Carlton Blues vs Collingwood Magpies – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Aussie rules AFL Carlton Blues - Collingwood Magpies
Result
59:115
04/07/2025 at 05:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AFL - Round 17
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaAFL, Fox Footy
germanyGermanySportdigital1+
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 6
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1

Match Stats

Goals
817
Behinds
1113
Kicks
202238
Handballs
148152
Disposals
350390
Frees For
1114
Frees Against
1411
Clearances Completed
4233
Marks
89111
Tackles
4660
Hitouts
4536

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (21 - 27)
  • 01:33, Curnow C. (Behind),
  • 06:06, Lipinski P. (Behind),
  • 07:04, Hoskin-Elliott W. (G),
  • 08:15, Elliott J. (G),
  • 11:54, Curnow C. (Behind),
  • 13:09, Williams Z. (G),
  • 15:40, Williams Z. (G),
  • 17:33, Membrey T. (G),
  • 21:42, Daicos N. (Behind),
  • 23:48, Motlop J. (G),
  • 25:18, McStay D. (G),
  • 28:31, Markov O. (Behind),
  • 29:50, (Behind Rushed),
  • 2nd Quarter (8 - 26)
  • 00:48, Membrey T. (G),
  • 02:20, Acres B. (Behind),
  • 05:53, Daicos N. (G),
  • 07:23, (Behind Rushed),
  • 08:34, Evans F. (Behind),
  • 13:54, Mihocek B. (Behind),
  • 15:20, Elliott J. (G),
  • 18:03, Fantasia O. (G),
  • 28:16, McStay D. (G),
  • 3rd Quarter (16 - 52)
  • 01:16, Mihocek B. (G),
  • 02:49, De Koning T. (Behind),
  • 04:12, Elliott J. (Behind),
  • 05:08, Maynard B. (Behind),
  • 06:21, McStay D. (G),
  • 07:41, (Behind Rushed),
  • 13:18, Elliott J. (Behind),
  • 14:23, Elliott J. (G),
  • 16:13, Elliott J. (G),
  • 17:56, Motlop J. (G),
  • 19:35, Sullivan L. (G),
  • 22:12, McStay D. (G),
  • 25:11, Long N. (G),
  • 26:55, Crisp J. (G),
  • 29:00, Evans F. (Behind),
  • 31:18, Curnow C. (Behind),
  • 33:46, Williams Z. (G),
  • 35:57, Daicos N. (Behind),
  • 4th Quarter (14 - 10)
  • 02:03, (Behind Rushed),
  • 03:09, Lipinski P. (Behind),
  • 05:09, Mihocek B. (Behind),
  • 09:45, Moir A. (G),
  • 13:47, Mitchell T. (Behind),
  • 14:49, McGovern M. (G),
  • 18:44, Elliott J. (Behind),
  • 22:57, Motlop J. (Behind),
  • 26:58, Mihocek B. (G),

Chances of winning


Carlton Blues
21.9%
Collingwood Magpies
78.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.3% 71.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35% 65%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Carlton Blues has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carlton Blues's form might have worsened.
  • Collingwood Magpies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Collingwood Magpies's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlton Blues than the current prediction. (+13.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carlton Blues, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Collingwood Magpies than the current prediction. (-13.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Collingwood Magpies, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Carlton Blues - Collingwood Magpies Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.14
    (3.37)

    1.2
    (1.33)
    7.5%
    (5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 160.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-27)
  • What is the prediction for Carlton Blues - Collingwood Magpies?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Carlton will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Collingwood will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Carlton (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 67:94.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carlton won 1.
    • Recent performances by Carlton have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Collingwood is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Carlton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Collingwood is the team to beat.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Carlton won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 1450:1635. (average 72.5:81.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Carlton won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 596:806. (average 66.2:89.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Carlton Blues - Collingwood Magpies were as follows:
    03.04.2025 Collingwood Magpies - Carlton Blues 63:46
    03.08.2024 Collingwood Magpies - Carlton Blues 84:81
    03.05.2024 Carlton Blues - Collingwood Magpies 79:85
    28.07.2023 Collingwood Magpies - Carlton Blues 76:93
    21.05.2023 Carlton Blues - Collingwood Magpies 57:85
    Latest results of Carlton Blues
    Latest results of Collingwood Magpies
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Adelaide Crows (1)Collingwood Magpies (4)55 : 79
    3Brisbane LionsBye
    4Fremantle Dockers (6)Gold Coast Suns (7)79 : 80
    5Geelong Cats (2)Brisbane Lions (3)112 : 74
    7Adelaide CrowsBye
    8GWS Giants (5)Hawthorn Hawks (8)88 : 107

    Quarter-finals
    1Collingwood Magpies (4)Bye
    2Brisbane Lions (3)Gold Coast Suns (7)100 : 47
    3Geelong Cats (2)Bye
    4Adelaide Crows (1)Hawthorn Hawks (8)67 : 101

    Semi-finals
    1Collingwood Magpies (4)Brisbane Lions (3)
    2Geelong Cats (2)Hawthorn Hawks (8)115 : 85

    Final
    1TBD #1Geelong Cats (2)