Carol Zhao vs Varvara Lepchenko – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis WTA Bogota Carol Zhao - Varvara Lepchenko
Result
0:2
30/03/2024 at 14:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Match Stats

Aces
01
Double Faults
92
1st Serve Percentage
59%85%
1st Serve Points Won
73% (30/41)70% (44/63)
2nd Serve Points Won
39% (11/28)36% (4/11)
Break Points Saved
50% (3/6)71% (5/7)
1st Return Points Won
32% (20/63)37% (15/41)
2nd Return Points Won
64% (7/11)61% (17/28)
Break Points Converted
29% (2/7)50% (3/6)
Max Points In Row
48
Service Points Won
59% (40/68)65% (48/74)
Return Points Won
35% (26/74)41% (28/68)
Total Points Won
46% (66/142)54% (76/142)
Max Games In Row
22
Service Games Won
70% (7/10)82% (9/11)
Return Games Won
18% (2/11)30% (3/10)
Total Games Won
43% (9/21)57% (12/21)

Chances of winning


Carol Zhao
40.5%
Varvara Lepchenko
59.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.6% 51.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1% 51.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Carol Zhao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carol Zhao's form might have worsened.
  • Varvara Lepchenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Varvara Lepchenko's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carol Zhao than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carol Zhao, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varvara Lepchenko than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Varvara Lepchenko, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Carol Zhao - Varvara Lepchenko Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.31
    (1.9)

    1.57
    (1.8)
    6.9%
    (8.2%)
    Preview Facts
    • Zhao is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Lepchenko is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Lepchenko could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Lepchenko will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Zhao won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Carol Zhao - Varvara Lepchenko were as follows:
    19.02.2024 Carol Zhao - Varvara Lepchenko 0:2
    Latest results of Carol Zhao
    Latest results of Varvara Lepchenko
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Bouzkova M. (1)Krunic A. (Q)2 : 1
    2Serban R. (Q)Parrizas-Diaz N.2 : 1
    3Mediorreal A. V. (WC)Kawa K. (Q)0 : 2
    4Pigossi L.Siegemund L. (5)2 : 1
    5Arango E. (4)Tig P. M. (LL)0 : 2
    6Pareja J. (Q)Sanchez Uribe M. J. (WC)2 : 0
    7Deichmann K.Jeanjean L.0 : 2
    8Janicijevic S.Sorribes Tormo S. (7)2 : 0
    9Bucsa C. (8)Kung L.2 : 1
    10Boskovic L. (Q)Bara I. (Q)2 : 0
    11Riera J.Jones F. (RET.)1 : 1
    12Jovic I.Parks A. (3)2 : 0
    13Maria T. (6)Paquet C.2 : 1
    14Lepchenko V.Chang H.1 : 2
    15Bektas E.Torres Murcia M. C. (WC)2 : 0
    16Higuita Barraza M. I. (WC)Osorio C. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Bouzkova M. (1)Serban R.2 : 0
    2Kawa K.Pigossi L.2 : 1
    3Tig P. M.Pareja J.0 : 2
    4Jeanjean L.Janicijevic S.2 : 0
    5Bucsa C. (8)Boskovic L.0 : 2
    6Riera J.Jovic I.2 : 0
    7Maria T. (6)Chang H.2 : 0
    8Bektas E.Osorio C. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Bouzkova M. (1)Kawa K.1 : 2
    2Pareja J.Jeanjean L.2 : 0
    3Boskovic L.Riera J.1 : 2
    4Maria T. (6)Osorio C. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Kawa K.Pareja J.2 : 0
    2Riera J.Osorio C. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Kawa K.Osorio C. (2)0 : 2