Ternana vs Carpi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie C Group B Ternana - Carpi
Result
2:0
14/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Group B - Round 4
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
70
Corner Kicks
73
Yellow Cards
03
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
70
Shots off target
810
Corner Kicks
73
Goalkeeper Saves
05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Ferrante A. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Gerbi E. 🟨,
  • 51', Cecotti T. 🟨,
  • 57', Stanzani L. , Rigo M. ,
  • 63', 2 - 0, Sorzi M. (Own goal),
  • 68', Figoli M. , Amayah P. ,
  • 68', Cecotti T. , Casarini F. ,
  • 68', Arcopinto A. , Forte R. ,
  • 68', Bianay Balcot C. , Meccariello B. ,
  • 69', Ferrante A. , Leonardi S. ,
  • 78', Orellana M. , Tripi F. ,
  • 78', Rosetti M. , Pietra N. ,
  • 87', Pietra N. 🟨,
  • 88', Dubickas E. , Romeo F. ,

Chances of winning


Ternana
55.7%
Draw
25.4%
Carpi
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.7% 27.4% 31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1% 27.7% 31.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ternana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ternana's performance.
  • Carpi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Carpi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (-14.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ternana that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carpi than the current prediction. (+12.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carpi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Ternana - Carpi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.7
    (2.29)
    3.74
    (3.4)
    5.02
    (2.92)
    5.4%
    (7.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Ternana - Carpi?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ternana will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ternana (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ternana won 2.
    • Ternana has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Carpi is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Carpi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Ternana is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Ternana won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 0.9:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ternana won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:2. (average 0.2:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ternana - Carpi were as follows:
    06.04.2025 Ternana - Carpi 0:1
    25.11.2024 Carpi - Ternana 1:2
    Latest results of Ternana
    07.09.2025 Rimini - Ternana 1:4
    31.08.2025 Ternana - Ascoli 0:2
    22.08.2025 Livorno - Ternana 1:0
    09.08.2025 Virtus Entella - Ternana 4:0
    02.08.2025 Ternana - Benevento Canceled
    Latest results of Carpi
    06.09.2025 Carpi - Campobasso 2:2
    31.08.2025 Pianese - Carpi 0:1
    23.08.2025 Carpi - Juventus U23 1:1
    17.08.2025 Carpi - Trento 1:0
    Italian Serie C Group B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arezzo1191121:71428
    2Ascoli1073021:21924
    3Ravenna1080219:13624
    4Ternana1153314:10418
    5Forli1152412:9317
    6Guidonia115248:7117
    7Campobasso1144316:11516
    8Gubbio1144310:9116
    9Pineto1143416:13315
    10Carpi1143413:15-215
    11Sambenedettese1042413:11214
    12Juventus U231142516:18-214
    13Pianese1034310:10013
    14Vis Pesaro1026210:8212
    15Pontedera113268:21-1311
    16Livorno103166:15-910
    17Torres111465:13-87
    18Bra1013610:19-96
    19Perugia100376:17-113
    20Rimini113267:13-6-1

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
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          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation