Cardiff Metropolitan vs The New Saints – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
21/11/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FA Cup - 1/16-finals

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 28', 0 - 1, Bodenham J. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 86', 1 - 1, Payne J. ,
  • 90+1', 2 - 1, Chubb M. ,

Chances of winning


Cardiff Metropolitan
16.4%
Draw
19.9%
The New Saints
63.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
11.1% 16.3% 72.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cardiff Metropolitan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cardiff Metropolitan's performance.
  • The New Saints has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and The New Saints might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • Cardiff Metropolitan - The New Saints Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.59
    (8.4)
    4.6
    (5.7)
    1.44
    (1.28)
    9.1%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cardiff Metropolitan won 1.
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • Cardiff Metropolitan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, TNS is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cardiff Metropolitan won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 17 matches, and goals 14:79. (average 0.7:4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cardiff Metropolitan won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 9:41. (average 0.8:3.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cardiff Metropolitan - The New Saints were as follows:
    07.11.2025 The New Saints - Cardiff Metropolitan 2:3
    19.09.2025 Cardiff Metropolitan - The New Saints 1:3
    22.03.2025 Cardiff Metropolitan - The New Saints 0:6
    01.02.2025 The New Saints - Cardiff Metropolitan 3:1
    14.01.2025 Cardiff Metropolitan - The New Saints 0:2
    Latest results of The New Saints
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/64-finals
    1PorthmadogDenbigh3 : 2
    2ByeBuckley
    3Port TalbotSeven Sisters2 : 1
    4Afan LidoEvans Williams3 : 2
    5PwllheliRhyl1 : 3
    6BrickfieldNFA3 : 1
    7Llantwit MajorBaglan Dragons2 : 0
    8Cwmbran TownYnyshir Albions5 : 4
    9LlanelliBye
    10ByeHaverfordwest
    11AberystwythBye
    12ByeBarry
    13CaerphillyCaldicot1 : 3
    14Penrhiwceiber RangersPentwynmawr Ath7 : 0
    15Saltney TownGresford3 : 7
    16LlanrugRuthin4 : 3
    17Cardiff MetropolitanBye
    18Taffs WellAbertillery Excelsiors2 : 1
    19Mold AlexandraBye
    20ByeTNS
    21NewtownBye
    22ByeCaernarfon
    23LlannefyddLlanberis5 : 1
    24PenrhyncochSychdyn Utd2 : 0
    25LlwydcoedLliswerry3 : 1
    26PillTreowen (WO.)
    27PontypriddBye
    28RhayaderCefn Cribwr1 : 4
    29Carmarthen TownBye
    30ByeTrethomas Bluebirds
    31Llanfair UnitedKinmel Bay1 : 2
    32ByeColwyn Bay
    33Goytre UtdAmmanford2 : 1
    34ByeCambrian United
    35Briton FerryBye
    36ByePenybont
    37Bow StreetCefn Albion4 : 2
    38ByeFlint
    39HolyheadForden Utd4 : 0
    40ByeAirbus
    41Cwmbach RoyalGarden Village3 : 4
    42Tredegar TownGlynneath Town1 : 3
    43Broughton UtdWelshpool2 : 1
    44Berriew FCTrearddur Bay0 : 3
    45Newport CityBye
    46Penygraig UtdCwm Welfare3 : 2
    47Blaenavon BluesCanton4 : 1
    48PontyclunTata4 : 1
    49St. AsaphBangor 18760 : 6
    50ByeGuilsfield
    51HolywellBye
    52RhostyllenNefyn United5 : 2
    53Dinas PowysAfan United3 : 1
    54Cardiff DraconiansCwmbran Celtic4 : 2
    55Abercarn UnitedSwansea University1 : 2
    56ByeTrefelin
    57Caersws FCHawarden Rangers6 : 1
    58Dolgellau AthleticQueens Park8 : 3
    59PenydarrenCaerau Ely0 : 5
    60Morriston TownClydach1 : 0
    61LlandudnoBye
    62ByeFlint Mountain
    63BalaBye
    64ByeConnahs Q.

    1/32-finals
    1PorthmadogBuckley1 : 0
    2Port TalbotAfan Lido3 : 1
    3RhylBrickfield1 : 0
    4Llantwit MajorCwmbran Town1 : 2
    5LlanelliHaverfordwest3 : 0
    6AberystwythBarry0 : 5
    7CaldicotPenrhiwceiber Rangers0 : 2
    8GresfordLlanrug9 : 0
    9Cardiff MetropolitanTaffs Well5 : 1
    10Mold AlexandraTNS1 : 2
    11NewtownCaernarfon0 : 3
    12LlannefyddPenrhyncoch1 : 2
    13LlwydcoedTreowen2 : 5
    14PontypriddCefn Cribwr3 : 1
    15Carmarthen TownTrethomas Bluebirds5 : 1
    16Kinmel BayColwyn Bay0 : 5
    17Goytre UtdCambrian United0 : 6
    18Briton FerryPenybont0 : 5
    19Bow StreetFlint0 : 3
    20HolyheadAirbus2 : 5
    21Garden VillageGlynneath Town2 : 4
    22Broughton UtdTrearddur Bay0 : 6
    23Newport CityPenygraig Utd3 : 1
    24Blaenavon BluesPontyclun4 : 2
    25Bangor 1876Guilsfield2 : 1
    26HolywellRhostyllen3 : 2
    27Dinas PowysCardiff Draconians1 : 3
    28Swansea UniversityTrefelin1 : 6
    29Caersws FCDolgellau Athletic0 : 1
    30Caerau ElyMorriston Town3 : 0
    31LlandudnoFlint Mountain3 : 0
    32BalaConnahs Q.0 : 3

    1/16-finals
    1PorthmadogPort Talbot3 : 2
    2RhylCwmbran Town3 : 2
    3LlanelliBarry0 : 6
    4Penrhiwceiber RangersGresford0 : 3
    5Cardiff MetropolitanTNS2 : 1
    6CaernarfonPenrhyncoch4 : 0
    7TreowenPontypridd1 : 2
    8Carmarthen TownColwyn Bay1 : 3
    9Cambrian UnitedPenybont1 : 3
    10FlintAirbus1 : 0
    11Glynneath TownTrearddur Bay2 : 5
    12Newport CityBlaenavon Blues3 : 2
    13Bangor 1876Holywell2 : 1
    14Cardiff DraconiansTrefelin3 : 4
    15Dolgellau AthleticCaerau Ely0 : 2
    16LlandudnoConnahs Q.2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1PorthmadogRhyl1 : 2
    2BarryGresford4 : 0
    3Cardiff MetropolitanCaernarfon2 : 4
    4PontypriddColwyn Bay0 : 3
    5PenybontFlint0 : 1
    6Trearddur BayNewport City5 : 3
    7Bangor 1876Trefelin2 : 0
    8Caerau ElyLlandudno2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1RhylBarry2 : 1
    2CaernarfonColwyn Bay4 : 1
    3FlintTrearddur Bay3 : 0
    4Bangor 1876Caerau Ely3 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1RhylCaernarfon
    2FlintBangor 1876

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2