Sydney Swans vs Carlton Blues – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
76:37
11/10/2025 at 22:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AFL Women - Round 9
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustralia7plus, AFL, Fox Footy
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+, TNT Sports 4

Match Stats

Goals
115
Behinds
107

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (29 - 7)
  • 2nd Quarter (24 - 8)
  • 3rd Quarter (14 - 20)
  • 4th Quarter (9 - 2)

Chances of winning


Sydney Swans
44.8%
Carlton Blues
55.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.7% 38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6% 61.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sydney Swans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sydney Swans's form might have worsened.
  • Carlton Blues has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Carlton Blues's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sydney Swans than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sydney Swans that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlton Blues than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carlton Blues could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Sydney Swans - Carlton Blues Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.07
    (1.5)

    1.71
    (2.42)
    6.9%
    (8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 90.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)
    What is the prediction for Sydney Swans - Carlton Blues?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sydney will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Carlton will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 47:44.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent form of Sydney has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Carlton is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Sydney may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • We predict that Carlton will win today's game, with odds of 1.97.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sydney won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 39:44.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sydney Swans - Carlton Blues were as follows:
    29.09.2023 Carlton Blues - Sydney Swans 44:39
    Latest results of Sydney Swans
    Latest results of Carlton Blues
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1North Melbourne W (1)Hawthorn Hawks W (4)42 : 3
    4Adelaide Crows W (6)St Kilda W (7)60 : 16
    5Melbourne Demons W (2)Brisbane Lions W (3)43 : 56
    8Carlton Blues W (5)West Coast Eagles W (8)60 : 19

    Quarter-finals
    1North Melbourne W (1)Bye
    2Melbourne Demons W (2)Adelaide Crows W (6)60 : 49
    3Brisbane Lions W (3)Bye
    4Hawthorn Hawks W (4)Carlton Blues W (5)33 : 79

    Semi-finals
    1North Melbourne W (1)Melbourne Demons W (2)46 : 36
    2Brisbane Lions W (3)Carlton Blues W (5)67 : 32

    Final
    1North Melbourne W (1)Brisbane Lions W (3)56 : 16