Carlos Renaux vs Metropolitano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense 2 Carlos Renaux - Metropolitano
Result
2:1
16/08/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Catarinense 2 - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
118
Shots on target
65
Corner Kicks
41
Red Cards
11
Total shots
118
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
53
Corner Kicks
41
Goalkeeper Saves
44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 37', 1 - 0, Hebert ,
  • 45', 1 - 1, Patrick Carvalho ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 53', 2 - 1, Cassio ,
  • 59', Patrick Carvalho 🟥,
  • 59', Barcelos 🟥,

Chances of winning


Carlos Renaux
47%
Draw
33%
Metropolitano
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.2% 32.1% 32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8% 33.5% 31.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Carlos Renaux has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Carlos Renaux's performance.
  • Metropolitano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Metropolitano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlos Renaux than the current prediction. (-10.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carlos Renaux that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metropolitano than the current prediction. (+11.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Metropolitano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Carlos Renaux - Metropolitano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.94
    (2.55)
    2.77
    (2.8)
    4.56
    (2.75)
    9.7%
    (11.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 1-1. 2nd leg.
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Catarinense 2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Catarinense 2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))
    • Recent performances by Carlos Renaux have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Metropolitano is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Carlos Renaux may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Carlos Renaux is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Carlos Renaux won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Carlos Renaux won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Carlos Renaux - Metropolitano were as follows:
    10.08.2025 Metropolitano - Carlos Renaux 1:1
    13.07.2025 Carlos Renaux - Metropolitano 0:0
    11.07.2024 Carlos Renaux - Metropolitano 3:1
    18.06.2023 Carlos Renaux - Metropolitano 0:0
    Latest results of Carlos Renaux
    Latest results of Metropolitano
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Blumenau (1)Bye
    2Gremio Juventus (3)Camboriu (6)1 : 2, 1 : 1
    3Carlos Renaux (2)Bye
    4Metropolitano (4)Tubarao (5)2 : 0, 0 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Blumenau (1)Camboriu (6)1 : 2, 0 : 1
    2Carlos Renaux (2)Metropolitano (4)2 : 1, 1 : 1

    Final
    1Camboriu (6)Carlos Renaux (2)0 : 2, 1 : 1