfon962127:121520
    4Bala104339:12-315
    5Barry1035214:10414
    6Connahs Q933311:13-212
    7Colwyn Bay1025312:9311
    8Flint932418:21-311
    9Briton Ferry923416:17-19
    10Llanelli102176:27-217
    11Cardiff Metropolitan905411:22-115
    12Haverfordwest91267:19-125

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          Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: )