Result
1:2
25/03/2026 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bucaramanga 2, clay - 1/8-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 60% | 71% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 67% (35/52) | 73% (49/67) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 43% (15/35) | 50% (14/28) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 2/7 | 3/5 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 28% (19/67) | 35% (18/52) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 50% (14/28) | 57% (20/35) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 2/5 | 5/7 |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 57% (50/87) | 66% (63/95) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 34% (32/95) | 43% (37/87) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 45% (82/182) | 55% (100/182) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 87% (13/15) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 13% (2/15) | 38% (5/13) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 36% (10/28) | 64% (18/28) |
Chances of winning
Carlos Maria Zarate
33.5% | Juan Manuel La Serna
66.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carlos Maria Zarate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Juan Manuel La Serna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlos Maria Zarate than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Manuel La Serna than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Carlos Maria Zarate - Juan Manuel La Serna Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.78 ↑
(2.72) |
|
1.4 ↑
(1.39) |
7.6%
(8.8%) | |
Preview Facts
- Zarate is ranked ATP: 575. La Serna is ranked ATP: 341.
- Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
- La Serna may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- La Serna is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Zarate won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Carlos Maria Zarate won against Juan Manuel La Serna?
Carlos Maria Zarate has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Juan Manuel La Serna won against Carlos Maria Zarate?
Juan Manuel La Serna has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Carlos Maria Zarate - Juan Manuel La Serna were as follows:
24.10.2025
Carlos Maria Zarate
-
Juan Manuel La Serna
0:2
18.10.2025
Carlos Maria Zarate
-
Juan Manuel La Serna
1:2
Latest results of Carlos Maria Zarate
Latest results of Juan Manuel La Serna
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Justo G. I. (1) | Fernandez B. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | George B. T. (Q) | Marrero Curbelo I. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Nikles J. | Torrealba B. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Kingsley C. | Soriano Barrera A. (6) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Roncadelli F. (3) | Heredia S. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Linde Palacios S. A. | Li C. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Rodriguez L. J. | Gomez J. S. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Aboian V. | Johns G. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Estevez J. (8) | Janvier M. | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Orlov V. | Villalon N. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Rengifo F. (WC) | Zarate C. M. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Corwin F. | La Serna J. M. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Ambrogi L. E. (7) | Saraiva Dos Santos P. A. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Osorio J. S. (WC) | Salazar D. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Bertran P. | Hernandez R. S. L. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Nunez D. A. (Q) | Soto M. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Justo G. I. (1) | Marrero Curbelo I. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Nikles J. | Kingsley C. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Roncadelli F. (3) | Li C. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Rodriguez L. J. | Johns G. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Janvier M. | Villalon N. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Zarate C. M. | La Serna J. M. (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Ambrogi L. E. (7) | Salazar D. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Bertran P. | Soto M. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Justo G. I. (1) | Nikles J. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Roncadelli F. (3) | Rodriguez L. J. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Villalon N. | La Serna J. M. (4) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Salazar D. | Soto M. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Justo G. I. (1) | Roncadelli F. (RET.) (3) | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Villalon N. | Soto M. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Justo G. I. (1) | Soto M. (2) | 0 : 2 |
