Carlton Blues vs Collingwood Magpies – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

04/07/2025 at 05:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Melbourne Cricket Ground (Melbourne).

AFL - Round 17
Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	AFL, Fox Footy
Germany	Sportdigital1+
New-zealand	Sky Sport 6
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1

Match Stats


Goals
8	17
Behinds
11	13
Kicks
202	238
Handballs
148	152
Disposals
350	390
Frees For
11	14
Frees Against
14	11
Clearances Completed
42	33
Marks
89	111
Tackles
46	60
Hitouts
45	36

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Quarter (21 - 27)
01:33, Curnow C. (Behind),
06:06, Lipinski P. (Behind),
07:04, Hoskin-Elliott W. (G),
08:15, Elliott J. (G),
11:54, Curnow C. (Behind),
13:09, Williams Z. (G),
15:40, Williams Z. (G),
17:33, Membrey T. (G),
21:42, Daicos N. (Behind),
23:48, Motlop J. (G),
25:18, McStay D. (G),
28:31, Markov O. (Behind),
29:50, (Behind Rushed),
2nd Quarter (8 - 26)
00:48, Membrey T. (G),
02:20, Acres B. (Behind),
05:53, Daicos N. (G),
07:23, (Behind Rushed),
08:34, Evans F. (Behind),
13:54, Mihocek B. (Behind),
15:20, Elliott J. (G),
18:03, Fantasia O. (G),
28:16, McStay D. (G),
3rd Quarter (16 - 52)
01:16, Mihocek B. (G),
02:49, De Koning T. (Behind),
04:12, Elliott J. (Behind),
05:08, Maynard B. (Behind),
06:21, McStay D. (G),
07:41, (Behind Rushed),
13:18, Elliott J. (Behind),
14:23, Elliott J. (G),
16:13, Elliott J. (G),
17:56, Motlop J. (G),
19:35, Sullivan L. (G),
22:12, McStay D. (G),
25:11, Long N. (G),
26:55, Crisp J. (G),
29:00, Evans F. (Behind),
31:18, Curnow C. (Behind),
33:46, Williams Z. (G),
35:57, Daicos N. (Behind),
4th Quarter (14 - 10)
02:03, (Behind Rushed),
03:09, Lipinski P. (Behind),
05:09, Mihocek B. (Behind),
09:45, Moir A. (G),
13:47, Mitchell T. (Behind),
14:49, McGovern M. (G),
18:44, Elliott J. (Behind),
22:57, Motlop J. (Behind),
26:58, Mihocek B. (G),

Chances of winning

Carlton Blues
21.9%

Collingwood Magpies
78.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.3%

71.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

65%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlton Blues has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carlton Blues's form might have worsened.

Collingwood Magpies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Collingwood Magpies's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlton Blues than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carlton Blues, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Collingwood Magpies than the current prediction. (-13.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Collingwood Magpies, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Carlton Blues - Collingwood Magpies Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.14 ↑ (3.37)		1.2 ↓ (1.33)	7.5% (5.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 160.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-27)

What is the prediction for Carlton Blues - Collingwood Magpies?

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Carlton will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Collingwood will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Carlton (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 67:94.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carlton won 1.
Recent performances by Carlton have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Collingwood is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Carlton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Collingwood is the team to beat.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Carlton won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 1450:1635. (average 72.5:81.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Carlton won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 596:806. (average 66.2:89.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Carlton Blues won against Collingwood Magpies?

Carlton Blues has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Collingwood Magpies won against Carlton Blues?

Collingwood Magpies has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Carlton Blues - Collingwood Magpies were as follows:

03.04.2025 Collingwood Magpies - Carlton Blues 63:46

03.08.2024 Collingwood Magpies - Carlton Blues 84:81

03.05.2024 Carlton Blues - Collingwood Magpies 79:85

28.07.2023 Collingwood Magpies - Carlton Blues 76:93

21.05.2023 Carlton Blues - Collingwood Magpies 57:85

Latest results of Carlton Blues

26.06.2025 Port Adelaide Power - Carlton Blues 110:60 ✺

20.06.2025 Carlton Blues - North Melbourne Kangaroos 73:84 ✺

15.06.2025 West Coast Eagles - Carlton Blues 52:86 ✺

08.06.2025 Carlton Blues - Essendon Bombers 78:70 ✺

23.05.2025 Carlton Blues - Greater Western Sydney Giants 82:110 ✺

Latest results of Collingwood Magpies

21.06.2025 Collingwood Magpies - St Kilda Saints 108:74 ✺

09.06.2025 Melbourne Demons - Collingwood Magpies 71:72 ✺

30.05.2025 Collingwood Magpies - Hawthorn Hawks 107:56 ✺

24.05.2025 North Melbourne Kangaroos - Collingwood Magpies 63:108 ✺

16.05.2025 Collingwood Magpies - Adelaide Crows 78:68 ✺

AFL Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		%%	Pts
1	Adelaide Crows	20	15	0	5	2019:1401	144.11	60
2	Collingwood Magpies	19	15	0	4	1742:1290	135.04	60
3	Brisbane Lions	19	13	1	5	1689:1524	110.83	54
4	Geelong Cats	19	13	0	6	1949:1452	134.23	52
5	Hawthorn Hawks	20	13	0	7	1764:1500	117.60	52
6	Fremantle Dockers	19	13	0	6	1636:1464	111.75	52
7	GWS Giants	20	13	0	7	1766:1586	111.35	52
8	Western Bulldogs	20	12	0	8	2165:1577	137.29	48
9	Gold Coast Suns	18	12	0	6	1677:1403	119.53	48
10	Sydney Swans	19	9	0	10	1499:1596	93.92	36
11	Port Adelaide Power	19	8	0	11	1419:1706	83.18	32
12	Carlton Blues	19	7	0	12	1450:1554	93.31	28
13	Melbourne Demons	19	6	0	13	1532:1703	89.96	24
14	St Kilda Saints	19	6	0	13	1535:1777	86.38	24
15	Essendon Bombers	18	6	0	12	1227:1712	71.67	24
16	Richmond Tigers	19	5	0	14	1223:1796	68.10	20
17	North Melbourne	19	4	1	14	1422:1954	72.77	18
18	West Coast Eagles	19	1	0	18	1249:1968	63.47	4

Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )