Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Grigor Dimitrov – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

07/03/2026 at 19:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

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ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells, hard - 1/32-finals

Match Stats


Aces
6	1
Double Faults
2	5
1st serve percentage
71%	61%
1st serve points won
77% (27/35)	73% (22/30)
2nd serve points won
71% (10/14)	26% (5/19)
Break Points Saved
100% (1/1)	25% (1/4)
1st return points won
33% (10/30)	26% (9/35)
2nd return points won
74% (14/19)	29% (4/14)
Break Points Converted
75% (3/4)	0% (0/1)
Winners
20	10
Unforced errors
15	19
Net points won
86% (6/7)	75% (3/4)
Service Points Won
76% (37/49)	56% (27/48)
Return Points Won
44% (21/48)	24% (12/49)
Total Points Won
60% (58/97)	40% (39/97)
Last 10 balls
8	2
Match points saved
0	0
Service games won
100% (9/9)	63% (5/8)
Return games won
38% (3/8)	0% (0/9)
Total games won
71% (12/17)	29% (5/17)

Chances of winning

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
92.5%

Grigor Dimitrov
7.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

93.1%

6.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Grigor Dimitrov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Grigor Dimitrov Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.03 ↑ (1.02)		12.76 ↓ (13.67)	4.6% (5.4%)

What is the prediction for Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Grigor Dimitrov?

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Alcaraz Garfia will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Dimitrov will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -6 Games - Dimitrov (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 1st Set - Alcaraz Garfia (1.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Alcaraz Garfia (votes: 1 - 50%). Dimitrov (votes: 1 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

Alcaraz Garfia is ranked ATP: 1. Dimitrov is ranked ATP: 42.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alcaraz Garfia won 3.
Alcaraz Garfia has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Dimitrov is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Dimitrov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Alcaraz Garfia is the obvious favorite.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Alcaraz Garfia won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.5:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Carlos Alcaraz Garfia won against Grigor Dimitrov?

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Grigor Dimitrov won against Carlos Alcaraz Garfia?

Grigor Dimitrov has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Grigor Dimitrov were as follows:

12.03.2025 Grigor Dimitrov - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia 0:2

28.03.2024 Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Grigor Dimitrov 0:2

11.10.2023 Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Grigor Dimitrov 1:2

23.06.2023 Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Grigor Dimitrov 2:0

03.11.2022 Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Grigor Dimitrov 2:0

Latest results of Carlos Alcaraz Garfia

21.02.2026 Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Arthur Fils 2:0 ✺

20.02.2026 Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Andrey Rublev 2:0 ✺

19.02.2026 Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Karen Khachanov 2:1 ✺

18.02.2026 Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Valentin Royer 2:0 ✺

17.02.2026 Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Arthur Rinderknech 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Grigor Dimitrov

05.03.2026 Terence Atmane - Grigor Dimitrov 1:2 ✺

24.02.2026 Terence Atmane - Grigor Dimitrov 2:0 ✺

10.02.2026 Grigor Dimitrov - Alex Michelsen 1:2 ✺

20.01.2026 Grigor Dimitrov - Tomas Machac 0:3 ✺

08.01.2026 Raphael Collignon - Grigor Dimitrov 2:0 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/64-finals

1	Alcaraz C. (1)	Bye
2	Atmane T.	Dimitrov G.	1 : 2
3	Cerundolo J. M.	Van De Zandschulp B.	2 : 1
4	Bye	Rinderknech A. (26)
5	Vacherot V. (24)	Bye
6	Borges N.	Nava E.	2 : 0
7	Shevchenko A.	Shimabukuro S. (Q)	2 : 1
8	Bye	Ruud C. (13)
9	Bublik A. (10)	Bye
10	Zheng M. (WC)	Kopriva V. (LL)	0 : 2
11	Maestrelli F. (Q)	Hijikata R. (Q)	0 : 2
12	Bye	Darderi L. (20)
13	Norrie C. (27)	Bye
14	Arnaldi M.	McDonald M. (Q)	0 : 2
15	Korda S.	Comesana F.	2 : 0
16	Bye	De Minaur A. (6)
17	Djokovic N. (3)	Bye
18	Majchrzak K.	Mpetshi Perricard G.	2 : 1
19	Hurkacz H.	Kovacevic A.	0 : 2
20	Bye	Moutet C. (31)
21	Cerundolo F. (19)	Bye
22	Royer V.	Bonzi B. (Q)	0 : 2
23	Marozsan F.	Bautista-Agut R.	1 : 2
24	Bye	Draper J. (14)
25	Medvedev D. (11)	Bye
26	Tabilo A.	Jodar R. (WC)	2 : 0
27	Tseng C. H. (Q)	Baez S.	0 : 2
28	Bye	Lehecka J. (22)
29	Humbert U. (32)	Bye
30	Merida Aguilar D. (Q)	Michelsen A.	0 : 2
31	Fearnley J.	Dzumhur D.	2 : 0
32	Bye	Fritz T. (7)
33	Musetti L. (5)	Bye
34	Fucsovics M.	O'Connell C. (Q)	2 : 0
35	Prizmic D. (Q)	Schoolkate T. (Q)	2 : 1
36	Bye	Fils A. (30)
37	Rublev A. (17)	Bye
38	Bellucci M.	Diallo G.	0 : 2
39	Monfils G. (WC)	Galarneau A. (Q)	2 : 0
40	Bye	Auger-Aliassime F. (9)
41	Cobolli F. (15)	Bye
42	Altmaier D. (RET.)	Kecmanovic M.	0 : 1
43	Brooksby J.	Popyrin A.	2 : 0
44	Bye	Tiafoe F. (21)
45	Nakashima B. (28)	Bye
46	Ugo Carabelli C.	Damm M. (WC)	2 : 0
47	Berrettini M.	Mannarino A.	2 : 1
48	Bye	Zverev A. (4)
49	Shelton B. (8)	Bye
50	Opelka R.	Quinn E.	2 : 0
51	Halys Q.	Walton A.	0 : 2
52	Bye	Tien L. (25)
53	Davidovich Fokina A. (18)	Bye
54	Svajda Z. (WC)	Cilic M.	2 : 0
55	Navone M.	Giron M.	1 : 2
56	Bye	Mensik J. (12)
57	Khachanov K. (16)	Bye
58	Fonseca J.	Collignon R.	2 : 0
59	Bergs Z.	Struff J-L.	2 : 0
60	Bye	Paul T. (23)
61	Etcheverry T. M. (29)	Bye
62	Tsitsipas S.	Shapovalov D.	1 : 2
63	Svrcina D. (Q)	Duckworth J.	2 : 0
64	Bye	Sinner J. (2)

1/32-finals

1	Alcaraz C. (1)	Dimitrov G.	2 : 0
2	Cerundolo J. M.	Rinderknech A. (WO.) (26)
3	Vacherot V. (24)	Borges N.	2 : 0
4	Shevchenko A.	Ruud C. (13)	0 : 2
5	Bublik A. (10)	Kopriva V.	2 : 1
6	Hijikata R.	Darderi L. (20)	2 : 1
7	Norrie C. (27)	McDonald M.	2 : 0
8	Korda S.	De Minaur A. (6)	1 : 2
9	Djokovic N. (3)	Majchrzak K.	2 : 1
10	Kovacevic A.	Moutet C. (31)	2 : 0
11	Cerundolo F. (19)	Bonzi B.	2 : 1
12	Bautista-Agut R.	Draper J. (14)	1 : 2
13	Medvedev D. (11)	Tabilo A.	2 : 0
14	Baez S.	Lehecka J. (22)	2 : 0
15	Humbert U. (32)	Michelsen A.	1 : 2
16	Fearnley J.	Fritz T. (7)	1 : 2
17	Musetti L. (5)	Fucsovics M.	0 : 2
18	Prizmic D. (RET.)	Fils A. (30)	0 : 1
19	Rublev A. (17)	Diallo G.	1 : 2
20	Monfils G.	Auger-Aliassime F. (9)	1 : 2
21	Cobolli F. (15)	Kecmanovic M.	2 : 1
22	Brooksby J.	Tiafoe F. (21)	0 : 2
23	Nakashima B. (28)	Ugo Carabelli C.	2 : 0
24	Berrettini M.	Zverev A. (4)	0 : 2
25	Shelton B. (8)	Opelka R.	2 : 1
26	Walton A.	Tien L. (25)	0 : 2
27	Davidovich Fokina A. (18)	Svajda Z.	2 : 0
28	Giron M.	Mensik J. (12)	0 : 2
29	Khachanov K. (16)	Fonseca J.	1 : 2
30	Bergs Z.	Paul T. (23)	0 : 2
31	Etcheverry T. M. (29)	Shapovalov D.	1 : 2
32	Svrcina D.	Sinner J. (2)	0 : 2

1/16-finals

1	Alcaraz C. (1)	Rinderknech A. (26)	2 : 1
2	Vacherot V. (24)	Ruud C. (13)	1 : 2
3	Bublik A. (10)	Hijikata R.	1 : 2
4	Norrie C. (27)	De Minaur A. (6)	2 : 0
5	Djokovic N. (3)	Kovacevic A.	2 : 1
6	Cerundolo F. (19)	Draper J. (14)	0 : 2
7	Medvedev D. (11)	Baez S.	2 : 0
8	Michelsen A.	Fritz T. (7)	2 : 0
9	Fucsovics M.	Fils A. (30)	0 : 2
10	Diallo G.	Auger-Aliassime F. (9)	1 : 2
11	Cobolli F. (15)	Tiafoe F. (21)	0 : 2
12	Nakashima B. (28)	Zverev A. (4)	1 : 2
13	Shelton B. (8)	Tien L. (25)	1 : 2
14	Davidovich Fokina A. (18)	Mensik J. (12)	2 : 1
15	Fonseca J.	Paul T. (23)	2 : 0
16	Shapovalov D.	Sinner J. (2)	0 : 2

1/8-finals

1	Alcaraz C. (1)	Ruud C. (13)	2 : 0
2	Hijikata R.	Norrie C. (27)	0 : 2
3	Djokovic N. (3)	Draper J. (14)	1 : 2
4	Medvedev D. (11)	Michelsen A.	2 : 0
5	Fils A. (30)	Auger-Aliassime F. (9)	2 : 0
6	Tiafoe F. (21)	Zverev A. (4)	0 : 2
7	Tien L. (25)	Davidovich Fokina A. (18)	2 : 1
8	Fonseca J.	Sinner J. (2)	0 : 2

Quarter-finals

1	Alcaraz C. (1)	Norrie C. (27)	2 : 0
2	Draper J. (14)	Medvedev D. (11)	0 : 2
3	Fils A. (30)	Zverev A. (4)	0 : 2
4	Tien L. (25)	Sinner J. (2)	0 : 2

Semi-finals

1	Alcaraz C. (1)	Medvedev D. (11)	0 : 2
2	Zverev A. (4)	Sinner J. (2)	0 : 2

Final

1

Medvedev D. (11)

Sinner J. (2)

0 : 2