Result
0:3
05/03/2023 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 30
- Referee: Monescillo D. (Esp)
Chances of winning
Ponferradina
35.6% | Draw
31.1% | Cartagena
33.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ponferradina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Ponferradina - Cartagena Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.63 ↑
(2.57) |
3.01 ↓
(3.03) |
2.83 ↑
(2.72) |
6.7%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Ponferradina - Cartagena?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Ponferradina will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%). Cartagena will win (votes: 6 - 31.6%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 42.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19.9% – 64.3%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 8).
- Ponferradina has the most likely position - 19 (24.97%), has project points - 44, has currently - 29, has a good chance of relegated (59%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- Cartagena has the most likely position - 8 (13.58%), has project points - 59, has currently - 41, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (15%), has a very small chance of promoted (4%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- This event has small quality 29, importance 38, match rating 33. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Ponferradina won 3.
- The game of competitors is shaky now.
- Ponferradina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- Last 7 head-to-head matches Ponferradina won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-8.
- Including matches at home between the teams Ponferradina won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.
How many head-to-head matches has Ponferradina won against Cartagena?
Ponferradina has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cartagena won against Ponferradina?
Cartagena has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ponferradina - Cartagena were as follows:
Latest results of Ponferradina
Latest results of Cartagena
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 56:36 | 20 | 53 |
| 2 | Castellon | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 46:29 | 17 | 49 |
| 3 | Almeria | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 53:40 | 13 | 49 |
| 4 | Dep. La Coruna | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 44:31 | 13 | 49 |
| 5 | Malaga | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 41:31 | 10 | 47 |
| 6 | Las Palmas | 28 | 11 | 12 | 5 | 34:22 | 12 | 45 |
| 7 | Ceuta | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 36:39 | -3 | 44 |
| 8 | Burgos CF | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 30:26 | 4 | 43 |
| 9 | Gijon | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 38:36 | 2 | 42 |
| 10 | Cordoba | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 38:37 | 1 | 41 |
| 11 | Eibar | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 31:30 | 1 | 38 |
| 12 | Andorra | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 35:40 | -5 | 35 |
| 13 | Albacete | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 33:39 | -6 | 35 |
| 14 | Cadiz CF | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 29:35 | -6 | 35 |
| 15 | Leganes | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 29:28 | 1 | 34 |
| 16 | Real Sociedad B | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 38:39 | -1 | 34 |
| 17 | Granada CF | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 32:33 | -1 | 32 |
| 18 | Valladolid | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29:38 | -9 | 32 |
| 19 | Huesca | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 26:37 | -11 | 30 |
| 20 | Cultural Leonesa | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 27:44 | -17 | 27 |
| 21 | Mirandes | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 28:45 | -17 | 24 |
| 22 | Zaragoza | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 23:41 | -18 | 24 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
