Maria Lourdes Carle vs Carol Zhao – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

19/08/2025 at 13:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY).

WTA - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Quarter-finals
Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max

Match Stats


Aces
0	1
Double Faults
9	9
1st Serve Percentage
63%	63%
1st Serve Points Won
60% (32/53)	60% (33/55)
2nd Serve Points Won
23% (7/31)	47% (15/32)
Break Points Saved
67% (12/18)	60% (6/10)
1st Return Points Won
44% (24/55)	40% (21/53)
2nd Return Points Won
53% (17/32)	77% (24/31)
Break Points Converted
40% (4/10)	33% (6/18)
Service Points Won
46% (39/84)	54% (45/84)
Return Points Won
46% (39/84)	54% (45/84)
Total Points Won
46% (78/168)	54% (90/168)
Last 10 Balls
3	7
Match Points Saved
0	0
Service Games Won
40% (4/10)	60% (6/10)
Return Games Won
40% (4/10)	60% (6/10)
Total Games Won
40% (8/20)	60% (12/20)

Chances of winning

Maria Lourdes Carle
65.9%

Carol Zhao
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.5%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maria Lourdes Carle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Carol Zhao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maria Lourdes Carle than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carol Zhao than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Maria Lourdes Carle - Carol Zhao Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.45)		2.78 ↑ (2.64)	5.9% (6.8%)

What is the prediction for Maria Lourdes Carle - Carol Zhao?

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Carle will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Zhao will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

Carle is ranked WTA: 118. Zhao is ranked WTA: 232.
In recent matches, Carle has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Zhao has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Carle may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Carle is a strong favorite.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Carle won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

How many head-to-head matches has Maria Lourdes Carle won against Carol Zhao?

Maria Lourdes Carle has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Carol Zhao won against Maria Lourdes Carle?

Carol Zhao has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Maria Lourdes Carle - Carol Zhao were as follows:

03.04.2023 Carol Zhao - Maria Lourdes Carle 2:1

Latest results of Maria Lourdes Carle

31.07.2025 Maria Lourdes Carle - Nikola Bartunkova 0:2 ✺

30.07.2025 Maria Lourdes Carle - Dalila Jakupovic 2:0 ✺

18.07.2025 Maria Lourdes Carle - Sorana Cirstea 0:2 ✺

17.07.2025 Elina Avanesyan - Maria Lourdes Carle 0:2 ✺

15.07.2025 Patricia Maria Tig - Maria Lourdes Carle 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Carol Zhao

06.08.2025 Leolia Jeanjean - Carol Zhao 2:1 ✺

26.07.2025 Elsa Jacquemot - Carol Zhao 2:1 ✺

24.07.2025 Carol Zhao - Janice Tjen 0:2 ✺

22.07.2025 Sara Daavettila - Carol Zhao 0:2 ✺

17.07.2025 Carol Zhao - Fiona Crawley 1:2 ✺

Draw

Singles - Qualification

Quarter-finals

1	Jones F. (1)	Hruncakova V.	2 : 0
2	Watson H.	Gorgodze E.	1 : 2
3	Sanchez A. S.	Hartono A.	1 : 2
4	Koevermans A.	Gadecki O. (19)	1 : 2
5	Valentova T. (2)	Barthel M.	2 : 0
6	Prozorova T.	Trevisan M.	2 : 0
7	Burrage J.	Tig P. M.	2 : 0
8	Martinez Cirez C.	Rus A. (18)	0 : 2
9	Ito A. (3)	Friedsam A-L.	2 : 1
10	Maristany G.	Rakotomanga Rajaonah T.	2 : 0
11	Pedone G.	Chwalinska M.	0 : 2
12	Tjen J.	Lepchenko V. (22)	2 : 0
13	Galfi D. (4)	Urhobo A. (WC)	2 : 0
14	Crawley F. (WC)	Chirico L.	2 : 0
15	Nahimana S.	Leonard M.	0 : 2
16	Ormaechea P.	Udvardy P. (29)	0 : 2
17	Tomova V. (5)	Burillo Escorihuela I.	2 : 0
18	Stakusic M.	Vandewinkel H.	0 : 2
19	Niemeier J.	Saville D.	2 : 0
20	Brancaccio N.	Hon P. (27)	0 : 2
21	Gracheva V. (6)	Brengle M.	2 : 0
22	Wuerth T.	Rodionova Ar.	2 : 0
23	Palicova B.	Pridankina E.	1 : 2
24	Day K.	Shibahara E. (20)	0 : 2
25	Volynets K. (7)	Costoulas S.	2 : 0
26	Honer A. (WC)	Osuigwe W.	2 : 0
27	Hercog P.	Andrianjafitrimo T.	1 : 2
28	Fett J.	Garland J. (30)	2 : 0
29	Bejlek S. (8)	Aiava D.	1 : 2
30	Mikulskyte J.	Okamura K.	2 : 0
31	Vickery S.	Sobolieva A.	2 : 0
32	Deichmann K.	Seidel E. (21)	0 : 2
33	Zhang S. (9)	Stoiana M. (WC)	2 : 0
34	Vidmanova D.	Iyengar M. (WC)	2 : 0
35	Cengiz B.	Wei S.	0 : 2
36	Naef C.	Romero Gormaz L. (23)	0 : 2
37	Pera B. (10)	Jones E.	1 : 2
38	Pigossi L.	Zidansek T.	2 : 1
39	Sharma A.	Radivojevic L.	2 : 0
40	Nguyen A. (WC)	Jimenez Kasintseva V. (28)	0 : 2
41	Marcinko P. (11)	Gao X.	2 : 0
42	Ekstrand M. (WC)	Charaeva A.	0 : 2
43	Fruhvirtova L.	Martic P.	0 : 2
44	Branstine C.	Wang Xiy. (31)	1 : 2
45	Semenistaja D. (12)	Lazaro Garcia A.	2 : 1
46	Oliynykova O.	Cabrera L.	0 : 2
47	Korneeva A.	Klimovicova L.	1 : 2
48	Mandlik E.	Ponchet J. (25)	0 : 2
49	Todoni A. A. (13)	Dart H.	1 : 2
50	Vedder E.	Akli A. (WC)	0 : 2
51	Selekhmeteva O.	Riera J.	2 : 1
52	Shymanovich I.	Kraus S. (26)	2 : 1
53	Grabher J. (14)	Salkova D.	1 : 2
54	Dmitruk K.	Juvan K.	2 : 0
55	Penickova K. (WC)	Hontama M.	1 : 2
56	Tararudee L.	Marino R. (17)	1 : 2
57	Carle M. L. (15)	Zhao C.	0 : 2
58	Diatchenko V.	Stefanini L.	0 : 2
59	Davis L.	Inoue H.	0 : 2
60	Snigur D.	Waltert S. (24)	1 : 2
61	Kawa K. (16)	Liu C.	0 : 2
62	Hunter S.	Inglis M.	0 : 2
63	Brace C.	Hibino N.	2 : 1
64	Timofeeva M.	Erjavec V. (32)	0 : 2

