Result
11/10/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Alajuelense 50.1% | Draw 28.6% | Cartagines 21.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alajuelense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alajuelense's form might have worsened.Cartagines has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alajuelense than the current prediction. (+8.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alajuelense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cartagines than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cartagines, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Alajuelense - Cartagines Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.93 ↑ (1.61) |
3.26 ↓ (3.5) |
3.9 ↓ (5.59) |
8.1% (8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alajuelense won 3.
- Alajuelense has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Cartagines is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Cartagines may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Alajuelense is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alajuelense won 12 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 33:13. (average 1.7:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Alajuelense won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 16:5. (average 1.8:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Alajuelense won against Cartagines?
Alajuelense has won 10 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cartagines won against Alajuelense?
Cartagines has won 1 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alajuelense - Cartagines were as follows:
02.02.2025
Alajuelense
-
Cartagines
1:0
22.09.2024
Alajuelense
-
Cartagines
2:1
04.08.2024
Cartagines
-
Alajuelense
0:1
06.04.2024
Cartagines
-
Alajuelense
0:0
28.01.2024
Alajuelense
-
Cartagines
0:1
Latest results of Alajuelense
Latest results of Cartagines
Costa Rican Primera Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Saprissa | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 21:14 | 7 | 20 |
2 | Liberia | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 16:11 | 5 | 19 |
3 | Cartagines | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 11:4 | 7 | 18 |
4 | Alajuelense | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 11:6 | 5 | 18 |
5 | Zeledon | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:13 | 2 | 16 |
6 | Puntarenas FC | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14:15 | -1 | 14 |
7 | Herediano | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 13 |
8 | Guadalupe | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10:17 | -7 | 10 |
9 | Sporting San Jose | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10:14 | -4 | 9 |
10 | San Carlos | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8:19 | -11 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)