Result
1:2
28/02/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group C - Round 29
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 30% | 70% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 29', 1 - 0, D'Amico F. ⚽,
- 45+2', 1 - 1, Versienti L. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 64', Liguori M. ↓, Valietti F. ↑,
- 64', Pazienza O. ↓, Menegazzo L. ↑,
- 77', Cerbone S. ↓, Cajazzo I. ↑,
- 79', D'Amico F. ↓, Bevilacqua M. ↑,
- 80', Grandolfo F. ↓, Santarcangelo A. ↑,
- 81', Versienti L. ↓, Gega E. ↑,
- 87', Gega E. 🟨,
- 89', Giron M. ↓, Dimarco C. ↑,
- 89', Tommasini C. ↓, Nocerino L. ↑,
- 90+2', 1 - 2, Cajazzo I. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Foggia
36.1% | Draw
27.9% | Casarano
35.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Foggia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Casarano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Foggia than the current prediction. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casarano than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Foggia - Casarano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.55 ↓
(2.71) |
3.29 ↓
(3.46) |
2.56 ↑
(2.34) |
8.7%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
- Foggia has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Casarano has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Foggia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- We predict that Casarano will win today's game, with odds of 2.68.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Foggia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Foggia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Foggia won against Casarano?
Foggia has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Casarano won against Foggia?
Casarano has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Foggia - Casarano were as follows:
18.10.2025
Casarano
-
Foggia
0:2
Latest results of Casarano
Italian Serie C Group C Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Benevento | 29 | 21 | 4 | 4 | 63:20 | 43 | 67 |
| 2 | Catania | 29 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 46:15 | 31 | 60 |
| 3 | Salernitana | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 36:30 | 6 | 51 |
| 4 | Cosenza | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 44:31 | 13 | 50 |
| 5 | Casertana | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 42:39 | 3 | 46 |
| 6 | Crotone | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 42:28 | 14 | 45 |
| 7 | Monopoli | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 30:30 | 0 | 44 |
| 8 | Audace Cerignola | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 34:36 | -2 | 42 |
| 9 | Casarano | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 40:48 | -8 | 39 |
| 10 | Potenza | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 37:41 | -4 | 37 |
| 11 | Altamura | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 26:36 | -10 | 37 |
| 12 | Atalanta U23 | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 40:36 | 4 | 34 |
| 13 | Sorrento | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 32:40 | -8 | 33 |
| 14 | Cavese | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 28:34 | -6 | 31 |
| 15 | Picerno | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 34:45 | -11 | 30 |
| 16 | Latina | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 20:32 | -12 | 29 |
| 17 | Trapani | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 37:37 | 0 | 28 |
| 18 | Giugliano | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 25:43 | -18 | 25 |
| 19 | Foggia | 29 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 25:51 | -26 | 22 |
| 20 | Siracusa | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 35:44 | -9 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
