Result
2:1
31/01/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: Serie C - Group B - Round 25
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | Sky Sport 252 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 19', 1 - 0, Varone I. ⚽,
- 37', Panelli T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Verza N. ↓, Rigo M. ↑,
- 49', 2 - 0, Carpani G. ⚽,
- 51', Carpani G. 🟨,
- 54', Casarini F. ↓, Sall A. ↑,
- 62', Puletto F. ↓, Campagna S. ↑,
- 62', Gerbi E. ↓, Saporetti S. ↑,
- 67', Bando A. 🟨,
- 70', Bando A. ↓, Maiga Silvestri Y. ↑,
- 79', Curado M. 🟨,
- 80', Figoli M. ↓, Stanzani L. ↑,
- 81', Silipo A. ↓, Gagliardi M. ↑,
- 81', Carpani G. ↓, Tremolada L. ↑,
- 87', Varone I. 🟨,
- 88', 2 - 1, Cortesi M. ⚽,
- 88', Corazza S. ↓, Ciabuschi J. ↑,
- 88', Adjapong C. ↓, Maurizii E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Ascoli
57.4% | Draw
26.2% | Carpi
16.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ascoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ascoli's performance.Carpi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Carpi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (-13.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ascoli that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carpi than the current prediction. (+11.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carpi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ascoli - Carpi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.61 ↓
(2.08) |
3.52 ↑
(3.1) |
5.62 ↑
(3.18) |
8.5%
(11.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Ascoli - Carpi?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Ascoli will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Carpi will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 72.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 46.4% – 99%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 14 and 11).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Ascoli won 2.
- Ascoli is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Carpi is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- In this match Ascoli is a favorite.
- Last 7 head-to-head matches Ascoli won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:9 (average 1.6:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Ascoli won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:2 (average 1.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Ascoli won against Carpi?
Ascoli has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Carpi won against Ascoli?
Carpi has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ascoli - Carpi were as follows:
26.09.2024
Carpi
-
Ascoli
2:2
Italian Serie C Group B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ravenna | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Arezzo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Sambenedettese | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Torres | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Gubbio | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Livorno | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Ascoli | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Perugia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Vis Pesaro | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Carpi | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Pianese | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Pineto | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Juventus U23 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | Guidonia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 15 | Rimini | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Ternana | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 | Forli | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | Pontedera | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 19 | Campobasso | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
| 20 | Bra | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
