Result
3:1
01/02/2026 at 03:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - Final
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | ESPN |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Belgium | HBO Max, HBO Max |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | HBO Max |
 Brazil | ESPN 2, ESPN |
 Bulgaria | HBO Max |
 Canada | RDS App |
 Colombia | ESPN |
 Croatia | HBO Max |
 Czech-republic | Eurosport 1, HBO Max, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Eurosport 1, HBO Max |
 Finland | Eurosport 1, HBO Max |
 France | Eurosport 1, HBO Max |
 Germany | Eurosport 1 |
 Hungary | Eurosport 1, HBO Max |
 Italy | Eurosport 1 |
 Mexico | ESPN |
 Moldova | HBO Max |
 Montenegro | HBO Max |
 Netherlands | Eurosport 1, HBO Max |
 North-macedonia | HBO Max |
 Norway | Eurosport 1, HBO Max |
 Peru | ESPN |
 Poland | Eurosport 1, HBO Max |
 Portugal | Eurosport 1 |
 Romania | Eurosport 1, HBO Max |
 Serbia | HBO Max |
 Slovenia | HBO Max |
 Spain | Eurosport 1, HBO Max, Movistar Plus+ |
 Sweden | Eurosport 1, HBO Max |
 Turkey | Eurosport 1 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+, TNT Sports 1 |
 Usa | ESPN USA |
 Venezuela | ESPN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 65% | 69% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 77% (51/66) | 66% (56/85) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 57% (20/35) | 53% (20/38) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 67% (4/6) | 69% (11/16) |
| Average 1st serve speed |
|---|
| 189 km/h | 186 km/h |
| Average 2nd serve speed |
|---|
| 160 km/h | 154 km/h |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 34% (29/85) | 23% (15/66) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 47% (18/38) | 43% (15/35) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 31% (5/16) | 33% (2/6) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 36 | 32 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 27 | 46 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 70% (14/20) | 63% (20/32) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 70% (71/101) | 62% (76/123) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 38% (47/123) | 30% (30/101) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 53% (118/224) | 47% (106/224) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 89% (16/18) | 74% (14/19) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 26% (5/19) | 11% (2/18) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 57% (21/37) | 43% (16/37) |
Chances of winning
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
72.4% | Novak Djokovic
27.6% |
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Carlos Alcaraz Garfia have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.The chances for Novak Djokovic have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Novak Djokovic Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.33 ↑
(1.28) |
|
3.47 ↑
(3.35) |
4.1%
(8%) | |
What is the prediction for Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Novak Djokovic?
Users Predictions:
55 users predict this event. Alcaraz Garfia will win (votes: 21 - 38.2%). Djokovic will win (votes: 34 - 61.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Djokovic: 49% – 74.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 33 high ROI users predict this event. Alcaraz Garfia (votes: 14 - 42.4%). Djokovic (votes: 19 - 57.6%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1.5 Sets - Alcaraz Garfia (1.63) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 37.5 Games - over (votes: 8 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
- O/U 3.5 Sets - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -2.5 Sets - Alcaraz Garfia (2.67) (votes: 2 - 50%) .
- AH -5.5 Games - Djokovic (1.70) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -4.5 Games - Alcaraz Garfia (1.82) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 43 high ROI users predict this event. Alcaraz Garfia (votes: 20 - 46.5%). Djokovic (votes: 23 - 53.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:0.
Preview Facts
- Alcaraz Garfia is ranked ATP: 1. Djokovic is ranked ATP: 4.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alcaraz Garfia won 3.
- Alcaraz Garfia has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- In recent matches, Djokovic has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Alcaraz Garfia is the team to beat.
- We predict that Alcaraz Garfia will win today's game, with odds of 1.33.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Alcaraz Garfia won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Carlos Alcaraz Garfia won against Novak Djokovic?
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Novak Djokovic won against Carlos Alcaraz Garfia?
Novak Djokovic has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Novak Djokovic were as follows:
11.11.2025
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
-
Novak Djokovic
N/A
05.09.2025
Novak Djokovic
-
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
0:3
21.01.2025
Novak Djokovic
-
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
3:1
04.08.2024
Novak Djokovic
-
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
2:0
14.07.2024
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
-
Novak Djokovic
3:0
Latest results of Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
Latest results of Novak Djokovic
Draw
Singles - Main1/64-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Walton A. | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Hanfmann Y. | Svajda Z. (Q) | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Zheng M. (Q) | Korda S. | 3 : 2 |
| 4 | Schoolkate T. | Moutet C. (32) | 0 : 3 |
| 5 | Paul T. (19) | Kovacevic A. | 3 : 0 |
| 6 | Tirante T. A. | Vukic A. | 3 : 0 |
| 7 | Budkov Kjaer N. (Q) | Opelka R. | 0 : 3 |
| 8 | Misolic F. | Davidovich Fokina A. (14) | 0 : 3 |
| 9 | Bublik A. (10) | Brooksby J. | 3 : 0 |
| 10 | Ugo Carabelli C. | Fucsovics M. | 0 : 3 |
| 11 | Kecmanovic M. | Etcheverry T. M. | 2 : 3 |
| 12 | Fery A. (Q) | Cobolli F. (20) | 3 : 0 |
| 13 | Tiafoe F. (29) | Kubler J. (Q) | 3 : 0 |
| 14 | Kypson P. (WC) | Comesana F. | 1 : 3 |
| 15 | Navone M. | Medjedovic H. | 1 : 3 |
| 16 | McDonald M. (LL) | De Minaur A. (6) | 0 : 3 |
| 17 | Zverev A. (3) | Diallo G. | 3 : 1 |
| 18 | Popyrin A. | Muller A. | 2 : 3 |
| 19 | Nava E. | Jacquet K. (WC) | 3 : 2 |
| 20 | Bonzi B. | Norrie C. (26) | 2 : 3 |
| 21 | Cerundolo F. (18) | Zhang Z. | 3 : 0 |
| 22 | Draxl L. (Q) | Dzumhur D. | 0 : 3 |
| 23 | Blockx A. (LL) | Faria J. (Q) | 1 : 3 |
| 24 | Arnaldi M. | Rublev A. (13) | 0 : 3 |
| 25 | Medvedev D. (11) | De Jong J. | 3 : 0 |
| 26 | Halys Q. | Tabilo A. | 3 : 0 |
| 27 | Majchrzak K. | Fearnley J. | 3 : 1 |
| 28 | Marozsan F. | Rinderknech A. (24) | 3 : 1 |
| 29 | Tien L. (25) | Giron M. | 3 : 2 |
| 30 | Ymer E. (Q) | Shevchenko A. | 1 : 3 |
| 31 | Cerundolo J. M. | Thompson J. (WC) | 1 : 3 |
| 32 | Borges N. | Auger-Aliassime F. (RET.) (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 33 | Musetti L. (5) | Collignon R. (RET.) | 2 : 1 |
| 34 | Sonego L. | Taberner C. | 3 : 0 |
| 35 | Dimitrov G. | Machac T. | 0 : 3 |
| 36 | Mochizuki S. | Tsitsipas S. (31) | 1 : 3 |
| 37 | Lehecka J. (17) | Gea A. (Q) | 0 : 3 |
| 38 | Djere L. | Wawrinka S. (WC) | 1 : 3 |
| 39 | Kopriva V. | Struff J-L. | 3 : 2 |
| 40 | Royer V. | Fritz T. (9) | 1 : 3 |
| 41 | Mensik J. (16) | Carreno-Busta P. | 3 : 2 |
| 42 | Sakamoto R. (Q) | Jodar R. (Q) | 2 : 3 |
| 43 | Hurkacz H. | Bergs Z. | 3 : 1 |
| 44 | Quinn E. | Griekspoor T. (23) | 3 : 0 |
| 45 | Nakashima B. (27) | Van De Zandschulp B. | 1 : 3 |
| 46 | Shang J. | Bautista-Agut R. | 3 : 1 |
| 47 | Atmane T. | Maestrelli F. (Q) | 2 : 3 |
| 48 | Martinez P. | Djokovic N. (4) | 0 : 3 |
| 49 | Shelton B. (8) | Humbert U. | 3 : 0 |
| 50 | Sweeny D. (Q) | Monfils G. | 3 : 1 |
| 51 | Mannarino A. | Hijikata R. (WC) | 0 : 3 |
| 52 | Damm M. (Q) | Vacherot V. (30) | 0 : 3 |
| 53 | Shapovalov D. (21) | Bu Y. (WC) | 3 : 0 |
| 54 | Altmaier D. | Cilic M. | 0 : 3 |
| 55 | Munar J. | Svrcina D. | 3 : 2 |
| 56 | Bellucci M. | Ruud C. (12) | 0 : 3 |
| 57 | Khachanov K. (15) | Michelsen A. | 3 : 2 |
| 58 | O'Connell C. (WC) | Basavareddy N. (Q) | 2 : 3 |
| 59 | Mpetshi Perricard G. | Baez S. | 2 : 3 |
| 60 | Garin C. | Darderi L. (22) | 0 : 3 |
| 61 | Fonseca J. (28) | Spizzirri E. | 1 : 3 |
| 62 | Nardi L. | Wu Y. (Q) | 1 : 3 |
| 63 | Duckworth J. (WC) | Prizmic D. (LL) | 3 : 2 |
| 64 | Gaston H. (RET.) | Sinner J. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/32-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Hanfmann Y. | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Zheng M. (RET.) | Moutet C. (32) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Paul T. (19) | Tirante T. A. | 3 : 0 |
| 4 | Opelka R. | Davidovich Fokina A. (14) | 2 : 3 |
| 5 | Bublik A. (10) | Fucsovics M. | 3 : 0 |
| 6 | Etcheverry T. M. | Fery A. | 3 : 0 |
| 7 | Tiafoe F. (29) | Comesana F. | 3 : 1 |
| 8 | Medjedovic H. | De Minaur A. (6) | 1 : 3 |
| 9 | Zverev A. (3) | Muller A. | 3 : 1 |
| 10 | Nava E. | Norrie C. (26) | 1 : 3 |
| 11 | Cerundolo F. (18) | Dzumhur D. | 3 : 0 |
| 12 | Faria J. | Rublev A. (13) | 1 : 3 |
| 13 | Medvedev D. (11) | Halys Q. | 3 : 1 |
| 14 | Majchrzak K. | Marozsan F. | 0 : 3 |
| 15 | Tien L. (25) | Shevchenko A. | 3 : 1 |
| 16 | Thompson J. | Borges N. | 1 : 3 |
| 17 | Musetti L. (5) | Sonego L. | 3 : 0 |
| 18 | Machac T. | Tsitsipas S. (31) | 3 : 1 |
| 19 | Gea A. | Wawrinka S. | 2 : 3 |
| 20 | Kopriva V. | Fritz T. (9) | 0 : 3 |
| 21 | Mensik J. (16) | Jodar R. | 3 : 0 |
| 22 | Hurkacz H. | Quinn E. | 0 : 3 |
| 23 | Van De Zandschulp B. | Shang J. | 3 : 0 |
| 24 | Maestrelli F. | Djokovic N. (4) | 0 : 3 |
| 25 | Shelton B. (8) | Sweeny D. | 3 : 0 |
| 26 | Hijikata R. | Vacherot V. (30) | 1 : 3 |
| 27 | Shapovalov D. (21) | Cilic M. | 0 : 3 |
| 28 | Munar J. | Ruud C. (12) | 0 : 3 |
| 29 | Khachanov K. (15) | Basavareddy N. | 3 : 0 |
| 30 | Baez S. | Darderi L. (22) | 1 : 3 |
| 31 | Spizzirri E. | Wu Y. | 3 : 2 |
| 32 | Duckworth J. | Sinner J. (2) | 0 : 3 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Moutet C. (32) | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Paul T. (19) | Davidovich Fokina A. (RET.) (14) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Bublik A. (10) | Etcheverry T. M. | 3 : 0 |
| 4 | Tiafoe F. (29) | De Minaur A. (6) | 0 : 3 |
| 5 | Zverev A. (3) | Norrie C. (26) | 3 : 1 |
| 6 | Cerundolo F. (18) | Rublev A. (13) | 3 : 0 |
| 7 | Medvedev D. (11) | Marozsan F. | 3 : 2 |
| 8 | Tien L. (25) | Borges N. | 3 : 0 |
| 9 | Musetti L. (5) | Machac T. | 3 : 2 |
| 10 | Wawrinka S. | Fritz T. (9) | 1 : 3 |
| 11 | Mensik J. (16) | Quinn E. | 3 : 0 |
| 12 | Van De Zandschulp B. | Djokovic N. (4) | 0 : 3 |
| 13 | Shelton B. (8) | Vacherot V. (30) | 3 : 0 |
| 14 | Cilic M. | Ruud C. (12) | 1 : 3 |
| 15 | Khachanov K. (15) | Darderi L. (22) | 1 : 3 |
| 16 | Spizzirri E. | Sinner J. (2) | 1 : 3 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Paul T. (19) | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Bublik A. (10) | De Minaur A. (6) | 0 : 3 |
| 3 | Zverev A. (3) | Cerundolo F. (18) | 3 : 0 |
| 4 | Medvedev D. (11) | Tien L. (25) | 0 : 3 |
| 5 | Musetti L. (5) | Fritz T. (9) | 3 : 0 |
| 6 | Mensik J. (16) | Djokovic N. (WO.) (4) | |
| 7 | Shelton B. (8) | Ruud C. (12) | 3 : 1 |
| 8 | Darderi L. (22) | Sinner J. (2) | 0 : 3 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | De Minaur A. (6) | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Zverev A. (3) | Tien L. (25) | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Musetti L. (RET.) (5) | Djokovic N. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Shelton B. (8) | Sinner J. (2) | 0 : 3 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Zverev A. (3) | 3 : 2 |
| 2 | Djokovic N. (4) | Sinner J. (2) | 3 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Djokovic N. (4) | 3 : 1 |
