Result
3:2
29/01/2026 at 22:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - Semi-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | ESPN |
 Belgium | HBO Max, HBO Max |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | HBO Max |
 Brazil | ESPN |
 Bulgaria | HBO Max |
 Canada | RDS App |
 Colombia | ESPN |
 Croatia | HBO Max |
 Czech-republic | HBO Max |
 Denmark | HBO Max |
 Finland | HBO Max |
 France | HBO Max |
 Hungary | HBO Max |
 Mexico | ESPN |
 Moldova | HBO Max |
 Montenegro | HBO Max |
 Netherlands | HBO Max |
 North-macedonia | HBO Max |
 Norway | HBO Max |
 Peru | ESPN |
 Poland | HBO Max |
 Romania | HBO Max |
 Serbia | HBO Max |
 Slovenia | HBO Max |
 Spain | HBO Max, Movistar Plus+ |
 Sweden | HBO Max |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ |
 Usa | ESPN USA |
 Venezuela | ESPN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 65% | 72% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 74% (89/121) | 71% (106/149) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 62% (41/66) | 53% (31/58) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 71% (5/7) | 71% (10/14) |
| Average 1st serve speed |
|---|
| 188 km/h | 200 km/h |
| Average 2nd serve speed |
|---|
| 157 km/h | 167 km/h |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 29% (43/149) | 26% (32/121) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 47% (27/58) | 38% (25/66) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 29% (2/7) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 78 | 56 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 58 | 55 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 78% (35/45) | 56% (31/55) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 70% (130/187) | 66% (137/207) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 34% (70/207) | 30% (57/187) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 51% (200/394) | 49% (194/394) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 93% (27/29) | 86% (25/29) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 14% (4/29) | 7% (2/29) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 53% (31/58) | 47% (27/58) |
Chances of winning
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
83.3% | Alexander Zverev
16.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Alexander Zverev Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.15 ↓
(1.2) |
|
5.89 ↑
(4.67) |
3.7%
(4.7%) | |
What is the prediction for Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Alexander Zverev?
Users Predictions:
35 users predict this event. Alcaraz Garfia will win (votes: 30 - 85.7%). Zverev will win (votes: 5 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alcaraz Garfia: 74.1% – 97.3%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 31.5 Games - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 30.5 Games - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 29.5 Games - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 28.5 Games - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 38 Games - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 37.5 Games - over (votes: 8 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
- O/U 37 Games - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 36.5 Games - over (votes: 6 - 75%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
- O/U 36 Games - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 35.5 Games - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 35 Games - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 34.5 Games - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 34 Games - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 33.5 Games - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 33 Games - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 32.5 Games - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -5.5 Games - Alcaraz Garfia (1.90) (votes: 2 - 50%) .
- O/U 3.5 Sets - over (votes: 4 - 66.7%) .
- AH -1.5 Sets - Alcaraz Garfia (1.37) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 9.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -2.5 Sets - Zverev (1.58) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -1.5 Games, 1st Set - Zverev (2.19) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Carlos Alcaraz Garfia will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 29 high ROI users predict this event. Alcaraz Garfia (votes: 18 - 62.1%). Zverev (votes: 11 - 37.9%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:0.
Preview Facts
- Alcaraz Garfia is ranked ATP: 1. Zverev is ranked ATP: 3.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alcaraz Garfia won 3.
- In recent matches, both players have secured multiple victories.
- In this match, Alcaraz Garfia is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Alcaraz Garfia won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:16. (average 1.4:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Carlos Alcaraz Garfia won against Alexander Zverev?
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alexander Zverev won against Carlos Alcaraz Garfia?
Alexander Zverev has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Alexander Zverev were as follows:
16.08.2025
Alexander Zverev
-
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
0:2
15.11.2024
Alexander Zverev
-
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
2:0
09.06.2024
Alexander Zverev
-
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
2:3
14.03.2024
Alexander Zverev
-
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
0:2
24.01.2024
Alexander Zverev
-
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
3:1
Latest results of Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
Latest results of Alexander Zverev
Draw
Singles - Main1/64-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Walton A. | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Hanfmann Y. | Svajda Z. (Q) | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Zheng M. (Q) | Korda S. | 3 : 2 |
| 4 | Schoolkate T. | Moutet C. (32) | 0 : 3 |
| 5 | Paul T. (19) | Kovacevic A. | 3 : 0 |
| 6 | Tirante T. A. | Vukic A. | 3 : 0 |
| 7 | Budkov Kjaer N. (Q) | Opelka R. | 0 : 3 |
| 8 | Misolic F. | Davidovich Fokina A. (14) | 0 : 3 |
| 9 | Bublik A. (10) | Brooksby J. | 3 : 0 |
| 10 | Ugo Carabelli C. | Fucsovics M. | 0 : 3 |
| 11 | Kecmanovic M. | Etcheverry T. M. | 2 : 3 |
| 12 | Fery A. (Q) | Cobolli F. (20) | 3 : 0 |
| 13 | Tiafoe F. (29) | Kubler J. (Q) | 3 : 0 |
| 14 | Kypson P. (WC) | Comesana F. | 1 : 3 |
| 15 | Navone M. | Medjedovic H. | 1 : 3 |
| 16 | McDonald M. (LL) | De Minaur A. (6) | 0 : 3 |
| 17 | Zverev A. (3) | Diallo G. | 3 : 1 |
| 18 | Popyrin A. | Muller A. | 2 : 3 |
| 19 | Nava E. | Jacquet K. (WC) | 3 : 2 |
| 20 | Bonzi B. | Norrie C. (26) | 2 : 3 |
| 21 | Cerundolo F. (18) | Zhang Z. | 3 : 0 |
| 22 | Draxl L. (Q) | Dzumhur D. | 0 : 3 |
| 23 | Blockx A. (LL) | Faria J. (Q) | 1 : 3 |
| 24 | Arnaldi M. | Rublev A. (13) | 0 : 3 |
| 25 | Medvedev D. (11) | De Jong J. | 3 : 0 |
| 26 | Halys Q. | Tabilo A. | 3 : 0 |
| 27 | Majchrzak K. | Fearnley J. | 3 : 1 |
| 28 | Marozsan F. | Rinderknech A. (24) | 3 : 1 |
| 29 | Tien L. (25) | Giron M. | 3 : 2 |
| 30 | Ymer E. (Q) | Shevchenko A. | 1 : 3 |
| 31 | Cerundolo J. M. | Thompson J. (WC) | 1 : 3 |
| 32 | Borges N. | Auger-Aliassime F. (RET.) (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 33 | Musetti L. (5) | Collignon R. (RET.) | 2 : 1 |
| 34 | Sonego L. | Taberner C. | 3 : 0 |
| 35 | Dimitrov G. | Machac T. | 0 : 3 |
| 36 | Mochizuki S. | Tsitsipas S. (31) | 1 : 3 |
| 37 | Lehecka J. (17) | Gea A. (Q) | 0 : 3 |
| 38 | Djere L. | Wawrinka S. (WC) | 1 : 3 |
| 39 | Kopriva V. | Struff J-L. | 3 : 2 |
| 40 | Royer V. | Fritz T. (9) | 1 : 3 |
| 41 | Mensik J. (16) | Carreno-Busta P. | 3 : 2 |
| 42 | Sakamoto R. (Q) | Jodar R. (Q) | 2 : 3 |
| 43 | Hurkacz H. | Bergs Z. | 3 : 1 |
| 44 | Quinn E. | Griekspoor T. (23) | 3 : 0 |
| 45 | Nakashima B. (27) | Van De Zandschulp B. | 1 : 3 |
| 46 | Shang J. | Bautista-Agut R. | 3 : 1 |
| 47 | Atmane T. | Maestrelli F. (Q) | 2 : 3 |
| 48 | Martinez P. | Djokovic N. (4) | 0 : 3 |
| 49 | Shelton B. (8) | Humbert U. | 3 : 0 |
| 50 | Sweeny D. (Q) | Monfils G. | 3 : 1 |
| 51 | Mannarino A. | Hijikata R. (WC) | 0 : 3 |
| 52 | Damm M. (Q) | Vacherot V. (30) | 0 : 3 |
| 53 | Shapovalov D. (21) | Bu Y. (WC) | 3 : 0 |
| 54 | Altmaier D. | Cilic M. | 0 : 3 |
| 55 | Munar J. | Svrcina D. | 3 : 2 |
| 56 | Bellucci M. | Ruud C. (12) | 0 : 3 |
| 57 | Khachanov K. (15) | Michelsen A. | 3 : 2 |
| 58 | O'Connell C. (WC) | Basavareddy N. (Q) | 2 : 3 |
| 59 | Mpetshi Perricard G. | Baez S. | 2 : 3 |
| 60 | Garin C. | Darderi L. (22) | 0 : 3 |
