Lucchese vs Carpi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie C Group B Lucchese - Carpi
Result
2:2
01/03/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: Serie C - Group B - Round 29
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Goal Attempts
138
Shots on Goal
95
Shots off Goal
43
Corner Kicks
62
Goalkeeper Saves
37
Yellow Cards
13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 33', Rossini M. 🟨,
  • 34', 1 - 0, Saporiti E. ,
  • 42', 1 - 1, Cortesi M. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 56', Mandelli A. 🟨,
  • 58', 2 - 1, Magnaghi S. ,
  • 62', Mandelli A. , Puletto F. ,
  • 62', Fossati D. , Gerbi E. ,
  • 68', 2 - 2, Cortesi M. ,
  • 71', Sall A. , Figoli M. ,
  • 71', Contiliano N. , Casarini F. ,
  • 71', Saporiti E. , Welbeck N. ,
  • 74', Amayah P. 🟨,
  • 81', Magnaghi S. , Ballarini M. ,
  • 88', Visconti E. , Badje I. ,
  • 90+4', Rizzo N. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Lucchese
41.2%
Draw
30.4%
Carpi
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.8% 29.8% 34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1% 29.6% 34.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lucchese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lucchese's performance.
  • Carpi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Carpi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucchese than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lucchese that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carpi than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carpi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Lucchese - Carpi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.23
    (2.5)
    3.02
    (3)
    3.24
    (2.6)
    9%
    (11.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 15 and 14).
    • Lucchese is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Carpi is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Lucchese will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in Lucchese: Ballarini M. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Carpi: Forapani M. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Lucchese won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lucchese - Carpi were as follows:
    20.10.2024 Carpi - Lucchese 0:0
    Latest results of Lucchese
    23.02.2025 Sestri Levante - Lucchese 1:1
    17.02.2025 Lucchese - Perugia 2:1
    08.02.2025 Milan Futuro - Lucchese 0:2
    02.02.2025 Pianese - Lucchese 2:0
    24.01.2025 Lucchese - Ascoli 2:1
    Latest results of Carpi
    22.02.2025 Carpi - Pianese 0:1
    15.02.2025 Pontedera - Carpi 0:2
    09.02.2025 Carpi - Pescara 1:2
    31.01.2025 Ascoli - Carpi 2:1
    25.01.2025 Carpi - SPAL 1:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/32-finals
    1CrotoneBye
    2BeneventoJuventus U231 : 5
    4ByeFeralpiSalo
    8ByeL.R. Vicenza
    9RenateArzignano0 : 0
    10Giana ErminioVirtus Verona1 : 0
    12ByeMonopoli
    16ByeTernana
    17AlbinoLeffeBye
    18TrentoAtalanta U231 : 2
    20ByeTorres
    24ByeAudace Cerignola
    25ArezzoGubbio3 : 1
    26Vis PesaroPontedera1 : 1
    28ByeRimini
    29CataniaGiugliano3 : 2
    30PotenzaPicerno2 : 0
    31PescaraBye
    32PinetoPianese0 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1CrotoneJuventus U230 : 0
    2ByeFeralpiSalo
    4ByeL.R. Vicenza
    5RenateGiana Erminio1 : 2
    6ByeMonopoli
    8ByeTernana
    9AlbinoLeffeAtalanta U231 : 3
    10ByeTorres
    12ByeAudace Cerignola
    13ArezzoVis Pesaro0 : 1
    14ByeRimini
    15CataniaPotenza1 : 0
    16PescaraPianese2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1CrotoneFeralpiSalo1 : 2, 3 : 1
    2ByeL.R. Vicenza
    3Giana ErminioMonopoli3 : 1, 3 : 1
    4ByeTernana
    5Atalanta U23Torres1 : 2, 7 : 1
    6ByeAudace Cerignola
    7Vis PesaroRimini4 : 3, 1 : 1
    8CataniaPescara2 : 1, 0 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1CrotoneL.R. Vicenza0 : 1, 1 : 2
    2Giana ErminioTernana0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3Atalanta U23Audace Cerignola2 : 2, 0 : 0
    4Vis PesaroPescara0 : 2, 2 : 4

    Semi-finals
    1L.R. VicenzaTernana1 : 3, 0 : 0
    2Audace CerignolaPescara1 : 1, 1 : 4

    Final
    1TernanaPescara1 : 1, 0 : 1