Result
2:1
20/02/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group C - Round 28
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', 1 - 0, Gambale D. (Penalty Awarded),
- 34', Bachini M. 🟨,
- 44', 1 - 1, Leonetti V. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Giraudo F. ↓, Cajazzo I. ↑,
- 52', Parlato C. 🟨,
- 57', Leonetti V. ↓, Chirico C. ↑,
- 60', Logoluso G. 🟨,
- 70', Parlato C. ↓, Ballabile E. ↑,
- 74', Ferrara V. 🟨,
- 76', Grandolfo F. ↓, D'Alena A. ↑,
- 76', Vitale G. ↓, Moreso O. ↑,
- 83', 2 - 1, Gasbarro A. ⚽,
- 87', Russo L. ↓, Spaltro R. ↑,
- 88', Ferrara V. ↓, Cerbone S. ↑,
- 88', Paolucci L. ↓, Ruggiero Z. ↑,
- 88', D'Orazio L. ↓, Di Tommaso L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Audace Cerignola
52.5% | Draw
26.5% | Casarano
21% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Audace Cerignola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)Casarano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Audace Cerignola than the current prediction. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casarano than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Audace Cerignola - Casarano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.75 ↓
(1.92) |
3.46 ↑
(3.36) |
4.37 ↑
(3.71) |
9.1%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Audace Cerignola won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, Audace Cerignola is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Audace Cerignola won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.9:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Audace Cerignola won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:2. (average 2.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Audace Cerignola won against Casarano?
Audace Cerignola has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Casarano won against Audace Cerignola?
Casarano has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Audace Cerignola - Casarano were as follows:
29.10.2025
Audace Cerignola
-
Casarano
2:1
12.10.2025
Casarano
-
Audace Cerignola
3:0
Latest results of Audace Cerignola
Latest results of Casarano
Italian Serie C Group C Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Benevento | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 68:21 | 47 | 76 |
| 2 | Catania | 32 | 18 | 10 | 4 | 49:18 | 31 | 64 |
| 3 | Salernitana | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 39:32 | 7 | 57 |
| 4 | Cosenza | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 50:34 | 16 | 56 |
| 5 | Casertana | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 45:40 | 5 | 53 |
| 6 | Crotone | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 48:30 | 18 | 51 |
| 7 | Audace Cerignola | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 43:43 | 0 | 48 |
| 8 | Monopoli | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 33:35 | -2 | 47 |
| 9 | Casarano | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 44:52 | -8 | 43 |
| 10 | Potenza | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41:47 | -6 | 41 |
| 11 | Altamura | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 28:39 | -11 | 40 |
| 12 | Atalanta U23 | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 45:42 | 3 | 38 |
| 13 | Latina | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 25:35 | -10 | 35 |
| 14 | Cavese | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 32:38 | -6 | 35 |
| 15 | Sorrento | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 34:47 | -13 | 33 |
| 16 | Picerno | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 36:49 | -13 | 32 |
| 17 | Giugliano | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 31:46 | -15 | 31 |
| 18 | Trapani | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 41:46 | -5 | 24 |
| 19 | Siracusa | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 39:48 | -9 | 24 |
| 20 | Foggia | 32 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 25:54 | -29 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
