Grigor Dimitrov vs Carlos Alcaraz Garfia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

12/03/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells (USA), hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats


Aces
1	6
Double Faults
4	2
1st Serve Percentage
55%	75%
1st Serve Points Won
49% (17/35)	77% (23/30)
2nd Serve Points Won
38% (11/29)	70% (7/10)
Break Points Saved
64% (9/14)	100% (3/3)
1st Return Points Won
30% (9/30)	51% (18/35)
2nd Return Points Won
30% (3/10)	62% (18/29)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/3)	36% (5/14)
Winners
12	20
Unforced Errors
28	14
Net Points Won
67% (10/15)	86% (6/7)
Service Points Won
44% (28/63)	75% (30/40)
Return Points Won
25% (10/40)	56% (35/63)
Total Points Won
37% (38/103)	63% (65/103)
Last 10 Balls
3	7
Match Points Saved
0	0
Service Games Won
29% (2/7)	100% (7/7)
Return Games Won
0% (0/7)	71% (5/7)
Total Games Won
14% (2/14)	86% (12/14)

Chances of winning

Grigor Dimitrov
14.3%

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
85.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24%

76%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grigor Dimitrov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Grigor Dimitrov's form might have worsened.

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Carlos Alcaraz Garfia's recent form is better than expected.

Grigor Dimitrov - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.61 ↑ (4.06)		1.11 ↓ (1.28)	5% (2.8%)

What is the prediction for Grigor Dimitrov - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia?

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Dimitrov will win (votes: 7 - 50%). Alcaraz Garfia will win (votes: 7 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dimitrov: 23.8% – 76.2%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.

Preview Facts

Dimitrov is ranked ATP: 15. Alcaraz Garfia is ranked ATP: 3.
Recent matches Dimitrov is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Alcaraz Garfia is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
In this match Alcaraz Garfia is indisputable favorite.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Dimitrov won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:7 (average 0.8:1.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Grigor Dimitrov won against Carlos Alcaraz Garfia?

Grigor Dimitrov has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Carlos Alcaraz Garfia won against Grigor Dimitrov?

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Grigor Dimitrov - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia were as follows:

28.03.2024 Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Grigor Dimitrov 0:2

11.10.2023 Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Grigor Dimitrov 1:2

23.06.2023 Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Grigor Dimitrov 2:0

03.11.2022 Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Grigor Dimitrov 2:0

Latest results of Grigor Dimitrov

10.03.2025 Grigor Dimitrov - Gael Monfils 2:1 ✺

08.03.2025 Grigor Dimitrov - Nuno Borges 2:0 ✺

25.02.2025 Christopher OConnell - Grigor Dimitrov Dimitrov G. retired ✺

17.02.2025 Jiri Lehecka - Grigor Dimitrov 2:0 ✺

13.01.2025 Francesco Passaro - Grigor Dimitrov Dimitrov G. retired ✺

Latest results of Carlos Alcaraz Garfia

10.03.2025 Denis Shapovalov - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia 0:2 ✺

08.03.2025 Quentin Halys - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia 0:2 ✺

20.02.2025 Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Jiri Lehecka 1:2 ✺

19.02.2025 Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Luca Nardi 2:1 ✺

17.02.2025 Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Marin Cilic 2:0 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/64-finals

1	Zverev A. (1)	Bye
2	Kecmanovic M.	Griekspoor T.	1 : 2
3	Marozsan F.	Martinez P.	2 : 0
4	Bye	Mpetshi Perricard G. (29)
5	Machac T. (19)	Bye
6	Bublik A.	Watanuki Y. (Q)	1 : 2
7	Bautista-Agut R.	Dzumhur D. (Q)	1 : 2
8	Bye	Tiafoe F. (16)
9	Rune H. (12)	Bye
10	Moutet C.	Thompson J.	2 : 1
11	Munar J.	Nishikori K.	1 : 2
12	Bye	Humbert U. (18)
13	Berrettini M. (28)	Bye
14	Carballes Baena R.	O'Connell C.	1 : 2
15	Seyboth Wild T.	Muller A.	2 : 1
16	Bye	Tsitsipas S. (8)
17	Ruud C. (4)	Bye
18	Giron M.	Basilashvili N. (Q)	2 : 0
19	Bergs Z.	Quinn E. (Q)	2 : 0
20	Bye	Popyrin A. (26)
21	Fils A. (20)	Bye
22	Zhang Z.	Diallo G. (LL)	1 : 2
23	Safiullin R.	Opelka R. (WC)	2 : 0
24	Bye	Musetti L. (15)
25	Paul T. (10)	Bye
26	Boyer T. (WC)	Vukic A.	2 : 1
27	Norrie C.	Nardi L.	2 : 0
28	Bye	Lehecka J. (23)
29	Michelsen A. (31)	Bye
30	Smith C. (Q)	Cobolli F.	2 : 1
31	Bu Y.	Basavareddy N. (WC)	2 : 0
32	Bye	Medvedev D. (5)
33	Rublev A. (7)	Bye
34	Arnaldi M.	Kovacevic A.	2 : 1
35	Shevchenko A.	Hijikata R.	0 : 2
36	Bye	Nakashima B. (32)
37	Khachanov K. (22)	Bye
38	Etcheverry T. M.	Mensik J.	0 : 2
39	Navone M.	Tien L.	2 : 0
40	Bye	Shelton B. (11)
41	Draper J. (13)	Bye
42	Fearnley J.	Fonseca J. (WC)	1 : 2
43	Bonzi B.	Brooksby J. (PR)	1 : 2
44	Bye	Auger-Aliassime F. (17)
45	Tabilo A. (30)	Bye
46	Tu L. (Q)	Lajovic D.	0 : 2
47	Gigante M. (Q)	Baez S.	2 : 1
48	Bye	Fritz T. (3)
49	Djokovic N. (6)	Bye
50	Van De Zandschulp B. (LL)	Kyrgios N. (RET.) (PR)	1 : 0
51	McDonald M. (WC)	Davidovich Fokina A.	2 : 1
52	Bye	Cerundolo F. (25)
53	Hurkacz H. (21)	Bye
54	Darderi L.	Gaston H. (Q)	0 : 2
55	Goffin D.	Sonego L.	2 : 0
56	Bye	De Minaur A. (9)
57	Dimitrov G. (14)	Bye
58	Rinderknech A.	Borges N.	1 : 2
59	Struff J-L.	Monfils G.	0 : 2
60	Bye	Korda S. (24)
61	Shapovalov D. (27)	Bye
62	Zeppieri G. (Q)	Walton A. (Q)	0 : 2
63	Halys Q.	Carreno-Busta P. (Q)	2 : 0
64	Bye	Alcaraz C. (2)

