Result
2:1
26/02/2026 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Catarinense - Relegation Group - Round 5
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 35', 1 - 0, Cassio ⚽,
- 45+2', 2 - 0, Erverson ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Jose Carlos ↓, Roldan ↑,
- 57', Willian Mococa 🟨,
- 60', Cassio ↓, Guilherme Henrique ↑,
- 66', Felipe Baiano ↓, Miguel Silva ↑,
- 66', Felipe Cruz ↓, Kaique Maciel ↑,
- 70', 🟨,
- 73', 🟨,
- 73', Ruan ↓, Keven ↑,
- 74', 2 - 1, Kaique Maciel ⚽,
- 76', Guilherme Kante 🟨,
- 79', Jonathan 🟨,
- 83', Miguel Silva 🟥,
- 86', Arouca ↓, Gabriel Mello ↑,
- 90+2', 🟨,
- 90+4', 🟨,
- 90+9', 🟥,
Chances of winning
Carlos Renaux
24.4% | Draw
29.6% | Náutico Marcílio Dias
46% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carlos Renaux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)Náutico Marcílio Dias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlos Renaux than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náutico Marcílio Dias than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Carlos Renaux - Náutico Marcílio Dias Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.75 ↑
(3.3) |
3.09 ↑
(3.08) |
1.99 ↓
(2.11) |
9.4%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Carlos Renaux - Náutico Marcílio Dias?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Carlos Renaux (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Carlos Renaux (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Carlos Renaux has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Marcílio Dias is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Marcílio Dias could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Carlos Renaux won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Carlos Renaux won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4.
How many head-to-head matches has Carlos Renaux won against Náutico Marcílio Dias?
Carlos Renaux has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Náutico Marcílio Dias won against Carlos Renaux?
Náutico Marcílio Dias has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Carlos Renaux - Náutico Marcílio Dias were as follows:
09.02.2026
Náutico Marcílio Dias
-
Carlos Renaux
1:1
25.01.2026
Carlos Renaux
-
Náutico Marcílio Dias
2:4
Latest results of Carlos Renaux
Latest results of Náutico Marcílio Dias
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Concordia | Brusque | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Criciuma | Chapecoense-SC | 0 : 0, 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Barra FC | Santa Catarina | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Camboriu | Avai | 2 : 0, 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Brusque | Chapecoense-SC | 0 : 3, 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Barra FC | Camboriu | 3 : 0, 1 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Chapecoense-SC | Barra FC | 1 : 3 |
