Result
3:0
28/02/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group B - Round 29
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 11 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, Chakir M. A. ⚽,
- 11', Rossini M. 🟨,
- 11', Rizzo N. 🟨,
- 17', 2 - 0, Silipo A. ⚽,
- 37', Chakir M. A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Tcheuna R. ↓, Verza N. ↑,
- 46', Rossini M. ↓, Lombardi L. ↑,
- 59', Milanese T. ↓, Corradini G. ↑,
- 65', Chakir M. A. ↓, Gori G. ↑,
- 66', Silipo A. ↓, Galuppini F. ↑,
- 69', 3 - 0, D'Uffizi S. ⚽,
- 71', Guiebre A. 🟨,
- 81', Guiebre A. ↓, Pagliai G. ↑,
- 81', D'Uffizi S. ↓, Oviszach E. ↑,
- 81', Panelli T. ↓, Benvenuto M. ↑,
- 82', Figoli M. ↓, Mahrani Y. ↑,
- 86', Corradini G. 🟨,
- 90+2', Benvenuto M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ascoli
64.6% | Draw
22.3% | Carpi
13.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ascoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Carpi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ascoli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carpi than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Ascoli - Carpi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.43 ↑
(1.4) |
4.13 ↓
(4.24) |
7.04 ↓
(7.19) |
8.5%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Ascoli - Carpi?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Ascoli will win (votes: 4 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals) and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ascoli won 2.
- Ascoli has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Carpi has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Ascoli is the clear favorite.
- We predict that Ascoli will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Ascoli won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.6:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ascoli won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Ascoli won against Carpi?
Ascoli has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Carpi won against Ascoli?
Carpi has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ascoli - Carpi were as follows:
20.10.2025
Carpi
-
Ascoli
1:1
31.01.2025
Ascoli
-
Carpi
2:1
26.09.2024
Carpi
-
Ascoli
2:2
Italian Serie C Group B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arezzo | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 57:22 | 35 | 74 |
| 2 | Ascoli | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 62:22 | 40 | 74 |
| 3 | Ravenna | 35 | 21 | 7 | 7 | 49:30 | 19 | 70 |
| 4 | Campobasso | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 47:37 | 10 | 53 |
| 5 | Juventus U23 | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 44:41 | 3 | 51 |
| 6 | Pineto | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 41:39 | 2 | 50 |
| 7 | Vis Pesaro | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 36:32 | 4 | 46 |
| 8 | Pianese | 34 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 34:33 | 1 | 46 |
| 9 | Ternana | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 41:36 | 5 | 45 |
| 10 | Gubbio | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 44 |
| 11 | Livorno | 35 | 11 | 7 | 17 | 37:51 | -14 | 40 |
| 12 | Guidonia | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 28:32 | -4 | 38 |
| 13 | Carpi | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 32:45 | -13 | 37 |
| 14 | Perugia | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 37:42 | -5 | 37 |
| 15 | Forli | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 39:51 | -12 | 36 |
| 16 | Torres | 34 | 6 | 17 | 11 | 31:42 | -11 | 35 |
| 17 | Sambenedettese | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 25:34 | -9 | 31 |
| 18 | Bra | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 34:50 | -16 | 31 |
| 19 | Pontedera | 34 | 3 | 11 | 20 | 26:58 | -32 | 20 |
| 20 | Rimini | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
