Result
14/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group B - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253 |
Chances of winning
Ternana
53% | Draw
26.5% | Carpi
20.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ternana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ternana's performance.Carpi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Carpi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (-11.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ternana that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carpi than the current prediction. (+11.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carpi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ternana - Carpi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.72 ↓
(2.29) |
3.44 ↑
(3.4) |
4.45 ↑
(2.92) |
9.8%
(7.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ternana won 2.
- Ternana has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Carpi is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Carpi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Ternana is considered a favorite.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Ternana won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 0.9:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ternana won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:2. (average 0.2:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Ternana won against Carpi?
Ternana has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Carpi won against Ternana?
Carpi has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ternana - Carpi were as follows:
06.04.2025
Ternana
-
Carpi
0:1
25.11.2024
Carpi
-
Ternana
1:2
Latest results of Ternana
Italian Serie C Group B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arezzo | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Ravenna | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | Pineto | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 8 |
| 4 | Gubbio | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 8 |
| 5 | Forli | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:3 | 0 | 6 |
| 6 | Ascoli | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 5 |
| 7 | Carpi | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 5 |
| 8 | Pianese | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
| 9 | Juventus U23 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
| 10 | Sambenedettese | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 5 |
| 11 | Campobasso | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 4 |
| 12 | Guidonia | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 | Pontedera | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | Ternana | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
| 15 | Perugia | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 16 | Livorno | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 17 | Torres | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
| 18 | Vis Pesaro | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 |
| 19 | Bra | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
| 20 | Rimini | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | -10 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
