Result
0:2
27/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- National League - Round 12
- Where to Watch on TV:
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|---|
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 6', 0 - 1, Dieseruvwe E. ⚽, Beckwith S. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Macadam H. ↓, Ellis J. ↑,
- 46', Williams J. ↓, Luamba J. ↑,
- 56', 0 - 2, Dieseruvwe E. ⚽,
- 58', Mugabi B. 🟨,
- 60', Mugabi B. ↓, Davies A. ↑,
- 61', Armstrong L. ↓, Kelly G. ↑,
- 61', Whelan C. ↓, Wearne S. ↑,
- 61', Adebayo-Rowling T. 🟨,
- 69', Linney R. 🟨,
- 74', Adebayo-Rowling T. ↓, Moss D. ↑,
- 78', Berkoe K. ↓, Allarakhia T. ↑,
- 78', Rodney D. ↓, Barlow A. ↑,
- 81', Moss D. 🟨,
- 86', McBride C. ↓, Pettit C. ↑,
- 86', Dieseruvwe E. ↓, Amantchi L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Carlisle United
40.6% | Draw
27.4% | Rochdale
32% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)Rochdale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+7.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carlisle United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rochdale, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Carlisle United - Rochdale Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.41 ↑
(2) |
3.52 ↑
(3.4) |
2.95 ↓
(3.25) |
3.8%
(10.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Carlisle United - Rochdale?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Rochdale (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carlisle won 2.
- Carlisle is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Rochdale is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Carlisle may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Carlisle might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Carlisle won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Carlisle won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Carlisle United won against Rochdale?
Carlisle United has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rochdale won against Carlisle United?
Rochdale has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Carlisle United - Rochdale were as follows:
27.07.2024
Rochdale
-
Carlisle United
2:1
28.01.2023
Rochdale
-
Carlisle United
0:1
03.09.2022
Carlisle United
-
Rochdale
3:3
Latest results of Carlisle United
Latest results of Rochdale
English National League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Rochdale | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 24:7 | 17 | 30 |
| 2 | Forest Green | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 21:8 | 13 | 29 |
| 3 | Carlisle | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 25:15 | 10 | 29 |
| 4 | Boreham Wood | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 25:13 | 12 | 28 |
| 5 | Scunthorpe | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 21:10 | 11 | 25 |
| 6 | FC Halifax | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 22:21 | 1 | 24 |
| 7 | York City | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24:12 | 12 | 22 |
| 8 | Southend | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 20:11 | 9 | 22 |
| 9 | Tamworth | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 17:18 | -1 | 22 |
| 10 | Wealdstone | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 20:18 | 2 | 19 |
| 11 | Yeovil | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 17:20 | -3 | 19 |
| 12 | Hartlepool | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 13:10 | 3 | 18 |
| 13 | Eastleigh | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 18 |
| 14 | Gateshead | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 22:32 | -10 | 17 |
| 15 | Boston Utd | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 14:17 | -3 | 16 |
| 16 | Brackley Town | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 16 |
| 17 | Solihull Moors | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 15:26 | -11 | 14 |
| 18 | Woking | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17:19 | -2 | 13 |
| 19 | Aldershot | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 27:31 | -4 | 13 |
| 20 | Altrincham | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 17:22 | -5 | 13 |
| 21 | Braintree | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 13:22 | -9 | 12 |
| 22 | Sutton | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15:25 | -10 | 8 |
| 23 | Truro | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13:24 | -11 | 8 |
| 24 | Morecambe | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 15:33 | -18 | 8 |
Promotion ~ League Two
Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
