Result
2:0
19/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Barcelona, clay - Semi-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Australia | beIN Sports 1 |
Bulgaria | Max Sport 1 |
Czech-republic | Premier Sport 2 |
Denmark | TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X |
Finland | MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2 |
Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 4 |
Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
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Aces |
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2 | 3 |
Double Faults |
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2 | 5 |
1st Serve Percentage |
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74% | 63% |
1st Serve Points Won |
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77% (30/39) | 58% (21/36) |
2nd Serve Points Won |
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64% (9/14) | 52% (11/21) |
Break Points Saved |
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100% (1/1) | 40% (2/5) |
1st Return Points Won |
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42% (15/36) | 23% (9/39) |
2nd Return Points Won |
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52% (11/21) | 36% (5/14) |
Break Points Converted |
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60% (3/5) | 0% (0/1) |
Winners |
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11 | 13 |
Unforced Errors |
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13 | 38 |
Net Points Won |
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60% (3/5) | 50% (2/4) |
Service Points Won |
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73% (38/52) | 55% (31/56) |
Return Points Won |
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45% (25/56) | 27% (14/52) |
Total Points Won |
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58% (63/108) | 42% (45/108) |
Last 10 Balls |
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5 | 5 |
Match Points Saved |
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0 | 2 |
Service Games Won |
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100% (9/9) | 67% (6/9) |
Return Games Won |
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33% (3/9) | 0% (0/9) |
Total Games Won |
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67% (12/18) | 33% (6/18) |
Chances of winning
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia 72.3% | Arthur Fils 27.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)Arthur Fils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlos Alcaraz Garfia than the current prediction. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Fils than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Arthur Fils Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.32 ↓ (1.35) |
|
3.45 ↑ (3.24) |
5% (4.9%) | |
What is the prediction for Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Arthur Fils?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Alcaraz Garfia will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Fils will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alcaraz Garfia: 46.1% – 91.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Alcaraz Garfia (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Alcaraz Garfia is ranked ATP: 2. Fils is ranked ATP: 14.
- Alcaraz Garfia in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
- Recent matches Fils is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Fils could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Alcaraz Garfia is a favorite.
- Our prediction for today's Alcaraz Garfia to win the game is with odds 1.31.
- Last 2 head-to-head matches Alcaraz Garfia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1 (average 1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Carlos Alcaraz Garfia won against Arthur Fils?
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arthur Fils won against Carlos Alcaraz Garfia?
Arthur Fils has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Arthur Fils were as follows:
11.04.2025
Arthur Fils
-
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
1:2
Latest results of Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
Latest results of Arthur Fils
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Quinn E. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
2 | Djere L. (Q) | Rinderknech A. (LL) | 2 : 1 |
3 | Carballes Baena R. | Fearnley J. (LL) | 0 : 2 |
4 | Etcheverry T. M. | De Minaur A. (5) | 0 : 2 |
5 | Tsitsipas S. (3) | Opelka R. (PR) | 2 : 0 |
6 | Arnaldi M. | Korda S. | 1 : 2 |
7 | Martinez P. | Nakashima B. | 2 : 1 |
8 | Carreno-Busta P. (WC) | Fils A. (7) | 0 : 2 |
9 | Tiafoe F. (9) | Munar J. | 1 : 2 |
10 | Khachanov K. | Norrie C. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
11 | Wawrinka S. (WC) | Davidovich Fokina A. | 0 : 2 |
12 | De Jong J. (Q) | Rublev A. (4) | 0 : 2 |
13 | Rune H. (6) | Ramos A. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
14 | Baez S. | Dzumhur D. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
15 | Medjedovic H. (Q) | Mpetshi Perricard G. | 2 : 0 |
16 | Galan D. E. (Q) | Ruud C. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Djere L. | 2 : 0 |
2 | Fearnley J. | De Minaur A. (5) | 0 : 2 |
3 | Tsitsipas S. (3) | Korda S. | 2 : 0 |
4 | Martinez P. | Fils A. (7) | 0 : 2 |
5 | Munar J. | Khachanov K. | 0 : 2 |
6 | Davidovich Fokina A. | Rublev A. (4) | 2 : 0 |
7 | Rune H. (6) | Baez S. | 2 : 1 |
8 | Medjedovic H. | Ruud C. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | De Minaur A. (5) | 2 : 0 |
2 | Tsitsipas S. (RET.) (3) | Fils A. (7) | 0 : 0 |
3 | Khachanov K. | Davidovich Fokina A. | 2 : 0 |
4 | Rune H. (6) | Ruud C. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Fils A. (7) | 2 : 0 |
2 | Khachanov K. | Rune H. (6) | 0 : 2 |
Final1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Rune H. (6) | 0 : 2 |