Result
0:2
13/02/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 64', 0 - 1, Bowen L. ⚽,
- 81', 0 - 2, Saunders C. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Carmarthen Town
22.7% | Draw
24.6% | Trefelin
52.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carmarthen Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carmarthen Town's form might have worsened.Trefelin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Trefelin's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carmarthen Town than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carmarthen Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trefelin than the current prediction. (-8.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Trefelin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Carmarthen Town - Trefelin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.04 ↑
(3.23) |
3.73 ↑
(3.4) |
1.74 ↓
(2.01) |
9.2%
(10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carmarthen Town won 1.
- Carmarthen Town has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Trefelin is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Trefelin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Trefelin could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Carmarthen Town won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:9. (average 1.9:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Carmarthen Town won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 2.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Carmarthen Town won against Trefelin?
Carmarthen Town has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Trefelin won against Carmarthen Town?
Trefelin has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Carmarthen Town - Trefelin were as follows:
14.11.2025
Trefelin
-
Carmarthen Town
2:0
29.03.2025
Carmarthen Town
-
Trefelin
1:1
12.10.2024
Trefelin
-
Carmarthen Town
2:1
08.03.2024
Trefelin
-
Carmarthen Town
1:1
28.08.2023
Carmarthen Town
-
Trefelin
6:1
Latest results of Carmarthen Town
Latest results of Trefelin
Welsh Cymru South Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Trefelin ✔ | 29 | 24 | 3 | 2 | 78:17 | 61 | 75 |
| 2 | Cambrian United ✔ | 29 | 23 | 4 | 2 | 72:19 | 53 | 73 |
| 3 | Ammanford | 29 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 47:25 | 22 | 57 |
| 4 | Caerau Ely | 29 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 66:34 | 32 | 56 |
| 5 | Carmarthen Town | 29 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 44:34 | 10 | 45 |
| 6 | Aberystwyth | 29 | 13 | 4 | 12 | 35:38 | -3 | 43 |
| 7 | Cardiff Draconians | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 46:47 | -1 | 37 |
| 8 | Llantwit Major | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 43:44 | -1 | 37 |
| 9 | Newport City | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 36:43 | -7 | 37 |
| 10 | Treowen | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 47:62 | -15 | 34 |
| 11 | Pontypridd | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 46:51 | -5 | 33 |
| 12 | Afan Lido | 29 | 9 | 3 | 17 | 31:53 | -22 | 30 |
| 13 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 44:61 | -17 | 28 |
| 14 | Baglan Dragons | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 25:51 | -26 | 24 |
| 15 | Ynyshir Albions | 29 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 27:56 | -29 | 22 |
| 16 | Cwmbran Celtic | 29 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 24:76 | -52 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Cymru Premier
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Trefelin is Qualified for Cymru Premier
Cambrian United is Qualified for Cymru Premier
