Rochdale vs Carlisle United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
07/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • National League - Round 31
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Ball possession
59%41%
Total shots
63
Shots on target
21
Corner kicks
23
Yellow cards
12
Total shots
63
Shots on target
21
Shots off target
42
Corner kicks
23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 41', Galvin R. 🟨,
  • 41', 1 - 0, Moss D. , Barlow A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 69', Rodney D. , Pritchard J. ,
  • 71', Ellis J. , Conn-Clarke C. ,
  • 79', Dieseruvwe E. , Henderson I. ,
  • 79', East R. , Pettit C. ,
  • 80', Barlow A. 🟨,
  • 83', Embleton E. 🟨,
  • 85', Ajiboye D. , Wyke Ch. ,
  • 85', Embleton E. , Parker H. ,
  • 88', Barlow A. , Hosannah B. J. ,

Chances of winning


Rochdale
54.1%
Draw
25.9%
Carlisle United
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.4% 26.2% 24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7% 25% 23.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rochdale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • Rochdale - Carlisle United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.88)
    3.56
    (3.54)
    4.61
    (3.8)
    8.3%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rochdale won 3.
    • Rochdale has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Carlisle has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Carlisle may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Rochdale is seen as the favorite.
    • We predict that Rochdale will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Rochdale won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.4:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Rochdale won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rochdale - Carlisle United were as follows:
    27.09.2025 Carlisle United - Rochdale 0:2
    27.07.2024 Rochdale - Carlisle United 2:1
    28.01.2023 Rochdale - Carlisle United 0:1
    03.09.2022 Carlisle United - Rochdale 3:3
    Latest results of Rochdale
    03.02.2026 Rochdale - Boreham Wood 4:1
    27.01.2026 Rochdale - Southend United 2:1
    24.01.2026 Rochdale - Truro City 2:0
    21.01.2026 Solihull Moors - Rochdale 0:1
    17.01.2026 Gateshead - Rochdale 0:2
    Latest results of Carlisle United
    English National League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1York City35258292:326083
    2Rochdale34264465:234282
    3Carlisle35225864:422271
    4Boreham Wood34197865:422364
    5Forest Green361711860:421862
    6Scunthorpe341710760:491161
    7FC Halifax361581355:53253
    8Southend31157952:292352
    9Hartlepool341312942:37551
    10Tamworth341291345:54-945
    11Solihull Moors3411101358:54443
    12Boston Utd3511101446:51-543
    13Aldershot341261660:63-342
    14Altrincham351241941:54-1340
    15Wealdstone321091338:51-1339
    16Eastleigh351091644:60-1639
    17Woking311081341:38338
    18Yeovil331151735:47-1238
    19Sutton348121448:56-836
    20Brackley Town33991528:44-1636
    21Braintree35891827:51-2433
    22Morecambe35692046:75-2927
    23Gateshead33752139:76-3726
    24Truro34662233:61-2824

          Promotion ~ League Two
          Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation