Caruaru City vs Belo Jardim – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano Caruaru City - Belo Jardim
Result
0:4
15/03/2023 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO PERNAMBUCANO - ROUND 12

Chances of winning


Caruaru City
30.5%
Draw
27.8%
Belo Jardim
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.7% 29.3% 29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7% 28% 27.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Caruaru City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Caruaru City's form might have worsened.
  • Belo Jardim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Belo Jardim's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caruaru City than the current prediction. (+13.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Caruaru City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belo Jardim than the current prediction. (-14%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Belo Jardim, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Caruaru City - Belo Jardim Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.98
    (2.2)
    3.27
    (3.13)
    2.18
    (3.16)
    10%
    (9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Caruaru City - Belo Jardim?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Caruaru City will win (votes: 8 - 42.1%). Belo Jardim will win (votes: 8 - 42.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Caruaru City: 19.9%64.3%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 in the zone Campeonato Pernambucano (Relegation Group) and 12 in the zone Campeonato Pernambucano (Relegation Group)).
    • One and the other team has got a line of lost games.
    • Belo Jardim could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Caruaru City will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Caruaru City
    05.03.2023 Central SC - Caruaru City 1:1
    12.02.2023 Petrolina - Caruaru City 2:0
    08.02.2023 Caruaru City - Maguary 2:3
    01.02.2023 Caruaru City - Salgueiro 0:2
    Latest results of Belo Jardim
    26.02.2023 Belo Jardim - Central SC 1:2
    11.02.2023 Belo Jardim - Salgueiro 0:1
    07.02.2023 Íbis - Belo Jardim 2:0
    02.02.2023 Maguary - Belo Jardim 0:0
    29.01.2023 Belo Jardim - Petrolina 1:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Santa Cruz (1)Bye
    2Sport Recife (4)Decisao (5)3 : 0
    3Maguary (2)Bye
    4Nautico (3)Retro (6)0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Santa Cruz (1)Sport Recife (4)0 : 1, 0 : 2
    2Maguary (2)Retro (6)1 : 2, 1 : 2

    Final
    1Sport Recife (4)Retro (6)2 : 2, 3 : 2