Semi-finals

1	Jones F. (1)	Gorgodze E.	2 : 0
2	Hartono A.	Gadecki O. (19)	2 : 1
3	Valentova T. (2)	Prozorova T.	2 : 0
4	Burrage J.	Rus A. (18)	1 : 2
5	Ito A. (3)	Maristany G.	2 : 1
6	Chwalinska M.	Tjen J.	0 : 2
7	Galfi D. (4)	Crawley F.	2 : 0
8	Leonard M.	Udvardy P. (29)	0 : 2
9	Tomova V. (5)	Vandewinkel H.	1 : 2
10	Niemeier J.	Hon P. (27)	0 : 2
11	Gracheva V. (6)	Wuerth T.	2 : 0
12	Pridankina E.	Shibahara E. (20)	0 : 2
13	Volynets K. (7)	Honer A. (RET.)	1 : 1
14	Andrianjafitrimo T.	Fett J.	1 : 2
15	Aiava D.	Mikulskyte J.	2 : 1
16	Vickery S.	Seidel E. (21)	0 : 2
17	Zhang S. (9)	Vidmanova D.	2 : 0
18	Wei S.	Romero Gormaz L. (23)	2 : 1
19	Jones E.	Pigossi L.	2 : 0
20	Sharma A.	Jimenez Kasintseva V. (28)	1 : 2
21	Marcinko P. (11)	Charaeva A.	1 : 2
22	Martic P.	Wang Xiy. (31)	0 : 2
23	Semenistaja D. (12)	Cabrera L.	2 : 0
24	Klimovicova L.	Ponchet J. (25)	2 : 0
25	Dart H.	Akli A.	0 : 2
26	Selekhmeteva O.	Shymanovich I.	2 : 0
27	Salkova D.	Dmitruk K.	2 : 1
28	Hontama M.	Marino R. (17)	1 : 2
29	Zhao C.	Stefanini L.	0 : 2
30	Inoue H.	Waltert S. (24)	2 : 0
31	Liu C.	Inglis M.	2 : 0
32	Brace C.	Erjavec V. (32)	0 : 2

Final

1	Jones F. (1)	Hartono A.	2 : 0
2	Valentova T. (2)	Rus A. (18)	2 : 0
3	Ito A. (3)	Tjen J.	0 : 2
4	Galfi D. (4)	Udvardy P. (29)	2 : 0
5	Vandewinkel H.	Hon P. (27)	0 : 2
6	Gracheva V. (6)	Shibahara E. (20)	0 : 2
7	Volynets K. (7)	Fett J.	2 : 1
8	Aiava D.	Seidel E. (21)	2 : 1
9	Zhang S. (9)	Wei S.	2 : 0
10	Jones E.	Jimenez Kasintseva V. (28)	0 : 2
11	Charaeva A.	Wang Xiy. (31)	1 : 2
12	Semenistaja D. (12)	Klimovicova L.	2 : 0
13	Akli A.	Selekhmeteva O.	1 : 2
14	Salkova D.	Marino R. (17)	1 : 2
15	Stefanini L.	Inoue H.	0 : 2
16	Liu C.	Erjavec V. (32)	2 : 0