Carlos Maria Zarate vs Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
13/03/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 La Plata, clay - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Last 10 balls
55

Chances of winning


Carlos Maria Zarate
28.3%
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
71.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.7% 62.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5% 58.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Carlos Maria Zarate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carlos Maria Zarate's form might have worsened.
  • Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlos Maria Zarate than the current prediction. (+13.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carlos Maria Zarate, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez than the current prediction. (-13.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Carlos Maria Zarate - Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.51
    (2.46)

    1.38
    (1.49)
    0.9%
    (8%)
    Preview Facts
    • Zarate is ranked ATP: 576. Rodriguez is ranked ATP: 522.
    • Now, both players are in good form.
    • Rodriguez will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • We predict that Rodriguez will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Zarate won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Carlos Maria Zarate - Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez were as follows:
    24.07.2025 Carlos Maria Zarate - Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez 2:0
    05.07.2025 Carlos Maria Zarate - Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez 0:2
    Latest results of Carlos Maria Zarate
    Draw
    2026

    1/16-finals
    1Estevez J. (1)Rocha L.2 : 0
    2Cavallo F.Zanellato N.2 : 1
    3Garay V.Falabella L. A.2 : 0
    4De Dios F.De La Fuente S. (6)0 : 2
    5Ratti L. (4)Lehmann N.2 : 0
    6Bruna N.Cundom J.2 : 0
    7Lingua Lavallen A. L.Zeitune G.2 : 0
    8Zeitune M.Farjat T. (8)2 : 0
    9Zarate C. M. (5)Carballo M.2 : 0
    10Otegui J. B.Navarro J.2 : 0
    11Cigarran T.Camargo Lima E.2 : 0
    12Gagliardo L.Rodriguez L. J. (3)0 : 2
    13Fernandez B. (7)Carraro L.2 : 0
    14Monferrer E.Rimoli E.2 : 1
    15Martinez T.Tenti F.1 : 2
    16Libre A.Aboian V. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Estevez J. (1)Cavallo F.2 : 0
    2Garay V.De La Fuente S. (6)1 : 2
    3Ratti L. (4)Bruna N.2 : 0
    4Lingua Lavallen A. L.Zeitune M.1 : 2
    5Zarate C. M. (5)Otegui J. B.2 : 0
    6Cigarran T. (RET.)Rodriguez L. J. (3)0 : 1
    7Fernandez B. (7)Monferrer E.2 : 0
    8Tenti F.Aboian V. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Estevez J. (1)De La Fuente S. (6)2 : 0
    2Ratti L. (4)Zeitune M.2 : 0
    3Zarate C. M. (5)Rodriguez L. J. (3)1 : 2
    4Fernandez B. (7)Aboian V. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Estevez J. (1)Ratti L. (4)2 : 0
    2Rodriguez L. J. (3)Fernandez B. (7)1 : 2

    Final
    1Estevez J. (1)Fernandez B. (7)