Result
1:1
20/10/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group B - Round 10
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Italy | SKY Go Italia |
World | FIFA+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 58', Pagliai G. ↓, Rizzo N. ↑,
- 72', Casarini F. ↓, Sall A. ↑,
- 72', Gori G. ↓, Chakir M. A. ↑,
- 72', Milanese T. ↓, Ndoj E. ↑,
- 80', 1 - 0, Sall A. ⚽,
- 84', Stanzani L. ↓, Amayah P. ↑,
- 88', 1 - 1, Rizzo Pinna A. ⚽,
- 90', Rizzo Pinna A. 🟨,
- 90+1', Lombardi L. 🟨,
- 90+4', Rosetti M. ↓, Verza N. ↑,
Chances of winning
Carpi 21.8% | Draw 29.1% | Ascoli 49.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carpi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)Ascoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carpi than the current prediction. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Carpi - Ascoli Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.21 ↓ (4.78) |
3.16 ↓ (3.28) |
1.87 ↑ (1.73) |
8.8% (9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Carpi - Ascoli?
Users Predictions:
Ascoli will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carpi won 0.
- Carpi has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Ascoli is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- In this match, Ascoli is considered a favorite.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Carpi won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1.3:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Carpi won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 1.8:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Carpi won against Ascoli?
Carpi has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ascoli won against Carpi?
Ascoli has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Carpi - Ascoli were as follows:
31.01.2025
Ascoli
-
Carpi
2:1
26.09.2024
Carpi
-
Ascoli
2:2
Italian Serie C Group B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arezzo | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 21:7 | 14 | 28 |
| 2 | Ascoli | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 21:2 | 19 | 24 |
| 3 | Ravenna | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 19:13 | 6 | 24 |
| 4 | Ternana | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14:10 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Guidonia | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 8:7 | 1 | 17 |
| 6 | Forli | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11:8 | 3 | 16 |
| 7 | Campobasso | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:10 | 5 | 15 |
| 8 | Carpi | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 15 |
| 9 | Pineto | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15:12 | 3 | 14 |
| 10 | Sambenedettese | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:11 | 2 | 14 |
| 11 | Juventus U23 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 16:18 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 | Pianese | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 13 |
| 13 | Gubbio | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 | Vis Pesaro | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 12 |
| 15 | Pontedera | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8:21 | -13 | 11 |
| 16 | Livorno | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 6:15 | -9 | 10 |
| 17 | Torres | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 5:13 | -8 | 7 |
| 18 | Bra | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10:19 | -9 | 6 |
| 19 | Perugia | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6:17 | -11 | 3 |
| 20 | Rimini | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 6:12 | -6 | -2 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation