Carol Zhao vs Alana Smith – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Newport Challenger Women Carol Zhao - Alana Smith
Result
2:0
11/07/2025 at 17:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Newport, grass - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
32
Double Faults
34
1st Serve Percentage
76%60%
1st Serve Points Won
68% (30/44)54% (25/46)
2nd Serve Points Won
57% (8/14)45% (14/31)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/3)58% (7/12)
1st Return Points Won
46% (21/46)32% (14/44)
2nd Return Points Won
55% (17/31)43% (6/14)
Break Points Converted
42% (5/12)100% (3/3)
Service Points Won
66% (38/58)51% (39/77)
Return Points Won
49% (38/77)34% (20/58)
Total Points Won
56% (76/135)44% (59/135)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
73% (8/11)50% (5/10)
Return Games Won
50% (5/10)27% (3/11)
Total Games Won
62% (13/21)38% (8/21)

Chances of winning


Carol Zhao
62.9%
Alana Smith
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.7% 37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.4% 34.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Carol Zhao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Alana Smith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carol Zhao than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alana Smith than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • Carol Zhao - Alana Smith Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.51
    (1.49)

    2.44
    (2.5)
    7.1%
    (7.4%)
    Preview Facts
    • Zhao is ranked WTA: 273. Smith is ranked WTA: 383.
    • Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Zhao may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Zhao will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Carol Zhao
    Latest results of Alana Smith
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Maria T. (1)Cross K.2 : 0
    2McHale C. (WC)Miyazaki L.1 : 2
    3Chang H.Ishii S.1 : 2
    4Bektas E.Aiava D. (5)1 : 2
    5Fruhvirtova L. (4)Kalieva E.0 : 2
    6Zhao C.Ma Y.2 : 0
    7Lincer O. (Q)Smith A. (Q)1 : 2
    8Mateas M.Hartono A. (7)0 : 2
    9Bolkvadze M. (8)Akli A.2 : 0
    10McNally C.Vidmanova D.2 : 0
    11Sebov K.Yamalapalli S.0 : 2
    12Hule P. (Q)Gibson T. (3)0 : 2
    13Stefanini L. (6)Ma L. (WC)2 : 1
    14Rogers A. S.Bouchard E. (WC)2 : 0
    15Mandlik E.Kung L.2 : 0
    16Giavara H. (Q)Shibahara E. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Maria T. (1)Miyazaki L.2 : 0
    2Ishii S.Aiava D. (5)2 : 1
    3Kalieva E.Zhao C.1 : 2
    4Smith A.Hartono A. (7)2 : 1
    5Bolkvadze M. (8)McNally C.0 : 2
    6Yamalapalli S.Gibson T. (3)0 : 2
    7Stefanini L. (6)Rogers A. S.2 : 0
    8Mandlik E.Giavara H.2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Maria T. (1)Ishii S.2 : 0
    2Zhao C.Smith A.2 : 0
    3McNally C.Gibson T. (3)2 : 1
    4Stefanini L. (6)Mandlik E.0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Maria T. (1)Zhao C.2 : 0
    2McNally C.Mandlik E.2 : 1

    Final
    1Maria T. (1)McNally C.1 : 2