| 61 | Fonseca J. (28) | Spizzirri E. | 1 : 3 |
| 62 | Nardi L. | Wu Y. (Q) | 1 : 3 |
| 63 | Duckworth J. (WC) | Prizmic D. (LL) | 3 : 2 |
| 64 | Gaston H. (RET.) | Sinner J. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/32-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Hanfmann Y. | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Zheng M. (RET.) | Moutet C. (32) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Paul T. (19) | Tirante T. A. | 3 : 0 |
| 4 | Opelka R. | Davidovich Fokina A. (14) | 2 : 3 |
| 5 | Bublik A. (10) | Fucsovics M. | 3 : 0 |
| 6 | Etcheverry T. M. | Fery A. | 3 : 0 |
| 7 | Tiafoe F. (29) | Comesana F. | 3 : 1 |
| 8 | Medjedovic H. | De Minaur A. (6) | 1 : 3 |
| 9 | Zverev A. (3) | Muller A. | 3 : 1 |
| 10 | Nava E. | Norrie C. (26) | 1 : 3 |
| 11 | Cerundolo F. (18) | Dzumhur D. | 3 : 0 |
| 12 | Faria J. | Rublev A. (13) | 1 : 3 |
| 13 | Medvedev D. (11) | Halys Q. | 3 : 1 |
| 14 | Majchrzak K. | Marozsan F. | 0 : 3 |
| 15 | Tien L. (25) | Shevchenko A. | 3 : 1 |
| 16 | Thompson J. | Borges N. | 1 : 3 |
| 17 | Musetti L. (5) | Sonego L. | 3 : 0 |
| 18 | Machac T. | Tsitsipas S. (31) | 3 : 1 |
| 19 | Gea A. | Wawrinka S. | 2 : 3 |
| 20 | Kopriva V. | Fritz T. (9) | 0 : 3 |
| 21 | Mensik J. (16) | Jodar R. | 3 : 0 |
| 22 | Hurkacz H. | Quinn E. | 0 : 3 |
| 23 | Van De Zandschulp B. | Shang J. | 3 : 0 |
| 24 | Maestrelli F. | Djokovic N. (4) | 0 : 3 |
| 25 | Shelton B. (8) | Sweeny D. | 3 : 0 |
| 26 | Hijikata R. | Vacherot V. (30) | 1 : 3 |
| 27 | Shapovalov D. (21) | Cilic M. | 0 : 3 |
| 28 | Munar J. | Ruud C. (12) | 0 : 3 |
| 29 | Khachanov K. (15) | Basavareddy N. | 3 : 0 |
| 30 | Baez S. | Darderi L. (22) | 1 : 3 |
| 31 | Spizzirri E. | Wu Y. | 3 : 2 |
| 32 | Duckworth J. | Sinner J. (2) | 0 : 3 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Moutet C. (32) | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Paul T. (19) | Davidovich Fokina A. (RET.) (14) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Bublik A. (10) | Etcheverry T. M. | 3 : 0 |
| 4 | Tiafoe F. (29) | De Minaur A. (6) | 0 : 3 |
| 5 | Zverev A. (3) | Norrie C. (26) | 3 : 1 |
| 6 | Cerundolo F. (18) | Rublev A. (13) | 3 : 0 |
| 7 | Medvedev D. (11) | Marozsan F. | 3 : 2 |
| 8 | Tien L. (25) | Borges N. | 3 : 0 |
| 9 | Musetti L. (5) | Machac T. | 3 : 2 |
| 10 | Wawrinka S. | Fritz T. (9) | 1 : 3 |
| 11 | Mensik J. (16) | Quinn E. | 3 : 0 |
| 12 | Van De Zandschulp B. | Djokovic N. (4) | 0 : 3 |
| 13 | Shelton B. (8) | Vacherot V. (30) | 3 : 0 |
| 14 | Cilic M. | Ruud C. (12) | 1 : 3 |
| 15 | Khachanov K. (15) | Darderi L. (22) | 1 : 3 |
| 16 | Spizzirri E. | Sinner J. (2) | 1 : 3 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Paul T. (19) | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Bublik A. (10) | De Minaur A. (6) | 0 : 3 |
| 3 | Zverev A. (3) | Cerundolo F. (18) | 3 : 0 |
| 4 | Medvedev D. (11) | Tien L. (25) | 0 : 3 |
| 5 | Musetti L. (5) | Fritz T. (9) | 3 : 0 |
| 6 | Mensik J. (16) | Djokovic N. (WO.) (4) | |
| 7 | Shelton B. (8) | Ruud C. (12) | 3 : 1 |
| 8 | Darderi L. (22) | Sinner J. (2) | 0 : 3 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | De Minaur A. (6) | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Zverev A. (3) | Tien L. (25) | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Musetti L. (RET.) (5) | Djokovic N. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Shelton B. (8) | Sinner J. (2) | 0 : 3 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Zverev A. (3) | 3 : 2 |
| 2 | Djokovic N. (4) | Sinner J. (2) | 3 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Djokovic N. (4) | 3 : 1 |
