Result
2:1
20/02/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group C - Round 28
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', 1 - 0, Gambale D. (Penalty Awarded),
- 34', Bachini M. 🟨,
- 44', 1 - 1, Leonetti V. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Giraudo F. ↓, Cajazzo I. ↑,
- 52', Parlato C. 🟨,
- 57', Leonetti V. ↓, Chirico C. ↑,
- 60', Logoluso G. 🟨,
- 70', Parlato C. ↓, Ballabile E. ↑,
- 74', Ferrara V. 🟨,
- 76', Grandolfo F. ↓, D'Alena A. ↑,
- 76', Vitale G. ↓, Moreso O. ↑,
- 83', 2 - 1, Gasbarro A. ⚽,
- 87', Russo L. ↓, Spaltro R. ↑,
- 88', Ferrara V. ↓, Cerbone S. ↑,
- 88', Paolucci L. ↓, Ruggiero Z. ↑,
- 88', D'Orazio L. ↓, Di Tommaso L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Audace Cerignola
52.5% | Draw
26.5% | Casarano
21% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Audace Cerignola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)Casarano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Audace Cerignola than the current prediction. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casarano than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Audace Cerignola - Casarano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.75 ↓
(1.92) |
3.46 ↑
(3.36) |
4.37 ↑
(3.71) |
9.1%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Audace Cerignola won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, Audace Cerignola is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Audace Cerignola won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.9:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Audace Cerignola won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:2. (average 2.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Audace Cerignola won against Casarano?
Audace Cerignola has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Casarano won against Audace Cerignola?
Casarano has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Audace Cerignola - Casarano were as follows:
29.10.2025
Audace Cerignola
-
Casarano
2:1
12.10.2025
Casarano
-
Audace Cerignola
3:0
Latest results of Audace Cerignola
Latest results of Casarano
Italian Serie C Group C Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Benevento | 28 | 20 | 4 | 4 | 62:20 | 42 | 64 |
| 2 | Catania | 28 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 46:15 | 31 | 59 |
| 3 | Salernitana | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 36:30 | 6 | 50 |
| 4 | Cosenza | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 41:29 | 12 | 47 |
| 5 | Casertana | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 42:35 | 7 | 46 |
| 6 | Crotone | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 41:27 | 14 | 44 |
| 7 | Monopoli | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 29:29 | 0 | 43 |
| 8 | Audace Cerignola | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 34:34 | 0 | 42 |
| 9 | Potenza | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 37:40 | -3 | 37 |
| 10 | Casarano | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 38:47 | -9 | 36 |
| 11 | Altamura | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 26:36 | -10 | 36 |
| 12 | Sorrento | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 30:37 | -7 | 33 |
| 13 | Atalanta U23 | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 38:36 | 2 | 31 |
| 14 | Picerno | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 34:45 | -11 | 29 |
| 15 | Trapani | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 37:35 | 2 | 28 |
| 16 | Latina | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 19:31 | -12 | 28 |
| 17 | Cavese | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 26:34 | -8 | 28 |
| 18 | Giugliano | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 24:42 | -18 | 24 |
| 19 | Foggia | 28 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 24:49 | -25 | 22 |
| 20 | Siracusa | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 31:44 | -13 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
