Alajuelense vs Cartagines – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Costa Rican Primera Division Alajuelense - Cartagines
11/10/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Alajuelense
50.1%
Draw
28.6%
Cartagines
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.2% 26.3% 16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7% 25.6% 16.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alajuelense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alajuelense's form might have worsened.
  • Cartagines has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alajuelense than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alajuelense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cartagines than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cartagines, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Alajuelense - Cartagines Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.93
    (1.61)
    3.26
    (3.5)
    3.9
    (5.59)
    8.1%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals))
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alajuelense won 3.
    • Alajuelense has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Cartagines is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Cartagines may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Alajuelense is the team to beat.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alajuelense won 12 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 33:13. (average 1.7:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Alajuelense won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 16:5. (average 1.8:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alajuelense - Cartagines were as follows:
    02.02.2025 Alajuelense - Cartagines 1:0
    22.09.2024 Alajuelense - Cartagines 2:1
    04.08.2024 Cartagines - Alajuelense 0:1
    06.04.2024 Cartagines - Alajuelense 0:0
    28.01.2024 Alajuelense - Cartagines 0:1
    Latest results of Alajuelense
    30.09.2025 Motagua - Alajuelense 1:2
    23.09.2025 Alajuelense - Motagua 0:1
    20.09.2025 Guadalupe - Alajuelense 0:0
    16.09.2025 Alajuelense - San Carlos 2:0
    Latest results of Cartagines
    Costa Rican Primera Division Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Saprissa1162321:14720
    2Liberia1154216:11519
    3Cartagines1053211:4718
    4Alajuelense1053211:6518
    5Zeledon1144315:13216
    6Puntarenas FC1135314:15-114
    7Herediano1134411:14-313
    8Guadalupe1124510:17-710
    9Sporting San Jose1123610:14-49
    10San Carlos112278:19-118

          Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)