Carmópolis vs Olimpico EC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano Carmópolis - Olimpico EC
Result
0:1
23/03/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: SERGIPANO - RELEGATION - PLAY OFFS - FINAL

Match Stats

Red Cards
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 5', 0 - 1, Pingo ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 77', 🟥,
  • 77', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Carmópolis
52%
Draw
27.5%
Olimpico EC
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.8% 26.6% 23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41% 21.9% 28.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Carmópolis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • Olimpico EC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carmópolis than the current prediction. (-11%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carmópolis that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpico EC than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Olimpico EC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Carmópolis - Olimpico EC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (1.82)
    3.31
    (3.4)
    4.42
    (3.84)
    10%
    (10.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 4-1.
    • In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 8 in the zone Sergipano (Relegation ~ Play Offs: ) and 9 in the zone Sergipano (Relegation ~ Play Offs: )).
    • Carmópolis is Sergipano (Relegation ~ Play Offs )
    • Olimpico EC is Sergipano (Relegation ~ Play Offs )
    • One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.
    • Olimpico EC could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Carmópolis is a favorite.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Carmópolis won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Carmópolis won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Carmópolis - Olimpico EC were as follows:
    17.03.2024 Olimpico EC - Carmópolis 1:4
    04.02.2024 Carmópolis - Olimpico EC 0:0
    Latest results of Carmópolis
    17.03.2024 Olimpico EC - Carmópolis 1:4
    02.03.2024 Falcon - Carmópolis 0:0
    25.02.2024 Carmópolis - Dorense 2:3
    17.02.2024 Lagarto - Carmópolis 2:0
    10.02.2024 Carmópolis - Sergipe 0:1
    Latest results of Olimpico EC
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Confianca (1)Bye
    2Lagarto (3)Falcon (6)0 : 1
    3Itabaiana (2)Sergipe (7)2 : 0
    4America SE (4)Guarany SE (5)1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1ConfiancaFalcon3 : 0, 2 : 1
    2ItabaianaAmerica SE1 : 0, 1 : 1

    Final
    1ConfiancaItabaiana1 : 1, 2 : 1