Rochdale vs Carlisle United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
07/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • National League - Round 31
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Ball possession
59%41%
Total shots
63
Shots on target
21
Corner kicks
23
Yellow cards
12
Total shots
63
Shots on target
21
Shots off target
42
Corner kicks
23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 41', Galvin R. 🟨,
  • 41', 1 - 0, Moss D. , Barlow A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 69', Rodney D. , Pritchard J. ,
  • 71', Ellis J. , Conn-Clarke C. ,
  • 79', Dieseruvwe E. , Henderson I. ,
  • 79', East R. , Pettit C. ,
  • 80', Barlow A. 🟨,
  • 83', Embleton E. 🟨,
  • 85', Ajiboye D. , Wyke Ch. ,
  • 85', Embleton E. , Parker H. ,
  • 88', Barlow A. , Hosannah B. J. ,

Chances of winning


Rochdale
54.1%
Draw
25.9%
Carlisle United
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.4% 26.2% 24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7% 25% 23.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rochdale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • Rochdale - Carlisle United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.88)
    3.56
    (3.54)
    4.61
    (3.8)
    8.3%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rochdale won 3.
    • Rochdale has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Carlisle has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Carlisle may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Rochdale is seen as the favorite.
    • We predict that Rochdale will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Rochdale won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.4:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Rochdale won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rochdale - Carlisle United were as follows:
    27.09.2025 Carlisle United - Rochdale 0:2
    27.07.2024 Rochdale - Carlisle United 2:1
    28.01.2023 Rochdale - Carlisle United 0:1
    03.09.2022 Carlisle United - Rochdale 3:3
    Latest results of Rochdale
    03.02.2026 Rochdale - Boreham Wood 4:1
    27.01.2026 Rochdale - Southend United 2:1
    24.01.2026 Rochdale - Truro City 2:0
    21.01.2026 Solihull Moors - Rochdale 0:1
    17.01.2026 Gateshead - Rochdale 0:2
    Latest results of Carlisle United
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Rochdale (2)Bye
    2Scunthorpe (5)Southend (6)1 : 0
    3Carlisle (3)Bye
    4Boreham Wood (4)Forest Green (7)1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Rochdale (2)Scunthorpe (5)2 : 1
    2Carlisle (3)Boreham Wood (4)1 : 2

    Final
    1Rochdale (2)Boreham Wood (4)