Cartagena vs Hércules – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2 Cartagena - Hércules
Result
2:1
21/09/2025 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 4
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainA Punt, Footballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
36
Corner Kicks
57
Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
01
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
97
Corner Kicks
57

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 29', 0 - 1, Sotillos A. ,
  • 38', 1 - 1, Chiki ,
  • 42', Martinez N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 49', 🟨,
  • 55', Perejon D. 🟨,
  • 67', Larrea P. , Gomez D. ,
  • 67', Martin A. , Alcaniz E. ,
  • 81', Retu 🟨,
  • 82', Redondo L. , De Blasis P. ,
  • 82', Fidalgo A. , Ortuno A. ,
  • 82', Sanchez K. , Sanchez N. ,
  • 88', 2 - 1, De Blasis P. ,
  • 90+7', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Cartagena
42.9%
Draw
30.3%
Hércules
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.5% 26.3% 16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2% 25.1% 15.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cartagena's form might have worsened.
  • Hércules has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hércules's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (+17.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cartagena, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hércules than the current prediction. (-11.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hércules, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Cartagena - Hércules Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.19
    (1.58)
    3.07
    (3.45)
    3.45
    (5.6)
    7.3%
    (10.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Cartagena is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Hércules's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Cartagena may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Cartagena could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Cartagena won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.5:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cartagena won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.7:2.3).
    Latest results of Cartagena
    31.08.2025 Antequera - Cartagena 0:0
    22.08.2025 Cartagena - Eldense 4:1
    12.08.2025 Melilla - Cartagena 0:0
    Latest results of Hércules
    12.09.2025 Hércules - Algeciras 0:1
    06.09.2025 Ibiza - Hércules 2:1
    30.08.2025 Hércules - Tarazona 1:0
    23.08.2025 UCAM Murcia - Hércules 2:3
    09.08.2025 Elche - Hércules 1:0
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Madrid B632110:5511
    2CE Europa63219:6311
    3FC Cartagena SAD63218:6211
    4Sanluqueno62409:4510
    5Gimnastic631210:8210
    6Sabadell62405:3210
    7Teruel62316:519
    8Alcorcon62315:419
    9Eldense62316:7-19
    10Algeciras62225:508
    11UD Ibiza62226:8-28
    12Marbella61415:507
    13Tarazona62133:6-37
    14Torremolinos61327:8-16
    15Murcia61325:6-16
    16Sevilla FC B61234:6-25
    17Villarreal B61236:9-35
    18Antequera60423:5-24
    19Hercules61144:7-34
    20Betis B60424:7-34

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