Result
21/09/2025 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
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|---|
 Spain | A Punt, Footballclub, LaLiga+ |
Chances of winning
Cartagena
45.7% | Draw
27.9% | Hércules
26.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cartagena's form might have worsened.Hércules has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hércules's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (+14.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cartagena, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hércules than the current prediction. (-10.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hércules, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Cartagena - Hércules Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.04 ↑
(1.58) |
3.35 ↓
(3.45) |
3.38 ↓
(5.6) |
8.3%
(10.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Cartagena is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Hércules has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Cartagena may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Cartagena is considered a favorite.
- We predict that Cartagena will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Cartagena won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.5:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cartagena won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.7:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Cartagena won against Hércules?
Cartagena has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hércules won against Cartagena?
Hércules has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cartagena - Hércules were as follows:
Latest results of Cartagena
Latest results of Hércules
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | CE Europa | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:4 | 3 | 8 |
| 2 | UD Ibiza | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Alcorcon | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 | Sanluqueno | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 5 |
| 5 | Atl. Madrid B | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 5 |
| 6 | Sabadell | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 5 |
| 7 | Marbella | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
| 8 | Eldense | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
| 9 | Villarreal B | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 | Murcia | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 5 |
| 11 | FC Cartagena SAD | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 12 | Sevilla FC B | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 | Algeciras | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 14 | Torremolinos | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 15 | Gimnastic | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 | Hercules | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 17 | Tarazona | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 18 | Teruel | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
| 19 | Betis B | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 2 |
| 20 | Antequera | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
