Result
0:1
24/01/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group B - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 18', Capuano M. 🟨,
- 30', Ndrecka A. 🟨,
- 36', Puletto F. 🟨,
- 37', Dubickas E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 57', Zagnoni D. 🟨,
- 61', Rosetti M. ↓, Casarini F. ↑,
- 67', Garetto M. ↓, Majer Z. ↑,
- 67', Panico G. ↓, Leonardi S. ↑,
- 73', Dubickas E. ↓, Ferrante A. ↑,
- 73', Pettinari S. ↓, Orellana M. ↑,
- 74', Tcheuna R. ↓, Rigo M. ↑,
- 74', Puletto F. ↓, Stanzani L. ↑,
- 78', Vallocchia A. 🟨,
- 79', 0 - 1, Orellana M. ⚽,
- 83', Figoli M. ↓, Sall A. ↑,
- 83', Cecotti T. ↓, Sall A. ↑,
- 83', Gerbi E. 🟨,
- 85', Kerrigan L. ↓, Maestrelli A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Carpi
26.4% | Draw
30.6% | Ternana
43.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carpi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Ternana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carpi than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Carpi - Ternana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.46 ↑
(3.14) |
2.98 ↓
(3.07) |
2.12 ↓
(2.26) |
9.6%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carpi won 2.
- Carpi is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Ternana has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Ternana may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Ternana might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Carpi won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 0.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Carpi won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.3:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Carpi won against Ternana?
Carpi has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ternana won against Carpi?
Ternana has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Carpi - Ternana were as follows:
14.09.2025
Ternana
-
Carpi
2:0
06.04.2025
Ternana
-
Carpi
0:1
25.11.2024
Carpi
-
Ternana
1:2
Latest results of Ternana
Italian Serie C Group B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arezzo | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 57:22 | 35 | 74 |
| 2 | Ascoli | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 62:22 | 40 | 74 |
| 3 | Ravenna | 35 | 21 | 7 | 7 | 49:30 | 19 | 70 |
| 4 | Campobasso | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 47:37 | 10 | 53 |
| 5 | Juventus U23 | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 44:41 | 3 | 51 |
| 6 | Pineto | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 41:39 | 2 | 50 |
| 7 | Vis Pesaro | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 36:32 | 4 | 46 |
| 8 | Pianese | 34 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 34:33 | 1 | 46 |
| 9 | Ternana | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 41:36 | 5 | 45 |
| 10 | Gubbio | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 44 |
| 11 | Livorno | 35 | 11 | 7 | 17 | 37:51 | -14 | 40 |
| 12 | Guidonia | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 28:32 | -4 | 38 |
| 13 | Carpi | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 32:45 | -13 | 37 |
| 14 | Perugia | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 37:42 | -5 | 37 |
| 15 | Forli | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 39:51 | -12 | 36 |
| 16 | Torres | 34 | 6 | 17 | 11 | 31:42 | -11 | 35 |
| 17 | Sambenedettese | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 25:34 | -9 | 31 |
| 18 | Bra | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 34:50 | -16 | 31 |
| 19 | Pontedera | 34 | 3 | 11 | 20 | 26:58 | -32 | 20 |
| 20 | Rimini | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