1/32-finals

1	Zverev A. (1)	Griekspoor T.	1 : 2
2	Marozsan F. (RET.)	Mpetshi Perricard G. (29)	0 : 1
3	Machac T. (RET.) (19)	Watanuki Y.	1 : 0
4	Dzumhur D.	Tiafoe F. (16)	0 : 2
5	Rune H. (12)	Moutet C.	2 : 0
6	Nishikori K.	Humbert U. (18)	0 : 2
7	Berrettini M. (28)	O'Connell C.	2 : 0
8	Seyboth Wild T.	Tsitsipas S. (8)	0 : 2
9	Ruud C. (4)	Giron M.	1 : 2
10	Bergs Z.	Popyrin A. (26)	0 : 2
11	Fils A. (20)	Diallo G.	2 : 0
12	Safiullin R.	Musetti L. (15)	1 : 2
13	Paul T. (10)	Boyer T.	2 : 0
14	Norrie C.	Lehecka J. (23)	2 : 1
15	Michelsen A. (31)	Smith C.	2 : 0
16	Bu Y.	Medvedev D. (5)	0 : 2
17	Rublev A. (7)	Arnaldi M.	0 : 2
18	Hijikata R.	Nakashima B. (32)	0 : 2
19	Khachanov K. (22)	Mensik J.	2 : 1
20	Navone M.	Shelton B. (11)	0 : 2
21	Draper J. (13)	Fonseca J.	2 : 0
22	Brooksby J.	Auger-Aliassime F. (17)	2 : 0
23	Tabilo A. (30)	Lajovic D.	2 : 0
24	Gigante M.	Fritz T. (3)	0 : 2
25	Djokovic N. (6)	Van De Zandschulp B.	1 : 2
26	McDonald M.	Cerundolo F. (25)	1 : 2
27	Hurkacz H. (21)	Gaston H.	2 : 0
28	Goffin D.	De Minaur A. (9)	0 : 2
29	Dimitrov G. (14)	Borges N.	2 : 0
30	Monfils G.	Korda S. (24)	2 : 0
31	Shapovalov D. (27)	Walton A.	2 : 0
32	Halys Q.	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 2

1/16-finals

1	Griekspoor T.	Mpetshi Perricard G. (29)	2 : 0
2	Watanuki Y.	Tiafoe F. (16)	2 : 0
3	Rune H. (12)	Humbert U. (18)	2 : 1
4	Berrettini M. (28)	Tsitsipas S. (8)	0 : 2
5	Giron M.	Popyrin A. (26)	2 : 1
6	Fils A. (20)	Musetti L. (15)	2 : 1
7	Paul T. (10)	Norrie C.	2 : 0
8	Michelsen A. (RET.) (31)	Medvedev D. (5)	0 : 0
9	Arnaldi M.	Nakashima B. (32)	0 : 2
10	Khachanov K. (22)	Shelton B. (11)	0 : 2
11	Draper J. (13)	Brooksby J.	2 : 0
12	Tabilo A. (30)	Fritz T. (3)	1 : 2
13	Van De Zandschulp B.	Cerundolo F. (25)	0 : 2
14	Hurkacz H. (21)	De Minaur A. (9)	0 : 2
15	Dimitrov G. (14)	Monfils G.	2 : 1
16	Shapovalov D. (27)	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 2

1/8-finals

1	Griekspoor T.	Watanuki Y.	2 : 0
2	Rune H. (12)	Tsitsipas S. (8)	2 : 0
3	Giron M.	Fils A. (20)	1 : 2
4	Paul T. (10)	Medvedev D. (5)	0 : 2
5	Nakashima B. (32)	Shelton B. (11)	0 : 2
6	Draper J. (13)	Fritz T. (3)	2 : 0
7	Cerundolo F. (25)	De Minaur A. (9)	2 : 0
8	Dimitrov G. (14)	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 2

Quarter-finals

1	Griekspoor T.	Rune H. (12)	1 : 2
2	Fils A. (20)	Medvedev D. (5)	1 : 2
3	Shelton B. (11)	Draper J. (13)	0 : 2
4	Cerundolo F. (25)	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 2

Semi-finals

1	Rune H. (12)	Medvedev D. (5)	2 : 0
2	Draper J. (13)	Alcaraz C. (2)	2 : 1

Final

1

Rune H. (12)

Draper J. (13)

0 : 2