Result
2:1
20/02/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group C - Round 28
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', 1 - 0, Gambale D. (Penalty Awarded),
- 34', Bachini M. 🟨,
- 44', 1 - 1, Leonetti V. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Giraudo F. ↓, Cajazzo I. ↑,
- 52', Parlato C. 🟨,
- 57', Leonetti V. ↓, Chirico C. ↑,
- 60', Logoluso G. 🟨,
- 70', Parlato C. ↓, Ballabile E. ↑,
- 74', Ferrara V. 🟨,
- 76', Grandolfo F. ↓, D'Alena A. ↑,
- 76', Vitale G. ↓, Moreso O. ↑,
- 83', 2 - 1, Gasbarro A. ⚽,
- 87', Russo L. ↓, Spaltro R. ↑,
- 88', Ferrara V. ↓, Cerbone S. ↑,
- 88', Paolucci L. ↓, Ruggiero Z. ↑,
- 88', D'Orazio L. ↓, Di Tommaso L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Audace Cerignola
52.5% | Draw
26.5% | Casarano
21% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Audace Cerignola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)Casarano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Audace Cerignola than the current prediction. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casarano than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Audace Cerignola - Casarano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.75 ↓
(1.92) |
3.46 ↑
(3.36) |
4.37 ↑
(3.71) |
9.1%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Audace Cerignola won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, Audace Cerignola is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Audace Cerignola won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.9:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Audace Cerignola won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:2. (average 2.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Audace Cerignola won against Casarano?
Audace Cerignola has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Casarano won against Audace Cerignola?
Casarano has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Audace Cerignola - Casarano were as follows:
29.10.2025
Audace Cerignola
-
Casarano
2:1
12.10.2025
Casarano
-
Audace Cerignola
3:0
Latest results of Audace Cerignola
Latest results of Casarano
Italian Serie C Group C Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Benevento ✔ | 35 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 71:24 | 47 | 80 |
| 2 | Catania | 35 | 19 | 11 | 5 | 52:21 | 31 | 68 |
| 3 | Cosenza | 35 | 18 | 9 | 8 | 55:36 | 19 | 63 |
| 4 | Casertana | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 50:40 | 10 | 62 |
| 5 | Salernitana | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 43:39 | 4 | 60 |
| 6 | Crotone | 35 | 16 | 7 | 12 | 53:34 | 19 | 55 |
| 7 | Monopoli | 35 | 14 | 10 | 11 | 36:37 | -1 | 52 |
| 8 | Audace Cerignola | 35 | 14 | 10 | 11 | 46:47 | -1 | 52 |
| 9 | Casarano | 35 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 49:54 | -5 | 50 |
| 10 | Potenza | 35 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 48:53 | -5 | 44 |
| 11 | Altamura | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 30:43 | -13 | 43 |
| 12 | Atalanta U23 | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 49:48 | 1 | 40 |
| 13 | Cavese | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 33:40 | -7 | 37 |
| 14 | Sorrento | 35 | 9 | 10 | 16 | 38:51 | -13 | 37 |
| 15 | Picerno | 35 | 8 | 12 | 15 | 39:52 | -13 | 36 |
| 16 | Latina | 35 | 8 | 12 | 15 | 27:40 | -13 | 36 |
| 17 | Giugliano | 35 | 9 | 7 | 19 | 32:49 | -17 | 34 |
| 18 | Foggia | 35 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 26:55 | -29 | 26 |
| 19 | Trapani | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 44:49 | -5 | 23 |
| 20 | Siracusa | 35 | 9 | 7 | 19 | 44:53 | -9 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Benevento is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Serie B
